Jumpy-Lilac — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$81

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-12 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 50% +$0

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$6	5	4	+1	open	—	05-04 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$5	4	3	+1	open	—	05-04 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	5	$4	140	0	+140	open	—	04-27 05:50
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$4	640	0	+640	open	—	04-27 07:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	04-30 23:54
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	4	$4	1,115	89	+1,026	open	—	05-12 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	3	$3	3	1	+2	open	—	05-04 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	1	$3	750	0	+750	open	—	04-27 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 21:40
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$2	107	102	+5	open	—	04-28 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-01 11:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	2	$2	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$0	05-10 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 12:58
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-30 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	05-04 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-04 14:02
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$1	33	0	+33	open	—	05-04 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	open	—	05-04 14:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 09:59:43	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2bb4f8…
05-10 18:55:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9145a7…
05-10 18:49:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x248f82…
05-10 15:37:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x668e9e…
05-10 15:18:40	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x5e7e7e…
05-10 15:14:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0xc1e860…
05-09 13:15:24	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	115	1¢	$1	0x147dda…
05-04 15:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x639c9d…
05-04 15:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x7fbce8…
05-04 15:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x691b68…
05-04 15:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x217edd…
05-04 15:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xfb5efa…
05-04 14:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x107c62…
05-04 14:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf8e77f…
05-04 14:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x7994d6…
05-04 14:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x26e580…
05-04 14:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7125da…
05-04 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x1b25fd…
05-04 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd21b4b…
05-04 14:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x961573…
05-04 14:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0x0dd572…
05-04 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x5937b9…
05-04 14:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	87¢	$2	0xd4c8a5…
05-04 14:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x878cd4…
05-04 14:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6c1b3f…
05-04 13:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab06a5…
05-04 13:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x4f769d…
05-04 13:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xebc4fc…
05-04 13:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3054f9…
05-04 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7992c4…
05-04 12:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5f8f26…
05-04 12:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3db736…
05-04 12:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x57c812…
05-04 12:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6d0000…
05-04 12:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x30f065…
05-04 12:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf8eba0…
05-04 12:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xba95aa…
05-01 12:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x14a3bb…
05-01 12:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb7db97…
05-01 12:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xec8564…
05-01 11:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe89361…
05-01 11:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x20c59c…
04-30 23:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbe7250…
04-30 23:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3806fe…
04-30 23:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x5c9264…
04-30 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7fc13d…
04-30 23:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc2be4d…
04-30 22:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x213c6f…
04-30 22:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x88f2cb…
04-30 22:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x60957b…
04-30 22:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc2e3f2…
04-30 21:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x77d861…
04-30 21:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x425aa5…
04-28 09:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0xddb1fa…
04-28 08:19:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x9388d0…
04-27 16:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4fb7b4…
04-27 15:19:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb5e673…
04-27 07:06:20	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	2¢	$2	0x5fc6c6…
04-27 07:06:08	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	0¢	$3	0xec4f40…
04-27 07:05:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	640	1¢	$4	0x024615…
04-27 07:05:04	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfd13cd…
04-27 05:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	88	3¢	$3	0xaa5f8c…
04-27 05:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x2e3d14…
04-27 05:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x7eaf92…
04-27 05:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x0d0c84…
04-27 05:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	3¢	$1	0x8318e6…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	28	$25.1K	768	05-12 12:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	25	$53.4K	2,436	05-04 15:04
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	24	$34.5K	4,646	05-04 15:04
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	24	$20.2K	101	05-07 18:49
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	24	$15.8K	1,347	05-04 15:04
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	24	$10.8K	1,615	05-04 15:05
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	24	$10.2K	1,547	05-04 15:05
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	24	$10.1K	2,782	05-04 15:05