Definitive-Hose — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$418

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-04 18:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

83% 46% $-4

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	06-01 17:01
atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	2	$30	32	32	+0	open	—	06-03 19:50
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	6	$30	28	28	+0	FC Barcelona	+$9	05-10 20:43
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	3	$28	17	17	+0	Daniil Medvedev	+$6	05-11 17:33
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	4	$25	39	39	+0	open	—	05-31 20:35
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$21	10	15	-5	open	—	06-02 19:18
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	06-03 13:58
tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	2	$18	30	30	+0	open	—	06-04 00:09
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	2	$14	10	10	+0	Under	+$5	05-10 17:33
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	3	$13	30	0	+30	open	—	06-02 20:51
tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	3	$11	40	40	+0	open	—	06-04 00:13
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	1	$10	24	0	+24	Under	$-10	05-06 16:36
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	5	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	05-31 21:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	2	$9	10	10	+0	Elina Svitolina	+$3	05-13 20:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 21:12
Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-23 21:16
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	3	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-13 20:27
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 20:52
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	3	$7	23	0	+23	open	—	06-03 09:43
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	1	$7	16	0	+16	open	—	05-22 18:49
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	2	$7	30	0	+30	BetBoom Team	$-7	05-12 20:29
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	4	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	05-20 20:41
wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	06-04 16:31
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	1	$6	9	0	+9	Andrea Pellegrino	$-6	05-11 10:21
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1	$6	10	0	+10	Andrey Rublev	+$4	05-11 08:15
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	1	$6	16	0	+16	open	—	05-15 11:03
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	3	$6	47	0	+47	open	—	06-03 14:14
SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	1	$5	15	0	+15	Over	$-5	05-11 18:57
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic	1	$4	11	0	+11	Karen Khachanov	+$7	05-12 08:55
Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	05-14 18:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 18:12:30	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x8d9082…
06-04 18:11:57	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x83df2a…
06-04 18:10:49	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd197f8…
06-04 18:10:27	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x111384…
06-04 18:08:00	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x83acb8…
06-04 16:31:36	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x631836…
06-04 16:25:31	wta shnaide chwalin 2026 06 04	Diana Shnaider	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xd3982e…
06-04 00:13:13	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa6e226…
06-04 00:12:24	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x9baa53…
06-04 00:09:40	tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	SELL	30	19¢	$6	0x56b7a0…
06-04 00:02:45	tea fdv above 40m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x08526c…
06-04 00:01:07	tea fdv above 80m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	40	21¢	$8	0x79e77b…
06-03 19:50:43	atp berrett arnaldi 2026 06 03	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0x0344ca…
06-03 18:40:24	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x0c0248…
06-03 14:14:48	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x41871d…
06-03 13:59:40	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x8c6723…
06-03 13:58:37	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	Shnaider	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x69b982…
06-03 13:32:43	Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xdc8975…
06-03 11:23:02	Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)	Shnaider	BUY	14	32¢	$4	0xca9905…
06-03 09:43:44	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0xe3cbd7…
06-03 09:43:44	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xa12186…
06-03 09:36:03	Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	Anna Kalinskaya	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xce2765…
06-02 20:52:41	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xac3e8f…
06-02 20:51:50	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xd33661…
06-02 20:35:02	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0x215372…
06-02 20:35:00	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Joao Fonseca	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1454ae…
06-02 19:29:44	Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?	Even	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7538d5…
06-02 19:18:11	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x191883…
06-02 18:14:51	Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	GamerLegion	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x45b205…
06-02 10:40:23	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Elina Svitolina	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x026c3b…
06-02 10:40:21	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Elina Svitolina	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x78e104…
06-02 10:40:21	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Elina Svitolina	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2440a1…
06-02 09:13:45	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Sorana Cirstea	Sorana Cirstea	BUY	15	23¢	$3	0x3224b1…
06-01 17:01:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1665c3…
06-01 15:03:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0x1ee663…
05-31 21:42:33	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x1f618e…
05-31 21:02:55	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xc8c040…
05-31 21:02:55	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0x09926a…
05-31 21:02:53	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xe3eff5…
05-31 21:02:53	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca	Casper Ruud	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x8a68bf…
05-31 20:35:17	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	15	67¢	$10	0x5cf4b1…
05-31 19:19:05	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0xf5a09d…
05-31 18:57:26	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	SELL	24	32¢	$8	0x85da20…
05-31 18:48:34	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev	Andrey Rublev	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x7aaab6…
05-31 11:35:44	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x376e84…
05-31 10:36:12	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf96fe5…
05-31 08:37:44	Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann	Jil Teichmann	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0x9f5f86…
05-30 19:09:17	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Brandon Nakashima	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x617165…
05-23 21:16:20	Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x800ebf…
05-23 21:12:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0xd53f28…
05-23 21:08:29	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd039bc…
05-23 17:29:47	SS Lazio vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x26097a…
05-23 17:29:04	Girona FC vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3a3b55…
05-22 18:49:01	ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	42¢	$7	0x1e4ed0…
05-20 20:41:27	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x1c072d…
05-20 20:41:18	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xdf53a8…
05-20 20:40:43	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xba892a…
05-20 19:04:02	SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x8fe2a0…
05-15 11:03:17	Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	9z	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xf94d9d…
05-15 09:24:21	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs	G2	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6eb637…
05-14 18:06:30	Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xeef8e8…
05-14 16:32:04	Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0x42cdf8…
05-13 21:27:41	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	paiN	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x64edc0…
05-13 20:27:15	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x6b4fe0…
05-13 20:17:46	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x1d70e0…
05-13 20:11:19	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0x9115b6…
05-13 18:29:20	Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6b38db…
05-13 17:54:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x666aa0…
05-13 09:36:52	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xc904cc…
05-12 20:29:53	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x349440…
05-12 20:26:49	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x3e4377…
05-12 08:55:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Casper Ruud	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x689d41…
05-12 08:55:05	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Karen Khachanov vs Dino Prizmic	Karen Khachanov	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0xa3be6e…
05-11 18:57:44	SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x1aed7b…
05-11 17:33:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x248e04…
05-11 15:33:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6f3983…
05-11 10:21:41	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x0940e4…
05-11 08:26:39	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedev	Daniil Medvedev	BUY	11	70¢	$8	0xd703e0…
05-11 08:15:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	Andrey Rublev	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x49bc4f…
05-10 20:43:07	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x802827…
05-10 20:37:24	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x02bb5a…
05-10 19:32:13	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0xe48a74…
05-10 19:08:04	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x0b6843…
05-10 19:06:28	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2bacb8…
05-10 19:05:53	Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)	FC Barcelona	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3faa55…
05-10 17:33:03	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	10	100¢	$9	0x1c418a…
05-10 15:07:00	West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf9498f…
05-06 16:36:58	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x32b5cd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Dual-Invader 0x10ad…827c	43	$2.81K	169	06-04 19:09
Scary-Edible 0x2005…75ea	39	$927.2K	6,506	06-04 21:08
Conscious-Outfielder 0xdb83…1e50	37	$103.9K	1,609	06-04 21:04
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	37	$18.0K	459	06-04 20:58
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	34	$1.29M	5,254	06-04 21:01
Ajar-Liner 0x03ba…beba	34	$53.1K	4,616	06-04 13:25
Secret-Cofactor 0x5df5…c44c	34	$11.5K	2,722	06-04 14:35
Unconscious-Assistance 0xc718…64a8	32	$55.5K	1,141	06-04 21:02