Adolescent-Artery — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

199

lifetime

Volume

$84.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$423

Open exposure

$210

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-11 05:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

49% 0% $-1

Sports

42% 0% $-3

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+211	$209	100¢	$210	+$0	06-11 05:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	5	$6.5K	4,034	2,508	+1,526	open	—	03-25 18:16
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$5.7K	2,882	2,882	+0	No	$-3	03-23 05:44
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,124	2,124	+0	open	—	04-22 09:16
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.4K	1,690	1,690	+0	open	—	04-08 04:27
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.3K	1,659	1,659	+0	open	—	03-21 09:05
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$3.3K	1,652	1,652	+0	open	—	03-21 06:28
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$3.3K	1,648	1,648	+0	open	—	03-20 12:02
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$3.2K	1,596	1,596	+0	open	—	03-22 13:36
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$3.2K	1,586	1,586	+0	open	—	04-15 03:31
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.2K	1,583	1,583	+0	open	—	03-28 12:00
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$3.1K	1,540	1,540	+0	open	—	03-12 08:25
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,487	1,487	+0	open	—	03-21 16:03
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.9K	1,461	1,461	+0	open	—	03-25 22:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2.7K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	03-16 08:38
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$2.7K	1,364	1,364	+0	open	—	01-24 10:05
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2.5K	1,274	1,274	+0	open	—	03-17 10:44
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	03-18 06:44
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.4K	1,222	1,222	+0	open	—	03-13 04:05
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2.2K	1,119	1,119	+0	open	—	02-27 08:08
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,070	1,070	+0	open	—	04-20 07:31
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,061	1,061	+0	open	—	04-18 06:54
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.9K	977	977	+0	open	—	02-08 08:12
nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	14	$1.7K	2,946	0	+2,946	open	—	03-29 07:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$1.7K	3,400	0	+3,400	open	—	03-16 05:23
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	5	$1.4K	684	684	+0	open	—	01-15 15:07
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$1.0K	524	524	+0	No	$-1	04-13 08:15
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	1	$1.0K	1,264	0	+1,264	open	—	04-25 05:20
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$990	496	496	+0	open	—	01-26 11:10
will bitcoin reach 130k in january 2026	11	$971	494	483	+10	open	—	01-22 09:18
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	31	$888	446	446	+0	open	—	01-13 05:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 05:31:42	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	211	99¢	$209	0xfab6a4…
06-05 02:19:43	cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	BIG	BUY	96	69¢	$67	0x0f7fdc…
06-03 03:49:12	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Knicks	BUY	112	42¢	$47	0xa3eb63…
06-01 05:50:41	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	84	60¢	$50	0xb4fc40…
05-26 10:42:32	Will Solana dip to $50 in May?	No	BUY	357	100¢	$357	0xf7363b…
05-22 05:06:15	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	126	54¢	$68	0xbb01a6…
05-20 09:00:22	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Spurs	BUY	136	51¢	$70	0xb350e3…
04-25 05:20:14	UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)	Michelle Montague	BUY	1,264	81¢	$1,024	0x07027b…
04-22 09:16:50	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$995	0x1c154d…
04-22 06:58:20	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$996	0x68760f…
04-20 07:31:14	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,070	100¢	$1,066	0x80d0c5…
04-20 05:41:16	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,070	100¢	$1,067	0xf05346…
04-18 06:54:00	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,061	100¢	$1,056	0xddafcd…
04-18 06:14:32	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,061	100¢	$1,057	0x594936…
04-17 06:49:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,124	100¢	$1,118	0xf77b0d…
04-17 05:41:08	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,119	0xc92c29…
04-15 03:31:04	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	754	100¢	$751	0x69ba3f…
04-15 02:09:58	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	754	100¢	$752	0x5887ad…
04-13 08:15:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	524	100¢	$522	0xc7cfaf…
04-13 06:04:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	524	100¢	$523	0xe79247…
04-12 06:49:23	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	832	100¢	$829	0xcc1a18…
04-12 05:12:51	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	832	100¢	$830	0x02903b…
04-08 04:27:49	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,690	100¢	$1,685	0x5dfb47…
04-08 03:22:01	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,690	100¢	$1,687	0x38b86a…
04-03 03:29:43	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xb9a5f8…
03-29 07:04:14	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	147	59¢	$87	0x5a065d…
03-29 07:03:46	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x98d6e1…
03-29 07:03:42	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0x76e228…
03-29 07:03:40	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	504	59¢	$297	0x9a89db…
03-29 07:03:26	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	23	59¢	$14	0x3c8ace…
03-29 07:02:56	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x52627a…
03-29 07:02:52	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xdeb165…
03-29 07:02:50	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xec4c79…
03-29 07:02:50	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	727	59¢	$429	0x42c40e…
03-29 07:02:50	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	136	59¢	$80	0x14c8ca…
03-29 07:02:48	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	327	59¢	$193	0x770043…
03-29 07:02:48	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	462	59¢	$272	0x5f62ff…
03-29 07:02:48	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	32	59¢	$19	0x1fdd5b…
03-29 07:02:48	nhl fla nyr 2026 03 29	Rangers	BUY	504	59¢	$297	0x10cb3d…
03-28 12:00:41	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,583	100¢	$1,576	0xc623ea…
03-28 10:29:37	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,583	100¢	$1,578	0xfaaefc…
03-28 10:13:57	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0xa45431…
03-25 22:41:39	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,461	99¢	$1,452	0x29fd03…
03-25 20:39:13	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,461	100¢	$1,455	0x715c2a…
03-25 18:16:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1,526	100¢	$1,523	0x2507b5…
03-23 05:44:21	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,536	99¢	$1,527	0xd7ea49…
03-23 04:53:07	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,536	100¢	$1,528	0xc1ae6b…
03-22 13:36:55	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1,596	100¢	$1,591	0xad4ad1…
03-22 12:08:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1,596	100¢	$1,593	0x060ed2…
03-21 16:03:17	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,487	100¢	$1,482	0xc754c3…
03-21 13:44:43	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,487	100¢	$1,483	0xbf6db2…
03-21 09:05:07	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,659	100¢	$1,654	0x091458…
03-21 08:15:17	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,659	100¢	$1,655	0xd2bbbe…
03-21 06:28:05	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,652	100¢	$1,647	0x0616f8…
03-21 04:22:35	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,652	100¢	$1,649	0x74681d…
03-20 12:02:45	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	1,648	100¢	$1,645	0xd28f99…
03-20 10:25:51	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	1,648	100¢	$1,646	0xbe02c1…
03-18 06:44:01	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,234	100¢	$1,230	0xcde988…
03-18 04:54:55	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,232	0x8d3524…
03-17 10:44:53	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	1,274	100¢	$1,270	0xd85120…
03-17 09:03:05	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	1,274	100¢	$1,271	0xd3be28…
03-16 08:39:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	500	70¢	$350	0x8e2a3c…
03-16 08:38:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1,600	84¢	$1,344	0x792c93…
03-16 08:17:03	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	188	70¢	$132	0xe2db06…
03-16 08:16:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xb5ade2…
03-16 08:14:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	4	70¢	$2	0x26d854…
03-16 08:14:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x738aee…
03-16 08:13:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xa06cd8…
03-16 08:12:19	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x702cfe…
03-16 08:11:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x180f22…
03-16 08:11:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	239	70¢	$167	0x0b4aea…
03-16 08:10:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	19	70¢	$13	0x865f44…
03-16 06:49:13	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,600	84¢	$1,344	0xe45c0d…
03-16 05:23:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	20	88¢	$17	0x9e5805…
03-16 05:16:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xacb907…
03-16 05:10:43	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x8a80c9…
03-16 05:00:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	83	88¢	$73	0x31af63…
03-16 05:00:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x8b6396…
03-16 04:58:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1,437	88¢	$1,264	0x297d77…
03-16 04:02:31	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,700	11¢	$187	0x1da126…
03-14 02:13:31	nhl sea van 2026 03 14	Canucks	BUY	137	45¢	$62	0xd4c76a…
03-13 04:05:19	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,222	99¢	$1,213	0x376340…
03-13 02:44:57	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,222	99¢	$1,215	0x11f5c2…
03-13 02:06:37	fl1 olm aja 2026 03 13 olm	Yes	BUY	101	68¢	$68	0x7a748a…
03-12 08:25:07	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,540	99¢	$1,529	0xc1bd2c…
03-12 06:53:37	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,540	99¢	$1,529	0xff705c…
03-12 03:43:47	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x96c4ca…
03-12 03:42:13	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xe7e3cf…
03-12 03:41:47	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x236e04…
03-12 03:41:03	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	112	100¢	$112	0x58083a…
03-12 03:40:49	Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x94ba01…
03-12 02:22:49	uel lil ast4 2026 03 12 lil	Yes	BUY	309	32¢	$99	0xbf8ad9…
03-11 05:17:23	nba tor nop 2026 03 11	Raptors	BUY	133	53¢	$70	0x19c032…
03-10 08:39:35	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,346	99¢	$1,338	0x6bb5c4…
03-10 07:41:57	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,346	100¢	$1,339	0x0578b4…
03-10 03:33:13	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	1,439	100¢	$1,435	0x1fdc41…
03-10 02:05:13	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 draw	No	BUY	159	78¢	$124	0x80b984…
03-10 01:47:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	1,439	100¢	$1,436	0xe21d1f…
03-09 01:55:47	nba gsw uta 2026 03 09	Jazz	BUY	307	30¢	$92	0x172d6a…
03-08 03:06:05	nba cha phx 2026 03 08	Suns	BUY	174	38¢	$66	0x1c7962…