Rough-Pollutant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

Trades

466

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 06-30 16:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

72% — —

Crypto

21% 50% +$8

Tech

4% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	9	$2.2K	1,140	1,140	+0	open	—	01-27 11:18
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 19c	4	$1.8K	1,810	0	+1,810	open	—	03-25 09:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	17	$1.8K	920	920	+0	open	—	04-10 15:37
highest temperature in shanghai on march 27 2026 19c	2	$1.7K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	03-27 07:47
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	21	$1.6K	4,409	2,567	+1,842	open	—	02-01 03:38
maduro out by january 31 2026 318	5	$1.2K	1,169	700	+469	open	—	01-03 09:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	2	$1.0K	1,500	1,500	+0	open	—	06-30 16:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	2	$996	500	500	+0	open	—	04-29 12:34
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$752	400	400	+0	open	—	04-17 12:43
highest temperature in shanghai on march 25 2026 17c	10	$694	351	351	+0	open	—	03-25 10:00
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$507	300	300	+0	open	—	02-09 11:58
highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	1	$499	500	0	+500	open	—	03-28 11:41
highest temperature in shanghai on march 24 2026 14c	3	$459	231	231	+0	open	—	03-24 06:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	3	$396	200	200	+0	open	—	05-01 10:35
highest temperature in shanghai on march 23 2026 16c	6	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 06:20
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	10	$389	200	700	-500	open	—	01-08 14:49
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$358	200	200	+0	open	—	02-27 10:18
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	2	$345	197	197	+0	open	—	01-20 16:25
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	5	$324	225	225	+0	open	—	01-09 15:50
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 12c	10	$294	165	165	+0	open	—	03-12 14:28
highest temperature in shanghai on march 21 2026 14c	27	$210	1,280	1,280	+0	open	—	03-21 10:33
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 320 339	3	$196	100	100	+0	open	—	03-27 08:01
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	2	$177	100	100	+0	open	—	04-29 12:47
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$174	175	0	+175	open	—	01-24 10:55
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 13c	9	$139	109	100	+9	open	—	03-13 05:53
btc updown 5m 1772539500	2	$120	122	0	+122	open	—	03-03 12:09
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-02 15:23
highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	04-03 12:26
highest temperature in shanghai on march 20 2026 13c	5	$98	50	100	-50	open	—	03-20 02:29
highest temperature in shanghai on march 17 2026 14c	2	$97	100	0	+100	open	—	03-17 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 16:04:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	1,500	34¢	$510	0x3219ab…
06-30 14:11:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	1,500	35¢	$525	0x0a4374…
06-23 09:38:53	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	SELL	29	47¢	$14	0x658e1c…
06-23 08:43:05	will xauusd dip to 4000 in june 2026	No	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0xf22872…
06-16 11:23:25	btc updown 5m 1781608800	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0xc6eb82…
06-16 11:23:24	btc updown 5m 1781608800	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0xc5e09d…
06-16 11:23:24	btc updown 5m 1781608800	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x36b2b6…
06-16 11:22:12	btc updown 5m 1781608800	Down	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x1957be…
06-16 11:16:07	btc updown 5m 1781608500	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x676be1…
06-16 11:14:42	btc updown 5m 1781608200	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xae23cd…
05-29 08:08:20	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	51	5¢	$3	0xbc95fc…
05-29 07:18:38	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x6d523c…
05-29 07:07:03	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x95b7cc…
05-29 06:56:43	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	217	5¢	$11	0x43157d…
05-29 06:55:58	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0x3d0acf…
05-19 14:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0xfeea01…
05-19 14:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0x748d47…
05-19 14:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5e96a4…
05-19 14:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x08e6ae…
05-19 14:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5a3038…
05-19 14:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x531196…
05-19 14:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x346a0b…
05-19 14:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x39f383…
05-19 14:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x98ceaa…
05-19 14:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xbe3f1e…
05-19 14:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0970e0…
05-18 12:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x12feba…
05-18 12:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x5716d7…
05-18 10:37:38	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	15¢	$30	0x0d2e3a…
05-15 15:09:55	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	10¢	$7	0x8e6729…
05-15 14:53:32	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	134	10¢	$13	0x80c40a…
05-15 12:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x8e75e3…
05-15 12:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf46f56…
05-15 12:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x72ec02…
05-15 12:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x318680…
05-15 12:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x91ff7d…
05-15 11:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x2fafcb…
05-15 11:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xfa75a1…
05-15 11:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x9d249b…
05-13 14:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x9c8314…
05-13 14:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4df710…
05-13 14:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x6b070a…
05-13 14:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc6d5d…
05-12 12:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xe275ca…
05-12 12:41:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x919158…
05-12 12:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa0d5a4…
05-12 12:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x97886b…
05-12 12:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xb2d83b…
05-12 12:31:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x27d63a…
05-01 10:35:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x043741…
05-01 09:42:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x266571…
05-01 09:28:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 1?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xec46bd…
04-29 12:47:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	100	89¢	$89	0xd5f781…
04-29 12:38:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x7a4eb9…
04-29 12:34:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	SELL	500	100¢	$499	0x225cad…
04-29 12:03:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	500	100¢	$498	0x188bf8…
04-17 12:43:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	95¢	$380	0xf9171f…
04-17 10:56:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x344312…
04-10 15:37:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	520	98¢	$509	0x6091b1…
04-05 17:03:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	520	98¢	$511	0x9cc0a3…
04-05 10:16:03	btc updown 5m 1775384100	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc8d2a5…
04-05 10:13:57	btc updown 5m 1775383800	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2b701f…
04-05 10:10:07	btc updown 5m 1775383500	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x56b294…
04-05 09:41:53	btc updown 15m 1775381400	Up	SELL	21	50¢	$11	0xa7d1bb…
04-05 09:29:41	btc updown 15m 1775381400	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x7b0a2b…
04-03 12:26:55	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 17c	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x766015…
03-31 13:09:47	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x999825…
03-31 10:33:19	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf503c0…
03-31 08:40:07	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 22c	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x2c0074…
03-29 06:38:48	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 23corhigher	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb63ad0…
03-28 11:41:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 21c	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x243378…
03-28 08:55:33	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x973c11…
03-28 08:35:53	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x56f2e3…
03-28 08:31:09	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xeac63a…
03-28 08:30:29	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0xfb2884…
03-28 07:21:55	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x35d312…
03-28 07:21:47	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0x6120e4…
03-28 07:15:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xee8754…
03-28 07:15:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xcc315e…
03-28 07:15:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbb4775…
03-28 07:15:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x5de288…
03-28 07:15:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x4fecd8…
03-28 07:15:15	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4afc04…
03-28 06:22:03	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x016ce0…
03-28 06:17:27	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0x42b9cd…
03-27 17:28:09	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 18c	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xc0ca07…
03-27 17:28:05	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 18c	No	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0x1fcc18…
03-27 17:28:01	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 18c	No	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0xf50830…
03-27 15:17:45	btc updown 5m 1774624500	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8c4d40…
03-27 14:56:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	83	96¢	$80	0x37088e…
03-27 14:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0xd3345a…
03-27 14:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xb6b2cd…
03-27 14:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x762138…
03-27 14:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x400192…
03-27 14:51:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	60	96¢	$58	0x076561…
03-27 14:47:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x5e63ba…
03-27 14:47:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0xec7239…
03-27 14:44:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf18caa…
03-27 14:38:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x2d1042…
03-27 08:31:59	highest temperature in shanghai on march 28 2026 18c	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x60b328…