Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
145
lifetime
Volume
$1.23K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$100
2 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 06-09 20:01
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Crypto
30%
Politics
25%
Other
20%
Sports
14%
Tech
9%
Pop-Culture
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes -90 $-48 58¢ $-53 $-4 06-09 20:01
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +185 $50 26¢ $47 $-3 05-31 20:45