Well-Informed-Commission — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.7%

Resolved

Trades

623

lifetime

Volume

$6.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-25

last 07-15 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 49% $-19

Politics

3% — —

Other

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$233	196	196	+0	open	—	04-27 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$130	227	127	+100	Up	+$8	05-12 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$91	83	83	+0	Up	+$11	05-13 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$88	69	69	+0	Down	+$48	05-13 07:40
btc updown 5m 1776538200	4	$85	98	94	+4	open	—	04-18 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$82	130	111	+19	Down	+$22	05-12 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$79	96	96	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$79	179	90	+89	Down	+$29	05-12 12:04
btc updown 5m 1776534000	4	$76	81	78	+3	open	—	04-18 17:44
btc updown 5m 1774902300	4	$74	81	80	+1	open	—	03-30 20:29
btc updown 5m 1774901700	6	$72	69	68	+1	open	—	03-30 20:19
btc updown 5m 1776124800	2	$72	96	92	+4	open	—	04-14 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	5	$71	70	70	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$71	98	98	+0	Up	+$21	05-12 18:37
btc updown 5m 1776538500	3	$70	74	50	+24	open	—	04-18 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	6	$68	61	59	+2	open	—	04-27 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$67	53	53	+0	Up	+$7	05-14 05:28
btc updown 5m 1776537600	4	$67	56	54	+2	open	—	04-18 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$67	69	69	+0	Up	+$17	05-09 12:30
btc updown 5m 1774831500	4	$66	63	62	+1	open	—	03-30 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$63	59	49	+10	Down	+$21	05-13 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	6	$61	67	67	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$61	64	64	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$60	89	56	+33	Down	+$18	05-13 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	4	$60	92	40	+53	Up	$-20	05-12 11:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$59	71	71	+0	Up	+$19	05-08 18:47
btc updown 5m 1776349500	2	$57	51	50	+2	open	—	04-16 14:27
btc updown 5m 1776350100	2	$57	57	55	+2	open	—	04-16 14:36
btc updown 5m 1776300000	4	$57	50	48	+2	open	—	04-16 00:45
btc updown 5m 1775039400	2	$55	49	47	+2	open	—	04-01 10:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 13:11:53	will russia capture pokrovka by july 31	No	BUY	162	3¢	$5	0xef1492…
06-15 14:34:28	btc updown 5m 1781533800	Up	SELL	61	15¢	$9	0x91e6bf…
06-15 14:30:34	btc updown 5m 1781533800	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x25460c…
06-15 14:30:16	btc updown 5m 1781533800	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb64a1d…
06-15 14:26:04	btc updown 5m 1781533500	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xe9a1e0…
06-15 14:25:49	btc updown 5m 1781533500	Up	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0x030ac0…
06-15 14:25:09	btc updown 5m 1781533500	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x10dad3…
06-15 14:14:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0xfe7c83…
06-15 14:14:12	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 15 20260613193829177	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x81c5fc…
05-14 05:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x5ec866…
05-14 05:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	103	19¢	$20	0x6f2cb6…
05-14 05:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0xeba48e…
05-14 05:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x5b20b4…
05-14 05:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xd3727f…
05-14 05:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x5cd5ee…
05-14 05:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	31¢	$6	0x20f393…
05-14 05:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	34	92¢	$32	0x9c15fe…
05-14 05:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x278442…
05-14 05:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xfedf71…
05-14 05:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x70e6dc…
05-14 05:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xbb6f61…
05-13 13:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	28	64¢	$18	0x4d2886…
05-13 13:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xe3e8dd…
05-13 13:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	68	31¢	$21	0x973e58…
05-13 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	68	30¢	$20	0x3f4fce…
05-13 13:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	60	3¢	$2	0x51b0bc…
05-13 13:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0x7d4654…
05-13 13:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	35	25¢	$9	0x54b325…
05-13 13:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xb610a6…
05-13 13:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	28	16¢	$4	0xe21958…
05-13 13:32:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9a0c73…
05-13 13:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	75¢	$12	0xe3b128…
05-13 13:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	65¢	$11	0x5bf491…
05-13 13:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0xeca8b5…
05-13 13:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x6f250d…
05-13 13:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1b2d2b…
05-13 07:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	42	99¢	$41	0x97a7c1…
05-13 07:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x9484a8…
05-13 07:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	42	23¢	$10	0x2ec965…
05-13 07:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x6e9c47…
05-13 07:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	24	44¢	$11	0x0e1f5a…
05-13 07:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x52681c…
05-13 07:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x37fa47…
05-13 07:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	69	99¢	$68	0x1f2b81…
05-13 07:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0x864bb8…
05-13 06:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	38	35¢	$13	0x68c25b…
05-13 06:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xc70da7…
05-13 05:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5d3298…
05-13 05:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x690238…
05-13 05:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfebda4…
05-13 05:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6e5ff8…
05-13 05:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	22	84¢	$19	0x2ad001…
05-13 05:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xe7c9d8…
05-13 05:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	22	63¢	$14	0x632db7…
05-13 05:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x56b3d9…
05-13 05:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7b0bb9…
05-13 05:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	49	87¢	$42	0x748e1f…
05-13 05:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xcbe738…
05-13 05:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0d8e7f…
05-13 05:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	56	71¢	$39	0xd08190…
05-13 05:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x249b06…
05-12 19:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4df7f2…
05-12 19:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	127	54¢	$69	0x67c1b3…
05-12 19:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xbc8679…
05-12 19:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x64fff6…
05-12 19:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xafae2a…
05-12 19:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x833a45…
05-12 18:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	51	52¢	$27	0x35ab84…
05-12 18:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x19c6de…
05-12 18:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	60	34¢	$20	0xc27a5a…
05-12 18:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xe0b7c6…
05-12 18:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe65b09…
05-12 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xd52a1b…
05-12 18:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$11	0x6e701b…
05-12 18:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xda4d2d…
05-12 18:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	45	6¢	$3	0x440dc2…
05-12 18:36:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x66c3c9…
05-12 18:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	53	81¢	$43	0xc1f146…
05-12 18:35:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x2dbb7a…
05-12 18:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xeb4b5c…
05-12 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x7d6390…
05-12 18:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc2a6e1…
05-12 18:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7c8d0d…
05-12 12:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	17	63¢	$11	0x1e2a53…
05-12 12:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x55f627…
05-12 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	28	88¢	$24	0x74cb72…
05-12 12:05:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xd5e315…
05-12 12:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	89	6¢	$5	0x5c852f…
05-12 12:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	90	59¢	$54	0xb52a7b…
05-12 12:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	90	22¢	$20	0x72d679…
05-12 11:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0x15758f…
05-12 11:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x03a55b…
05-12 11:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	50¢	$9	0xe5837d…
05-12 11:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x23a035…
05-12 11:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	43	58¢	$25	0x9999a5…
05-12 11:51:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x6eda33…
05-12 11:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	38	59¢	$23	0xb25556…
05-12 11:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0xb69daa…
05-12 11:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x97bac9…
05-12 11:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x593ec6…