Dangerous-Gaffer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$106

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-20 16:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 26% $-23

Sports

12% 40% +$0

Other

10% 0% $-2

Politics

6% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 11:04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 21:27
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$4	6	6	+0	No	$-0	05-04 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 10:52
Lakers vs. Thunder	5	$3	14	14	+0	Thunder	$-0	05-04 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-20 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 10:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	+$3	05-05 10:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	3	$3	107	0	+107	Down	$-3	05-05 10:55
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	3	$3	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-05 10:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	3	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-3	05-05 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	05-20 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	+$1	05-05 10:12
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	2	$2	5	5	+0	Timberwolves	+$0	05-04 19:09
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 21:27
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	2	$2	2	2	+0	Boston Red Sox	+$0	05-04 21:27
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile	3	$2	3	2	+1	Rinky Hijikata	$-0	05-04 18:55
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	2	$2	2	2	+0	Over	+$0	05-04 21:28
76ers vs. Knicks	2	$2	4	4	+0	Knicks	$-0	05-04 21:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 18:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$2	105	0	+105	Up	$-2	05-05 10:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$2	103	0	+103	Down	$-2	05-05 10:45
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$2	11	0	+11	Up	+$0	05-05 10:27
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-05 10:38
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	8	0	+8	Up	$-2	05-05 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 10:32
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-05 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 16:26:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x8e2bb4…
05-20 16:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x375d3d…
05-20 16:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0xfcfc07…
05-20 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xd39b9f…
05-20 16:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x896266…
05-20 11:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x00585d…
05-20 11:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xefd153…
05-20 10:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0x4470b4…
05-20 10:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0xb26340…
05-20 10:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x3c05b2…
05-20 10:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0x2d4c91…
05-20 10:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	6	30¢	$2	0xa7fe31…
05-20 10:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf3344e…
05-20 10:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xc41715…
05-20 10:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf6b051…
05-05 10:59:52	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x015e3a…
05-05 10:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0ddb64…
05-05 10:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa5e8ba…
05-05 10:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x905286…
05-05 10:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3f2bdf…
05-05 10:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdbf253…
05-05 10:45:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x85a4ad…
05-05 10:42:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x66295c…
05-05 10:42:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa92222…
05-05 10:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x58400f…
05-05 10:40:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa694d7…
05-05 10:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x1d89ef…
05-05 10:38:22	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x328b12…
05-05 10:38:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xec3b2b…
05-05 10:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4c77e7…
05-05 10:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd3f50f…
05-05 10:32:16	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfbb936…
05-05 10:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x58b2a4…
05-05 10:30:32	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x506e40…
05-05 10:30:30	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4be09a…
05-05 10:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf9f2a3…
05-05 10:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdf9bb5…
05-05 10:27:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x613b34…
05-05 10:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4751d0…
05-05 10:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x09ba48…
05-05 10:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x950824…
05-05 10:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe25f00…
05-05 10:25:08	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x750be3…
05-05 10:23:54	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9afbfc…
05-05 10:23:50	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1f3130…
05-05 10:23:48	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0e5215…
05-05 10:23:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdfe7a3…
05-05 10:23:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbb2fb0…
05-05 10:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x1e30d6…
05-05 10:22:20	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x99381e…
05-05 10:20:18	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc9d89d…
05-05 10:20:14	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3eadd2…
05-05 10:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe3fd9b…
05-05 10:20:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb5c086…
05-05 10:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8f3823…
05-05 10:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x5347c6…
05-05 10:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xcce991…
05-05 10:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfd821e…
05-05 10:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8348e5…
05-05 10:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x105b33…
05-05 09:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb4641b…
05-04 21:28:04	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3a5c23…
05-04 21:27:52	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x165150…
05-04 21:27:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x1d9c4a…
05-04 21:27:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4ed944…
05-04 21:24:38	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0xeee8e2…
05-04 21:24:32	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x8e0069…
05-04 21:24:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x35a35c…
05-04 19:46:58	LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Shifters	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xf6c6f3…
05-04 19:46:58	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x38dee7…
05-04 19:46:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0xae8cbe…
05-04 19:42:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2afe32…
05-04 19:17:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3a55d9…
05-04 19:17:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xbf09a1…
05-04 19:11:38	Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers	Boston Red Sox	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xbbe2b7…
05-04 19:10:12	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xf913d8…
05-04 19:09:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc63b82…
05-04 18:55:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile	Rinky Hijikata	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0xd03b8b…
05-04 18:49:56	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xece0ef…
05-04 18:25:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8550ee…
05-04 18:23:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Pierluigi Basile	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x0c4b31…
05-04 18:23:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xe99bec…
05-04 18:22:56	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xddd2a4…
05-04 18:22:56	76ers vs. Knicks	76ers	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x31814f…
05-04 18:22:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1beec2…
05-04 18:22:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xc3327b…
05-04 18:21:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xee684b…
05-04 18:21:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfdd3af…
05-04 14:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x3594fc…
05-04 14:49:24	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x33cd6d…
05-04 14:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9742f8…
05-04 12:08:08	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0xc8a8e1…
05-04 12:08:06	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x5060fe…
05-04 11:31:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	85¢	$1	0x46a787…
05-04 11:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc16895…