Truthful-Baker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$53

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-08 11:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 100% +$0

Other

21% — —

Tech

3% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 3500 on january 6	1	$88	88	+88	open	—	01-06 07:20
elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	01-15 03:04
bitcoin above 88k on february 1	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	02-01 01:55
ethereum above 2900 on january 19	1	$87	87	+87	open	—	01-19 07:10
bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	06-08 11:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 2?	1	$86	86	+86	open	—	06-01 08:05
bitcoin above 98k on january 24	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	01-23 03:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-13 03:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	1	$85	85	+85	Yes	+$0	05-07 02:52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	05-10 08:57
bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	06-06 02:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	05-20 02:38
ethereum above 2400 on january 28	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	01-27 08:06
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	1	$85	85	+85	open	—	04-06 08:40
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-14 09:22
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-24 08:45
ethereum above 1700 on march 9	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-09 09:04
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	04-02 03:06
bitcoin above 64k on march 19	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	03-19 02:19
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	1	$84	84	+84	open	—	04-11 07:23
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	02-28 01:41
bitcoin above 74k on february 12	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	02-12 03:23
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-04 03:14
bitcoin above 74k on march 29	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-28 11:08
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	02-05 03:20
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	04-16 02:15
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 10	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-10 02:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	04-26 01:42
bitcoin above 70k on april 21	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	04-21 02:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	04-29 11:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:08:49	bitcoin above 72k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0xe50c3e…
06-06 02:46:28	bitcoin above 68k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd45878…
06-01 08:05:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x6e2c87…
05-20 02:38:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd24de4…
05-13 03:38:56	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 13?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x06679a…
05-10 08:57:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x72d102…
05-07 02:52:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xb88c03…
04-29 11:11:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x5262b8…
04-26 01:42:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x905a10…
04-21 02:55:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x3e5403…
04-21 02:55:22	Will Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8818a1…
04-21 02:55:10	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6d18ee…
04-21 02:55:00	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8eb85c…
04-16 02:15:00	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 420 439	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x58dda7…
04-16 02:14:50	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x74dddf…
04-16 02:14:38	Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x13717f…
04-16 02:14:28	ethereum above 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd869d3…
04-11 07:23:41	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x289423…
04-11 07:22:45	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x61b629…
04-06 08:40:29	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 360 379	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x657bae…
04-02 03:06:59	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 360 379	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x1c6a25…
03-28 11:08:43	bitcoin above 74k on march 29	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x7d6f36…
03-28 11:08:25	will google have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd1d5f1…
03-28 11:08:13	will zai have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x05bcd7…
03-24 08:45:41	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 24	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x92db22…
03-19 02:19:15	bitcoin above 64k on march 19	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0xbaecb8…
03-14 09:22:51	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 540 559	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x9f0794…
03-09 09:04:07	ethereum above 1700 on march 9	Yes	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x576756…
03-04 03:14:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 4	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xf4f1da…
03-04 03:14:35	nba mem min 2026 03 03	Timberwolves	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6899e4…
03-04 03:14:25	elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 90 114	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9fee5…
02-28 01:41:11	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0x9ed6fd…
02-12 03:23:41	bitcoin above 74k on february 12	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xcabf45…
02-05 03:20:05	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x92d213…
02-05 03:19:43	will turbotax file your tax return be the 2 free app in the us apple app store on february 6	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3def86…
02-05 03:19:31	will moonshot have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x914cea…
02-05 03:18:33	ethereum above 2500 on february 5	Yes	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0xa79538…
02-01 01:55:52	bitcoin above 88k on february 1	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x0b35da…
01-27 08:06:41	ethereum above 2400 on january 28	Yes	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x3e958c…
01-23 03:10:22	bitcoin above 98k on january 24	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0xd71f88…
01-23 03:10:04	will moonshot have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdaabc4…
01-23 03:09:52	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 440m and 480m by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb2fdfd…
01-19 07:10:38	ethereum above 2900 on january 19	Yes	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x58d824…
01-15 03:04:40	elon musk of tweets january 9 january 16 400 419	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x308e21…
01-10 02:55:04	another us strike on venezuela on january 9	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1dca28…
01-10 02:54:56	will deepseek have the top ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa007a7…
01-10 02:54:46	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 10	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x188acf…
01-06 07:20:11	ethereum above 3500 on january 6	No	BUY	88	100¢	$88	0x39af85…