Shadowy-Supplement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.27K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.9%

Resolved

Trades

374

lifetime

Volume

$24.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$65

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 08-06 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% — —

Politics

22% 100% +$2,519

Crypto

11% 75% +$749

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	23	$16.3K	15,684	15,684	+0	open	—	08-05 12:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	153	$1.8K	37,554	39,240	-1,686	open	—	04-07 14:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	18	$957	808	808	+0	Down	+$607	05-11 18:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$940	3,459	0	+3,459	Yes	+$2,519	05-08 19:25
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	15	$637	1,568	1,568	+0	open	—	04-12 19:33
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$610	2,137	1,887	+250	open	—	04-03 18:09
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	24	$572	11,906	11,882	+24	open	—	07-24 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	28	$513	455	343	+112	Down	+$140	05-11 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$349	236	236	+0	open	—	04-29 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 29?	4	$329	272	272	+0	open	—	04-29 15:59
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	3	$312	891	891	+0	open	—	04-20 00:27
will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	17	$305	2,954	0	+2,954	open	—	08-06 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	5	$250	172	172	+0	Down	+$88	05-11 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$218	405	0	+405	open	—	04-29 19:23
US strike on Mexico by March 31?	10	$121	804	804	+0	open	—	02-04 12:41
israel closes its airspace by july 24	7	$87	2,748	0	+2,748	open	—	07-25 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	7	$86	186	0	+186	Up	$-86	05-11 18:46
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	11	$62	238	238	+0	open	—	04-16 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$40	39	39	+0	open	—	04-29 19:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	4	$15	33	33	+0	open	—	04-16 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$14	34	0	+34	open	—	04-29 19:33
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?	2	$9	1,793	0	+1,793	open	—	04-16 19:39
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	2	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	04-15 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$7	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 14:57
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	1	$1	198	0	+198	open	—	04-29 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 12:00:21	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x7307fe…
08-06 03:15:42	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x631129…
08-06 01:42:33	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	159	4¢	$6	0xfd253b…
08-06 01:32:50	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xe55e2d…
08-06 00:53:14	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	53	5¢	$3	0x8fc06e…
08-06 00:30:14	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	897	5¢	$45	0x07b73c…
08-06 00:19:14	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	796	6¢	$48	0xe878f8…
08-05 23:49:48	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	60	7¢	$4	0x8a139b…
08-05 23:46:50	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0x3d9671…
08-05 12:02:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1	54¢	$0	0xb9dcb3…
08-05 12:02:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x74039b…
08-05 12:02:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	146	54¢	$79	0xaf0f0a…
08-05 12:00:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	2,000	54¢	$1,080	0x2224a1…
08-05 12:00:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	548	54¢	$296	0xe35406…
08-05 12:00:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	2,500	54¢	$1,350	0x2c690d…
08-05 12:00:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x44b340…
08-05 12:00:41	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	9	54¢	$5	0x26e918…
08-05 12:00:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	13	54¢	$7	0xf35732…
08-05 12:00:36	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	4,000	54¢	$2,160	0x133d7c…
08-05 12:00:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	500	54¢	$270	0xe085e6…
08-05 12:00:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	2,500	54¢	$1,350	0xf69ef3…
08-05 11:00:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	123	54¢	$67	0xb7300d…
08-05 11:00:18	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	848	54¢	$458	0x3d22ff…
08-05 11:00:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	148	54¢	$80	0x441ef1…
08-05 10:56:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	669	54¢	$361	0xed8160…
08-05 10:55:42	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1,261	54¢	$681	0x75a62d…
08-05 10:47:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	180	55¢	$98	0x231737…
08-05 10:41:02	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	27	55¢	$15	0x183aef…
08-05 10:24:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	1	55¢	$1	0xa057a7…
08-05 07:07:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	84	47¢	$40	0x99351f…
08-05 06:25:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	600	49¢	$294	0xed9ed2…
08-05 06:18:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	15,000	50¢	$7,500	0x5eecd6…
08-05 06:01:21	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	296	29¢	$86	0xcd5abb…
08-05 06:01:21	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x7b5eb8…
08-05 05:55:00	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x13b186…
08-05 05:34:47	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x26078b…
08-05 05:32:33	will the senate vote on the clarity act before the august recess 20260729185025133	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf260da…
07-25 00:18:18	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x135719…
07-25 00:13:22	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	228	3¢	$6	0x460993…
07-24 19:42:51	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	667	3¢	$21	0x8bd6a8…
07-24 19:42:51	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	743	3¢	$23	0x6ec932…
07-24 19:40:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	2,916	2¢	$44	0x369f24…
07-24 19:40:12	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xabeaa8…
07-24 19:38:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0xf2f52c…
07-24 19:38:09	israel closes its airspace by july 24	Yes	BUY	700	3¢	$24	0x5877d1…
07-24 19:34:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	2,940	2¢	$56	0xe7bd88…
07-24 19:33:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,055	2¢	$25	0xc3c81f…
07-24 19:28:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	417	2¢	$10	0x7e8e2e…
07-24 19:13:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	673	2¢	$17	0x9ee1c9…
07-24 19:12:49	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	248	2¢	$6	0x068331…
07-24 19:12:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	454	2¢	$8	0x807a57…
07-24 19:10:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	972	2¢	$24	0x9ac126…
07-24 19:06:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	200	2¢	$5	0x0aa0fe…
07-24 19:02:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x44477a…
07-24 19:01:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	918	2¢	$17	0xc6a2f4…
07-24 18:53:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	143	2¢	$4	0x0973b5…
07-24 18:44:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	197	2¢	$4	0x01c34a…
07-24 18:39:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	710	3¢	$20	0x551112…
07-24 18:38:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	178	3¢	$5	0x5642d5…
07-24 18:32:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	2,604	2¢	$52	0x9eca6b…
07-24 18:32:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,922	3¢	$58	0x6c5ea4…
07-24 18:14:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0x0ee28b…
07-24 18:13:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	129	3¢	$4	0x30ec34…
07-24 18:09:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	332	3¢	$10	0xbea1da…
07-24 18:05:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	48	3¢	$1	0xaa60e2…
07-24 18:04:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	SELL	1,903	3¢	$59	0xdc3906…
07-24 18:04:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	710	3¢	$21	0x9feed7…
07-24 18:02:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 24	No	BUY	3,983	3¢	$119	0x33ce9d…
05-15 20:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xd0c5ac…
05-15 20:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3daf9e…
05-15 20:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x508e6e…
05-11 19:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	111	13¢	$15	0x64fbbb…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xfc0625…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xfb8ac0…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	95¢	$14	0xf3e6c9…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xea6790…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xe8024c…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe20032…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xe0dffd…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xc7d4f5…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xb50699…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xabc6f5…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x93cb31…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	19	95¢	$18	0x7d9960…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	95¢	$8	0x6263e9…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x604ab3…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x5deced…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x5dda6c…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x5bd07f…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	16	95¢	$16	0x5ac08c…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x5978ca…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x3f3c14…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x2a5123…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x19f0b3…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x086257…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x04227f…
05-11 19:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x009457…
05-11 18:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	355	99¢	$352	0xa03ccc…
05-11 18:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x4bde95…
05-11 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	276	50¢	$138	0x95095a…