Grand-Mussel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.0%

Resolved

Trades

128

lifetime

Volume

$2.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-04 04:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$213	260	113	+147	open	—	05-22 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$158	198	198	+0	open	—	05-22 06:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$132	85	85	+0	Down	+$32	05-08 17:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$103	85	85	+0	Up	+$4	05-08 17:11
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	7	$99	679	0	+679	open	—	05-23 10:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$98	89	89	+0	open	—	05-21 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$94	254	0	+254	open	—	05-16 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	2	$92	100	100	+0	Down	+$18	05-09 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	1	$88	152	0	+152	Down	+$64	05-09 08:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$81	108	0	+108	Up	+$27	05-09 06:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$79	130	130	+0	open	—	05-23 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$75	123	0	+123	open	—	05-23 05:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$71	60	60	+0	open	—	05-23 09:56
eth updown 5m 1776842700	2	$70	46	45	+1	open	—	04-22 07:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$65	122	0	+122	open	—	05-21 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$60	54	54	+0	open	—	05-23 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$57	104	104	+0	open	—	05-21 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$57	126	126	+0	open	—	05-23 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	2	$52	31	31	+0	open	—	05-15 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$51	95	0	+95	open	—	05-21 13:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$50	116	0	+116	Down	$-50	05-08 12:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$50	86	0	+86	Down	+$37	05-08 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$40	25	25	+0	open	—	05-21 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$35	37	37	+0	Up	$-11	05-08 12:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$34	41	40	+1	open	—	05-23 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$33	41	41	+0	open	—	05-15 05:42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$33	48	48	+0	open	—	06-03 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$32	36	36	+0	Up	$-18	05-09 08:28
eth updown 5m 1776851700	2	$31	38	37	+1	open	—	04-22 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$30	44	44	+0	open	—	05-21 10:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 04:45:52	eth updown 5m 1780548300	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x68a83a…
06-03 06:02:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	22	50¢	$11	0x0f8906…
06-03 06:00:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xa8b0bd…
06-03 05:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	575	0¢	$2	0x289a57…
06-03 05:18:38	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	48	27¢	$13	0x50e751…
06-03 05:17:24	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x4bb82b…
06-03 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x651035…
06-02 07:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	40¢	$8	0x82b94d…
06-02 07:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	21	46¢	$9	0x2d2a07…
06-02 07:48:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	463	1¢	$3	0x74af78…
06-02 07:41:16	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	56¢	$7	0x979fa0…
06-02 07:39:47	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,122	1¢	$8	0x5397af…
06-02 06:46:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,122	1¢	$10	0xf27590…
05-23 11:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x2ced68…
05-23 11:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0xe6fafb…
05-23 11:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	48¢	$12	0x697549…
05-23 10:52:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x7daba9…
05-23 10:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9d6a2d…
05-23 10:42:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeed413…
05-23 10:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x2da9cb…
05-23 10:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xf9f2ac…
05-23 10:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc996fb…
05-23 10:34:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x2fc136…
05-23 10:32:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0xfd5e57…
05-23 10:32:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xac5809…
05-23 10:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x58cfd3…
05-23 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x51bf44…
05-23 10:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb6cef0…
05-23 10:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x0f4d31…
05-23 10:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x71c097…
05-23 10:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	126	16¢	$20	0x4ad8de…
05-23 10:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	126	29¢	$37	0xc913d6…
05-23 10:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	130	31¢	$40	0x7195cc…
05-23 10:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	130	30¢	$38	0x09c524…
05-23 09:56:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	60	69¢	$41	0x482194…
05-23 09:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	60	49¢	$30	0x29c0ee…
05-23 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	54	59¢	$32	0x2c1b8b…
05-23 09:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0x84f7cd…
05-23 05:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	123	61¢	$75	0x938aa4…
05-22 10:57:36	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0xf43aad…
05-22 10:55:40	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	507	15¢	$76	0x51d35f…
05-22 10:55:05	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	110	14¢	$15	0x1a760f…
05-22 10:54:57	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x34dcf8…
05-22 10:54:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x189bcc…
05-22 10:54:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x8cd4bc…
05-22 06:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	147	52¢	$77	0x4ce5c4…
05-22 06:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	113	72¢	$81	0xb63bb6…
05-22 06:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	113	48¢	$54	0x72d65c…
05-22 06:36:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	198	30¢	$59	0xc45743…
05-22 06:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	198	50¢	$98	0xb3689b…
05-21 17:19:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	122	53¢	$65	0x3b3189…
05-21 13:27:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0xb92a9e…
05-21 13:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	25	97¢	$25	0xa7b469…
05-21 13:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$16	0x6e2c13…
05-21 13:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	95	54¢	$51	0xc9adfc…
05-21 11:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xca0fe4…
05-21 10:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0xca1f21…
05-21 10:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$24	0x10ed8d…
05-21 10:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	47	18¢	$8	0x3d3d35…
05-21 10:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x9cb3a1…
05-21 10:41:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	104	23¢	$24	0xf6fd5a…
05-21 10:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	32¢	$33	0xc4d454…
05-21 10:37:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	89	57¢	$51	0xb6b482…
05-21 10:36:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	89	52¢	$47	0xcdf695…
05-16 12:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	254	37¢	$94	0x0b677f…
05-15 06:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xf69620…
05-15 05:54:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	97¢	$30	0xf9fc35…
05-15 05:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x547044…
05-15 05:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0x290abb…
05-15 05:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x19e352…
05-15 05:42:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	41	40¢	$17	0x79e39e…
05-15 05:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	41	41¢	$17	0xd20c3a…
05-15 05:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xe5437f…
05-15 05:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x160b59…
05-15 04:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	49	14¢	$7	0xb92c62…
05-15 04:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	49	38¢	$19	0xdf44e0…
05-09 09:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc3cfcf…
05-09 08:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	152	58¢	$88	0xf80c37…
05-09 08:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	57	48¢	$27	0x59d3a1…
05-09 08:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0x9eaf42…
05-09 08:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0xb20e8d…
05-09 08:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x445a36…
05-09 08:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0xfbbb51…
05-09 08:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0x6a2034…
05-09 07:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	55¢	$55	0xaea5ee…
05-09 07:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x15606a…
05-09 07:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xbfae72…
05-09 06:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	108	75¢	$81	0x0d396d…
05-08 17:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0x07501a…
05-08 17:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0xfb4c87…
05-08 17:11:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	85	63¢	$54	0x112e61…
05-08 17:10:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	85	58¢	$50	0x978940…
05-08 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x753c48…
05-08 12:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	37	33¢	$12	0xf87aa6…
05-08 12:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0x0190af…
05-08 12:17:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x852b00…
05-08 12:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x81ff16…
05-08 10:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x53f0d5…
05-08 10:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x9213d1…
04-22 10:01:04	eth updown 5m 1776852000	Down	SELL	15	22¢	$3	0x19379c…