Simple-Heir — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$382

Open exposure

$1.05K

1 position

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-07 19:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% — —

Crypto

40% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No		+1,054	$1,050	100¢	$1.1K	+$2	06-07 19:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	7	$2.1K	1,076	1,076	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	3	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	03-15 17:49
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	03-24 19:57
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$2.1K	1,069	1,069	+0	open	—	03-21 19:29
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$2.1K	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	03-12 20:46
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	14	$2.1K	1,061	1,061	+0	open	—	03-20 11:28
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	4	$1.8K	1,063	786	+276	open	—	05-19 19:13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.6K	1,071	535	+536	open	—	04-19 03:58
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	1	$1.1K	1,067	0	+1,067	open	—	03-15 17:54
will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	03-24 19:57
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	1	$1.0K	1,054	0	+1,054	open	—	06-07 19:33
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$1.0K	502	502	+0	open	—	05-12 21:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	3	$1.0K	504	504	+0	open	—	05-24 06:56
will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	1	$970	972	0	+972	open	—	02-20 02:23
Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	1	$534	537	0	+537	open	—	04-19 04:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$520	261	261	+0	open	—	05-26 09:42
will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-20 02:23
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	1	$90	91	0	+91	open	—	02-27 01:50
eth updown 15m 1773130500	1	$85	86	0	+86	open	—	03-10 08:29
Lakers vs. Thunder	1	$1	1	0	+1	Thunder	+$0	05-02 10:12
cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-16 20:06
76ers vs. Celtics	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-02 10:11
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	1	$1	1	0	+1	Timberwolves	$-1	05-02 10:12
cbb hpnt wisc 2026 03 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-16 20:06
cbb mcnst vand 2026 03 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-16 20:06
cbb troy nebr 2026 03 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-16 20:06
cbb ndkst mst 2026 03 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-16 20:06
cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-16 20:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 19:33:07	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?	No	BUY	1,054	100¢	$1,050	0x577770…
05-26 09:42:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	SELL	261	100¢	$260	0xa53a01…
05-24 06:56:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	SELL	504	99¢	$500	0x5f891e…
05-24 03:46:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	403	99¢	$400	0x5ebe1d…
05-24 03:46:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc3bb80…
05-19 19:15:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	261	100¢	$260	0xec8464…
05-19 19:13:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x22fee0…
05-16 20:17:11	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	521	100¢	$519	0x33e6a7…
05-14 01:00:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	560	100¢	$558	0x33bca1…
05-12 21:23:30	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	502	100¢	$501	0x5adca4…
05-02 10:12:10	Lakers vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x454c0b…
05-02 10:12:02	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x8ee090…
05-02 10:11:52	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x093853…
05-02 10:10:48	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	502	100¢	$501	0x6f111f…
05-02 10:05:18	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	503	100¢	$501	0x0fa9b4…
04-19 04:02:46	Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?	No	BUY	537	100¢	$534	0x3ea309…
04-19 03:58:50	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	535	100¢	$534	0xd82ce0…
04-08 01:37:33	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,067	0xb36324…
04-07 22:33:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	151	99¢	$149	0xe69ef3…
04-07 22:15:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	418	99¢	$415	0x0c8ef2…
04-07 22:08:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x30452f…
04-07 21:59:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0xe87ccd…
04-07 21:31:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	202	99¢	$200	0x3a11af…
04-07 21:29:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xd28df7…
04-03 04:29:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,076	99¢	$1,068	0x605fa8…
03-24 19:57:31	will ethereum dip to 800 in march 2026	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,065	0x9d25e9…
03-24 19:57:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,067	100¢	$1,064	0x4b8e11…
03-21 19:29:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,064	0xd87f95…
03-21 19:29:07	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1,069	100¢	$1,064	0x5d9593…
03-21 10:57:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1,069	100¢	$1,064	0xf8da38…
03-20 11:28:51	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	559	100¢	$559	0x431618…
03-20 11:01:59	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x58a6da…
03-20 10:04:23	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6144c6…
03-20 10:01:33	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfbf201…
03-20 09:39:41	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x9ad7c9…
03-20 09:34:43	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3fe0a8…
03-20 09:26:11	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xdfb00a…
03-20 09:25:21	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x25be36…
03-20 09:21:03	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x74e994…
03-20 09:16:01	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xe488d0…
03-20 09:04:49	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x936ec6…
03-20 08:53:01	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x3c6f47…
03-20 08:38:37	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0xa52cb4…
03-16 20:07:21	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of march	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,060	0xdea05c…
03-16 20:06:41	cbb ndkst mst 2026 03 19	Michigan State Spartans	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x82fe13…
03-16 20:06:37	cbb mcnst vand 2026 03 19	Vanderbilt Commodores	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x984ff9…
03-16 20:06:29	cbb siena duke 2026 03 19	Duke Blue Devils	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20ba4a…
03-16 20:06:25	cbb hpnt wisc 2026 03 19	Wisconsin Badgers	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9a87b5…
03-16 20:06:17	cbb troy nebr 2026 03 19	Nebraska Cornhuskers	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa68e3b…
03-16 20:06:13	cbb smu miaoh 2026 03 18	SMU Mustangs	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5ab2ef…
03-15 17:54:49	will bitcoin dip to 64k march 9 15	No	BUY	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0xb86cde…
03-15 17:49:11	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	1,067	100¢	$1,066	0x22aa77…
03-12 20:46:31	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	981	100¢	$980	0x28826c…
03-12 20:46:13	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	982	100¢	$980	0x579f48…
03-10 08:33:31	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x8938fb…
03-10 08:29:39	eth updown 15m 1773130500	Up	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0x867a7f…
03-10 08:29:07	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x148d02…
03-05 03:47:11	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	565	100¢	$563	0xb7e6fd…
03-05 03:44:47	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	502	100¢	$500	0xcdf525…
02-27 01:50:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xb73b1d…
02-20 02:23:40	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	No	BUY	972	100¢	$970	0x800a61…
02-20 02:23:18	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x038193…