Hidden-Advancement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$606

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.5%

Resolved

836

Trades

7,746

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-15 21:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 55% $-606

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1769 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	36	$497	494	258	+236	Down	+$62	05-05 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	65	$443	957	409	+548	Down	$-66	05-05 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	50	$371	293	254	+39	open	—	05-03 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	13	$350	307	196	+111	Up	+$38	05-08 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	43	$339	330	200	+130	Down	+$21	05-09 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	36	$278	200	165	+35	Down	+$43	05-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	18	$273	262	198	+64	Up	+$61	05-05 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	33	$268	443	22	+421	Up	$-7	05-05 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	37	$245	430	23	+407	Up	+$4	05-05 07:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	28	$243	1,798	22	+1,776	Down	$-130	05-05 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	25	$160	143	89	+54	Up	+$45	05-07 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	24	$159	249	25	+224	Up	+$111	05-05 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	18	$151	156	81	+75	Down	+$84	05-08 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	17	$143	132	66	+66	Up	+$34	05-08 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	17	$133	250	10	+240	Down	$-114	05-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	37	$132	245	100	+145	open	—	05-03 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	17	$130	188	0	+188	Down	+$52	05-06 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	31	$129	244	0	+244	open	—	05-03 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	25	$125	240	0	+240	Down	$-125	05-05 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	25	$125	222	0	+222	Up	$-125	05-04 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	14	$122	103	60	+43	Up	+$40	05-08 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	20	$122	250	0	+250	Up	$-122	05-05 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	21	$121	238	0	+238	Up	$-121	05-05 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	19	$121	103	60	+43	Up	+$34	05-06 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	17	$120	76	69	+7	Down	+$16	05-06 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	17	$120	274	0	+274	Down	$-120	05-05 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	21	$118	175	0	+175	Down	$-118	05-06 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	17	$116	109	62	+47	Down	+$45	05-06 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	21	$113	176	0	+176	Down	+$63	05-06 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	22	$113	175	0	+175	open	—	05-03 09:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 21:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd1f517…
05-15 21:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x75eff5…
05-15 19:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x385adf…
05-15 19:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x80ce8d…
05-15 19:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x10d2eb…
05-15 19:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x76a3ae…
05-15 17:47:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xcc9bd6…
05-15 17:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x7d4ad1…
05-15 17:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x538267…
05-15 16:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xa7d9a0…
05-15 16:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2c52ae…
05-15 15:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x52f3ee…
05-15 15:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x193769…
05-15 15:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x5418ee…
05-15 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	61¢	$0	0x7d2e3a…
05-15 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x44911b…
05-15 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x3815c8…
05-15 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x34df11…
05-15 15:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x05151e…
05-15 15:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdda6ca…
05-15 15:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0xf1b112…
05-15 15:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0x92e053…
05-15 14:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0x59203e…
05-15 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xd521f4…
05-15 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x697f4e…
05-15 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x53e7d9…
05-15 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x52d78e…
05-15 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3a23bd…
05-15 14:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0b9c72…
05-15 13:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xf6354a…
05-15 13:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xcf4be8…
05-15 13:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xafe11a…
05-15 13:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x4a16fc…
05-15 13:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x11eff7…
05-15 13:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x824859…
05-15 13:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf93ec3…
05-15 13:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	64¢	$14	0x9edca8…
05-15 13:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0xb9602b…
05-15 13:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x037a7c…
05-15 13:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xe2371b…
05-15 13:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xdbd695…
05-15 13:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xff4e4d…
05-15 13:08:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x636702…
05-15 13:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x3575d1…
05-15 13:07:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x6d66a6…
05-15 12:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x58e0ce…
05-15 12:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xcae7b2…
05-15 12:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x2b285c…
05-15 12:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xda50e8…
05-15 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	93¢	$8	0xf2894b…
05-15 12:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x9fcf78…
05-15 12:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xcfe958…
05-15 11:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x1f3c9d…
05-15 11:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x0dc9b0…
05-15 11:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xe9c7f9…
05-15 11:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x40eb61…
05-15 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9591f5…
05-15 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x2b0e4a…
05-15 09:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x928d4f…
05-15 09:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x289925…
05-15 09:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x29549e…
05-15 09:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5bae90…
05-15 09:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xded62f…
05-15 09:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x53c03d…
05-15 08:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xa5afdf…
05-15 08:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0xab2dd1…
05-15 08:32:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x310d6c…
05-15 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8b6a8b…
05-15 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x77bbd7…
05-15 08:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x3cd021…
05-15 08:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x67962d…
05-15 08:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x99eb73…
05-15 08:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x294833…
05-15 08:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xd61c9d…
05-15 08:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xf67e83…
05-15 08:22:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x2a5aa0…
05-15 08:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xefd551…
05-15 08:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x67530a…
05-15 08:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfce920…
05-15 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	32¢	$3	0x7d05ae…
05-15 08:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x21be81…
05-15 08:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x2a210e…
05-15 08:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xaab961…
05-15 08:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x12898d…
05-15 08:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x065d13…
05-15 08:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x002b19…
05-15 08:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xb72d0c…
05-15 08:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x456128…
05-15 08:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x1caa7b…
05-15 08:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xaab41e…
05-15 08:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xf2f77e…
05-15 07:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xd67292…
05-15 07:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x7fe940…
05-15 07:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	18¢	$7	0x5460a0…
05-15 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xa8d184…
05-15 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x8bd490…
05-15 07:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x3fa6e4…
05-15 07:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0xd72ac5…
05-15 07:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	61¢	$24	0xe42638…
05-15 07:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xcc353f…