Clean-Mailbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$40

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

86.4%

Resolved

430

Trades

1,976

lifetime

Volume

$5.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-23

last 06-09 04:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 76% $-40

Sports

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Yes	+25	$3	8¢	$2	$-1	06-04 19:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	+2	$1	38¢	$1	$-0	06-04 20:22
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+8	$1	10¢	$1	$-0	06-04 20:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	4	$70	86	83	+4	open	—	04-24 21:23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$46	44	44	+0	open	—	04-24 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$42	31	31	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$32	20	20	+1	open	—	04-24 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$30	37	3	+33	open	—	04-24 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$26	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 20:58
Knicks vs. Hawks	3	$24	36	35	+1	open	—	04-25 22:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$21	27	0	+27	open	—	04-24 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$18	49	0	+49	open	—	04-24 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 14:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$14	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-22 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	5	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-25 14:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 12:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	3	$11	17	13	+4	open	—	04-25 19:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	5	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-23 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:06:31	btc updown 5m 1780977900	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8177ee…
06-09 04:06:15	btc updown 5m 1780977900	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4d32b3…
06-09 03:57:34	btc updown 5m 1780977300	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd85670…
06-09 03:57:28	btc updown 5m 1780977300	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x180811…
06-08 22:54:07	btc updown 5m 1780959000	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x99f19b…
06-08 22:52:49	btc updown 5m 1780959000	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x42a63d…
06-08 04:07:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	29	18¢	$5	0x8aeceb…
06-08 03:16:57	btc updown 5m 1780888500	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0x0f59d5…
06-08 03:16:48	btc updown 5m 1780888500	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x798eb5…
06-07 07:53:36	btc updown 5m 1780818600	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x338e4a…
06-07 07:53:24	btc updown 5m 1780818600	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x715c68…
06-04 20:23:33	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd0bfe4…
06-04 20:22:54	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf8f833…
06-04 19:59:40	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x31270f…
06-04 19:29:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x63a22b…
06-01 09:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x332d96…
06-01 09:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6e7b0f…
06-01 02:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x544a62…
06-01 02:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x696ba3…
05-31 01:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x705f7c…
05-30 22:24:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x1ea17f…
05-30 22:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x5b8775…
05-30 22:17:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1055d7…
05-30 22:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8fd548…
05-30 05:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x0c1b50…
05-30 05:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf2aafe…
05-30 04:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xbf1fea…
05-30 04:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x47fde2…
05-30 04:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xdf9dab…
05-30 04:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x42fb74…
05-30 04:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xaa81ea…
05-30 04:47:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xafffd9…
05-30 00:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x78061f…
05-29 22:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x1d8e18…
05-29 22:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0e66bb…
05-29 20:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0xeabbe9…
05-29 20:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x3d7e91…
05-29 20:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x23c845…
05-29 20:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7e464d…
05-29 04:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x47194a…
05-29 04:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0144f7…
05-29 02:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x3dd2fb…
05-29 02:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x12238f…
05-29 02:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x7b793e…
05-29 02:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0807cb…
05-29 01:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x6786b4…
05-29 01:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc2e17e…
05-29 00:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xe66e0f…
05-29 00:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x368bad…
05-28 20:51:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x94f099…
05-28 20:38:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x5139fb…
05-28 20:37:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xd0cd7e…
05-28 19:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x86cc21…
05-28 19:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdee404…
05-28 19:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xd10929…
05-28 19:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x09cda5…
05-28 18:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0x1cc68c…
05-28 18:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2babef…
05-28 14:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xfa6bd0…
05-28 14:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf5c309…
05-28 14:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x3559e2…
05-28 14:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xa7beb3…
05-28 14:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbb1f60…
05-28 11:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xaaaf74…
05-28 11:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8c2bf4…
05-28 09:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x184de8…
05-28 09:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3f8586…
05-28 06:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xab9985…
05-28 06:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc1ef7f…
05-28 06:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x7aeb31…
05-28 06:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xef27b6…
05-28 06:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x756be2…
05-27 19:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe789be…
05-27 19:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2453ac…
05-27 19:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x61c7e6…
05-27 19:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x334d7e…
05-27 19:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xa22826…
05-27 19:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x0296f2…
05-27 19:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x913aff…
05-27 17:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x04e477…
05-27 17:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xab602b…
05-27 05:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xde3d81…
05-27 05:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5ec84a…
05-26 21:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x8be841…
05-26 21:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x5949bb…
05-26 05:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x6185cd…
05-26 05:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2f213e…
05-26 03:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x42ad85…
05-26 03:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x63c042…
05-26 02:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xe690c4…
05-26 02:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb48622…
05-26 02:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8ab662…
05-26 02:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe41a7a…
05-25 20:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb18346…
05-25 20:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xfbc394…
05-25 20:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xaa40dd…
05-25 20:53:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x8130bc…
05-25 14:27:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x824c3c…
05-25 14:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x094121…
05-25 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x2ba288…