Short-Might — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$57

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.6%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$4.72K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-21 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 67% $-57

Other

11% — —

Sports

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	4	$517	662	662	+0	open	—	05-20 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$472	805	805	+0	open	—	05-20 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$257	538	538	+0	open	—	05-21 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$179	598	598	+0	open	—	05-20 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	4	$131	1,345	1,345	+0	Up	+$31	05-13 00:59
eth updown 5m 1775178600	5	$126	89	89	+0	open	—	04-03 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$125	238	238	+0	Up	$-90	05-13 01:12
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of march 479 558	4	$114	92	62	+30	open	—	03-27 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$108	681	536	+144	Up	+$8	05-12 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$105	113	113	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 21:04
bitcoin above 68k on march 24	5	$102	54	54	+0	open	—	03-24 07:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$100	189	0	+189	open	—	05-20 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	4	$87	217	168	+50	Up	$-13	05-13 01:08
bitcoin above 66k on march 25	4	$70	37	37	+0	open	—	03-24 09:36
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 ulberg win by ko tko	2	$70	194	0	+194	open	—	04-10 19:03
bitcoin above 68k on march 26	3	$65	77	0	+77	open	—	03-24 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$60	54	54	+0	Up	+$10	05-12 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$59	57	57	+0	Down	+$9	05-12 20:46
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	3	$58	44	44	+0	open	—	01-23 19:39
bitcoin above 66k on march 24	4	$52	27	27	+0	open	—	03-23 18:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$48	28	28	+0	open	—	04-30 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$48	208	208	+0	open	—	05-20 16:22
bitcoin above 70k on march 26	4	$46	39	39	+0	open	—	03-26 14:54
bitcoin above 68k on march 25	2	$45	52	0	+52	open	—	03-24 08:09
bitcoin above 70k on march 24	3	$45	40	39	+0	open	—	03-23 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$43	53	53	+0	open	—	05-20 21:08
btc updown 5m 1774571100	7	$43	79	79	+1	open	—	03-27 00:29
eth updown 5m 1775179200	5	$42	84	0	+84	open	—	04-03 01:21
cbb ucla uconn 2026 03 22	2	$39	56	55	+0	open	—	03-22 10:30
btc updown 5m 1771011000	3	$38	49	8	+41	open	—	02-13 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xa5758b…
05-21 16:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,008	2¢	$25	0xa94212…
05-21 05:54:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	264	2¢	$5	0x1cb648…
05-21 05:54:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	264	30¢	$80	0xba6624…
05-21 05:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	274	33¢	$92	0xd07215…
05-21 05:52:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	274	29¢	$80	0x484511…
05-21 05:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	156	3¢	$5	0x45ce87…
05-21 05:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	156	16¢	$25	0xea3bb6…
05-21 05:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	880	3¢	$25	0x725095…
05-20 21:08:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	53	34¢	$18	0xf1bcf7…
05-20 21:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xccbcdf…
05-20 21:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	390	55¢	$215	0xe23904…
05-20 21:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	390	21¢	$80	0x85d72b…
05-20 21:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	142	21¢	$30	0x04b528…
05-20 21:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	273	22¢	$60	0xb3ed97…
05-20 21:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	415	21¢	$87	0xd4f895…
05-20 16:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x8b4f44…
05-20 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	208	11¢	$23	0xf7b02d…
05-20 16:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x003ff1…
05-20 16:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	598	13¢	$79	0x5c468d…
05-20 16:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	598	17¢	$100	0x73a61c…
05-20 16:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	368	76¢	$281	0x9b3ac8…
05-20 16:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	368	27¢	$100	0xde4ff1…
05-20 16:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	293	12¢	$36	0x0de1c7…
05-20 16:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	293	34¢	$100	0x2b3822…
05-13 01:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0x22f551…
05-13 01:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	48	15¢	$7	0xf91006…
05-13 01:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	190	8¢	$15	0x932f98…
05-13 01:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	190	53¢	$100	0xcd5d30…
05-13 01:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	59	14¢	$8	0xbec4dd…
05-13 01:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x636871…
05-13 01:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	109	26¢	$28	0xea5499…
05-13 01:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x199546…
05-13 01:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0x723571…
05-13 01:04:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	109	7¢	$8	0x830865…
05-13 01:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x315963…
05-13 00:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1,250	6¢	$71	0x3e501b…
05-13 00:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,250	2¢	$25	0x9e9c1c…
05-13 00:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	95	10¢	$10	0x894e7c…
05-13 00:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	95	26¢	$25	0x7d346e…
05-12 21:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	74	33¢	$24	0x0867fb…
05-12 21:04:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x41dd77…
05-12 21:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	39	80¢	$31	0xda931a…
05-12 21:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x0b0d84…
05-12 20:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	481	5¢	$25	0x1706fd…
05-12 20:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xdd874e…
05-12 20:52:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x5dc77c…
05-12 20:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	52	60¢	$31	0x742941…
05-12 20:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x754a76…
05-12 20:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	57	59¢	$34	0x1875bc…
05-12 20:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0x3193d3…
05-12 20:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	54	65¢	$35	0x8d9509…
05-12 20:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x54a63f…
05-11 00:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xd27d1d…
04-30 20:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0xcd9241…
04-30 20:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	13	88¢	$12	0x3d5e16…
04-30 20:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf65281…
04-30 20:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xd49148…
04-30 19:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x8acb4a…
04-30 19:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xa7c665…
04-30 19:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x81c8ed…
04-30 19:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xa95d7e…
04-30 19:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	11¢	$2	0x52fd35…
04-30 19:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd9b078…
04-30 19:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x7285e1…
04-30 18:57:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x49a870…
04-13 17:37:47	eth updown 5m 1776101700	Up	BUY	32	45¢	$14	0x2a63f2…
04-13 06:02:15	eth updown 5m 1776060000	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xdcf51d…
04-13 06:02:15	eth updown 5m 1776060000	Up	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xac7d2f…
04-13 06:02:05	eth updown 5m 1776060000	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0x9b6735…
04-12 15:24:09	ufc gil1 mik9 2026 04 18	Gilbert Burns	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0x6d1256…
04-12 00:15:31	btc updown 5m 1775952900	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x46f226…
04-12 00:12:17	ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	Vicente Luque	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4303c7…
04-12 00:11:49	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x5484d0…
04-10 19:10:15	ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	Vicente Luque	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa5c7f5…
04-10 19:08:51	ufc kev ran3 2026 04 11	Kevin Holland	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc07d0b…
04-10 19:03:07	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 ulberg win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	167	36¢	$60	0x0b6a76…
04-10 19:00:59	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11 ulberg win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8f3c77…
04-06 05:27:53	will trumps remarks not air 219	Yes	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x13aedd…
04-04 01:39:49	btc updown 5m 1775266500	Down	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x12b9b1…
04-04 01:39:41	btc updown 5m 1775266500	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xb1616c…
04-04 01:36:09	btc updown 5m 1775266500	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdd0dfb…
04-03 03:24:01	btc updown 5m 1775186400	Down	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0x0f2df0…
04-03 03:22:29	btc updown 5m 1775186400	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x3afd42…
04-03 01:56:43	eth updown 5m 1775181300	Down	BUY	83	37¢	$31	0x201839…
04-03 01:40:49	eth updown 5m 1775180400	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdeccbc…
04-03 01:22:03	btc updown 5m 1775179200	Up	BUY	73	44¢	$32	0xe1289a…
04-03 01:21:25	eth updown 5m 1775179200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc43385…
04-03 01:21:25	eth updown 5m 1775179200	Down	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xa9b617…
04-03 01:21:25	eth updown 5m 1775179200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa5c199…
04-03 01:21:25	eth updown 5m 1775179200	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x4fcc48…
04-03 01:21:25	eth updown 5m 1775179200	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0caf18…
04-03 01:14:55	btc updown 5m 1775178600	Down	BUY	77	49¢	$38	0xc7c09c…
04-03 01:14:31	eth updown 5m 1775178600	Down	SELL	89	92¢	$82	0xe578f2…
04-03 01:13:59	eth updown 5m 1775178600	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xe51fff…
04-03 01:13:59	eth updown 5m 1775178600	Down	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0xba65ac…
04-03 01:13:59	eth updown 5m 1775178600	Down	BUY	75	50¢	$37	0x2a9d37…
04-03 01:13:59	eth updown 5m 1775178600	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x17b820…
04-03 00:14:59	btc updown 5m 1775175000	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc288dd…
04-01 17:21:15	sol updown 5m 1775064000	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x500066…