Submissive-Pinto — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

13.8%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$2.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 05-23 13:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

40% — —

Crypto

30% 50% +$23

Politics

30% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	3	$462	584	584	+0	open	—	02-13 13:54
will the department of homeland security receive full year funding by february 13 2026	5	$100	20,492	0	+20,492	open	—	02-13 22:42
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$100	556	0	+556	open	—	02-17 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$100	221	0	+221	Up	$-100	05-10 16:08
houthi strike on israel by february 28	1	$100	435	0	+435	open	—	02-28 13:41
will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	2	$69	1,357	1,357	+0	open	—	02-22 13:08
us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	2	$60	921	0	+921	open	—	02-27 14:20
will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	2	$60	50	50	+0	open	—	02-15 15:16
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	5	$51	4,238	0	+4,238	open	—	02-28 14:44
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	4	$50	2,630	0	+2,630	open	—	02-28 14:44
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	3	$48	1,400	1,400	+0	open	—	02-24 16:30
will the us next strike iran on february 2 2026 et	2	$45	33,549	0	+33,549	open	—	02-05 05:07
ethereum above 2800 on february 8	1	$45	10,973	0	+10,973	open	—	02-07 17:07
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$35	8,250	0	+8,250	open	—	03-11 02:05
Will the US strike Iraq next?	3	$30	3,160	0	+3,160	open	—	03-01 11:23
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	2	$30	1,545	0	+1,545	open	—	02-22 13:09
btc updown 15m 1770709500	3	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	02-10 07:55
btc updown 15m 1770840000	3	$30	55	0	+55	open	—	02-11 20:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$25	57	0	+57	open	—	05-16 06:56
will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	1	$20	968	0	+968	open	—	02-27 14:28
will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	2	$20	324	324	+0	open	—	02-22 13:05
will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	2	$20	1,313	0	+1,313	open	—	02-19 13:19
will the us next strike iran on february 21 2026 et	1	$20	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	02-09 05:40
btc updown 15m 1770704100	2	$20	367	0	+367	open	—	02-10 06:28
btc updown 5m 1771950900	1	$20	143	0	+143	open	—	02-24 16:37
btc updown 15m 1770697800	2	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	02-10 04:36
btc updown 5m 1771225500	2	$20	1,143	0	+1,143	open	—	02-16 07:08
btc updown 15m 1770694200	2	$20	1,470	0	+1,470	open	—	02-10 03:44
btc updown 5m 1771508100	2	$20	1,097	0	+1,097	open	—	02-19 13:39
btc updown 5m 1771224900	1	$20	673	0	+673	open	—	02-16 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 13:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xde8205…
05-23 11:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd33bfb…
05-23 11:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x26cf9d…
05-23 11:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xccfa82…
05-23 11:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x8d4aa6…
05-22 12:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x464060…
05-22 11:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x80f52c…
05-22 10:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9d92c0…
05-22 10:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x320492…
05-22 10:42:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfca83c…
05-16 06:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xcba979…
05-16 03:29:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x2fa7de…
05-10 16:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x72de58…
05-09 19:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xf8bcf8…
05-09 19:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x46cd63…
05-08 12:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	64	7¢	$4	0x8ed371…
05-08 12:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xf754f7…
05-08 12:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xc000b3…
05-01 16:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xed4c4c…
05-01 16:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0x319d9e…
05-01 16:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa50b48…
05-01 05:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xa9809d…
04-29 17:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x1a1536…
04-29 15:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xb733fc…
04-29 15:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x444369…
04-29 14:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x0d2488…
04-29 14:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x44dbf9…
04-29 14:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x14a0f7…
04-29 14:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbd1583…
04-29 14:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x46f91a…
04-29 14:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x07cbb0…
04-29 14:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xeafa16…
04-29 14:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x021dd8…
04-29 14:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xa993ca…
04-29 14:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x3ffa88…
03-11 02:05:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	6,250	0¢	$25	0x32f959…
03-11 01:35:03	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x5ccbf7…
03-11 01:31:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$10	0x97b990…
03-06 04:53:35	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	83	11¢	$9	0x485039…
03-06 04:50:35	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xeeb693…
03-01 11:23:13	Will the US strike Iraq next?	Yes	BUY	1,119	1¢	$10	0x1b5731…
03-01 03:44:23	btc updown 5m 1772336400	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x90ba27…
03-01 03:43:27	btc updown 5m 1772336400	Down	BUY	167	5¢	$9	0x3bbe68…
02-28 18:36:01	Will the US strike Iraq next?	Yes	BUY	946	1¢	$10	0xa4f9e0…
02-28 18:35:45	Will the US strike Syria next?	Yes	BUY	3,383	0¢	$10	0x2d3530…
02-28 18:35:21	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	423	2¢	$10	0xe7b2b3…
02-28 18:32:29	Will the US strike Iraq next?	Yes	BUY	1,095	1¢	$10	0xe75b5c…
02-28 14:44:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	628	2¢	$10	0x7c44c0…
02-28 14:44:01	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	Yes	BUY	495	2¢	$10	0x1cf6c0…
02-28 13:41:17	houthi strike on israel by february 28	Yes	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0x1ddcc8…
02-28 13:36:57	odds of khamenei being out as supreme leader by march 31 over 30 in february	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x0b0095…
02-28 13:21:57	odds of khamenei out by march 31 over 40 in february	No	BUY	2,550	0¢	$10	0x251594…
02-27 14:28:37	will trump declare war on iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	968	2¢	$20	0x1ee3a1…
02-27 14:23:23	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28 881	Yes	BUY	1,749	1¢	$20	0xe55d8e…
02-27 14:21:05	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	1,953	1¢	$10	0xa3bc17…
02-27 14:20:43	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	Yes	BUY	718	7¢	$50	0xde2f32…
02-24 16:37:36	btc updown 5m 1771950900	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x9512f1…
02-24 16:30:44	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	SELL	1,400	1¢	$18	0x92e24e…
02-22 13:09:38	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	BUY	918	2¢	$20	0x475cf3…
02-22 13:09:18	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	769	3¢	$20	0x6bd891…
02-22 13:08:44	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	Yes	SELL	1,357	2¢	$20	0x2ad68d…
02-22 13:05:42	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	SELL	324	3¢	$10	0x58a57b…
02-22 13:05:22	ice forced to unmask by february 28	Yes	SELL	596	1¢	$6	0xc48942…
02-22 13:05:14	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	Yes	SELL	333	2¢	$8	0xc5d279…
02-20 20:31:08	will the us next strike iran on february 22 2026 et	Yes	BUY	1,357	4¢	$49	0x92dfce…
02-20 04:34:32	btc updown 5m 1771561800	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xdc2ecd…
02-20 04:28:58	btc updown 5m 1771561500	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x4d7a44…
02-20 04:28:58	btc updown 5m 1771561500	Down	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x46ee29…
02-20 04:28:58	btc updown 5m 1771561500	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x02dfd6…
02-20 01:51:24	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	No	BUY	1,250	1¢	$10	0x754cb7…
02-19 13:39:30	btc updown 5m 1771508100	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x81884c…
02-19 13:38:52	btc updown 5m 1771508100	Up	BUY	97	10¢	$10	0xb3b4a8…
02-19 13:30:54	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	2,508	0¢	$10	0xddf65a…
02-19 13:30:18	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	632	2¢	$10	0xcf1cd6…
02-19 13:19:44	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0xa8fa28…
02-19 04:42:06	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x86121f…
02-18 18:25:52	us evacuates baghdad embassy by february 28	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$10	0x63dab7…
02-18 18:22:36	Will the US strike Iraq next?	Yes	BUY	1,456	1¢	$10	0xb04987…
02-18 18:21:46	Will the US strike Yemen next?	Yes	BUY	542	2¢	$10	0x3de9fc…
02-18 18:07:14	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	Yes	BUY	2,830	0¢	$10	0xc266e9…
02-18 13:07:54	will the us next strike iran on february 26 2026 et	Yes	BUY	598	2¢	$10	0x410eec…
02-18 13:07:50	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	505	2¢	$10	0x99801d…
02-18 13:07:14	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	630	2¢	$10	0x97e1c5…
02-18 13:07:04	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	BUY	627	2¢	$10	0xd1fddf…
02-17 17:16:23	ice forced to unmask by february 28	Yes	BUY	596	2¢	$10	0x03da29…
02-17 17:15:17	will the dhs shutdown last 7 days or more	No	BUY	833	1¢	$10	0x86ec24…
02-17 17:13:29	will the dhs shutdown end between march 24 27 2026	Yes	BUY	324	3¢	$10	0x26e9ec…
02-17 17:13:17	will the dhs shutdown end between march 28 31 2026	Yes	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0xea5198…
02-17 17:12:13	will the dhs shutdown end between february 20 23 2026	Yes	BUY	376	3¢	$10	0x05b8bf…
02-17 17:12:01	will the dhs shutdown end between february 16 19 2026	Yes	BUY	1,188	1¢	$10	0xf7eb71…
02-17 10:57:39	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	719	1¢	$11	0xe37b2b…
02-17 10:47:35	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	556	18¢	$100	0x87a6f1…
02-17 10:41:01	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	714	1¢	$10	0x80d4e3…
02-16 16:03:25	btc updown 5m 1771257600	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x0e8555…
02-16 07:08:57	btc updown 5m 1771225500	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x687847…
02-16 07:07:43	btc updown 5m 1771225500	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x44324d…
02-16 06:59:51	btc updown 5m 1771224900	Down	BUY	673	3¢	$20	0x2a5e92…
02-16 06:21:55	btc updown 5m 1771222800	Up	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xbfbe16…
02-16 06:20:37	btc updown 5m 1771222800	Up	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8aa3f4…
02-15 15:16:01	will the us seize an iranian oil tanker by feb 28	Yes	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xb37e9c…