Unrealistic-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

5.3%

Resolved

Trades

762

lifetime

Volume

$2.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 05-06 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 14% $-10

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	2	$50	8,311	0	+8,311	open	—	04-24 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	04-27 06:34
btc updown 5m 1776960300	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 16:09
btc updown 5m 1777047300	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 16:19
btc updown 5m 1776971100	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 19:09
btc updown 5m 1776974400	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	05-04 14:19
btc updown 5m 1777038900	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 13:59
btc updown 5m 1777059900	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 19:49
btc updown 5m 1777053300	2	$7	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 17:59
btc updown 5m 1776977100	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 20:49
btc updown 5m 1777044900	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 15:39
btc updown 5m 1777057500	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 19:09
btc updown 5m 1777056900	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776962100	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-23 16:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-03 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-28 04:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-27 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-03 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	2	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	05-02 02:39
btc updown 5m 1777042200	3	$6	2	5	-3	open	—	04-24 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$6	4	5	-1	open	—	05-02 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-04 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-03 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-03 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-03 07:24
btc updown 5m 1777044000	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-24 15:24
btc updown 5m 1777001400	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	04-24 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-04 02:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 18:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb47816…
05-06 17:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf871f5…
05-06 17:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x04511d…
05-06 17:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x5a7a65…
05-06 15:38:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8325bb…
05-06 15:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x670b4f…
05-06 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x28c16a…
05-06 13:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1ab23a…
05-06 13:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xba913c…
05-06 12:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2a2a2d…
05-06 12:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa13147…
05-06 10:48:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe05569…
05-06 10:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xfccedc…
05-06 10:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x58e015…
05-06 09:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x40aeb1…
05-06 08:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xeebe95…
05-06 08:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x49d72d…
05-06 08:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8d5620…
05-06 08:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x23ba25…
05-06 06:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xe6bb72…
05-06 06:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf3a7cd…
05-06 06:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x611cef…
05-06 05:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x499337…
05-06 05:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x80a11f…
05-06 04:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4b0db0…
05-05 23:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3f335c…
05-05 22:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6baf55…
05-05 21:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf76dbf…
05-05 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8fc060…
05-05 20:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd26007…
05-05 19:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6ebbd4…
05-05 19:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xeb0915…
05-05 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3ed839…
05-05 18:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1deca1…
05-05 18:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x0142c9…
05-05 17:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x6e49d5…
05-05 17:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x7414c3…
05-05 17:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2a37e8…
05-05 16:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x292268…
05-05 16:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcea142…
05-05 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc178be…
05-05 14:14:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4ccdbd…
05-05 14:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd14a47…
05-05 13:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcc71f3…
05-05 12:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	114	1¢	$1	0xb4a06e…
05-05 12:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x640900…
05-05 11:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x7d1b69…
05-05 10:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa76285…
05-05 10:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2d8e17…
05-05 10:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x7a589d…
05-05 10:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x988e25…
05-05 09:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb147b6…
05-05 09:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x22a6e4…
05-05 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0xedc69f…
05-05 08:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xea3e08…
05-05 07:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8344ba…
05-05 07:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5a72fa…
05-05 07:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee9924…
05-05 06:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x82a568…
05-05 06:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x974a29…
05-05 06:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$1	0x6b99d0…
05-05 06:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb79639…
05-05 06:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x832519…
05-05 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x98e5d1…
05-05 05:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb7d0e3…
05-05 05:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3047e4…
05-05 04:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb96a0e…
05-05 04:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x7d51ac…
05-05 03:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8276f7…
05-05 03:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x91c611…
05-05 03:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x510439…
05-05 03:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3f7c22…
05-05 02:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6db484…
05-05 01:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf742f7…
05-05 01:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x00b078…
05-05 00:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9f458d…
05-04 21:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf0da2e…
05-04 19:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8abc31…
05-04 18:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x53a027…
05-04 18:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xd58d94…
05-04 18:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4fc19b…
05-04 18:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3c6a47…
05-04 18:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb32006…
05-04 16:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x944b77…
05-04 14:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x93b420…
05-04 14:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1825dc…
05-04 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xffe77e…
05-04 14:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcb8e33…
05-04 13:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xd2ac8a…
05-04 13:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xac028b…
05-04 12:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xbdafe0…
05-04 10:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcdb522…
05-04 10:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe74f88…
05-04 10:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x764222…
05-04 09:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x4b89a4…
05-04 09:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x30909d…
05-04 08:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x46ceac…
05-04 07:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc5db12…
05-04 03:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x3356d5…
05-04 03:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc3c117…