Flashy-Stallion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.75K

Unrealized P&L

+$837

Hit rate

64.0%

Resolved

Trades

689

lifetime

Volume

$63.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

$186

1 position

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-17 16:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

67% 36% -$2,321

Other

25% 38% +$2,059

Tech

8% 22% -$1,482

Crypto

0% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-17).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes		-3,104	-$1,024	6¢	$-186	+$837	05-04 06:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	37	$8.0K	12,765	12,760	+5	No	+$2,749	05-27 17:43
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	9	$6.4K	3,678	3,668	+10	Yes	+$908	04-09 01:43
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	4	$3.0K	3,067	3,067	+0	No	+$260	06-07 19:14
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	19	$2.6K	2,290	804	+1,487	Yes	+$253	05-29 16:05
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	22	$2.4K	2,398	2,167	+231	No	+$366	05-19 19:41
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	27	$2.0K	9,133	9,133	+0	No	-$74	05-23 21:08
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	33	$2.0K	2,862	2,582	+280	No	-$439	06-15 22:09
iran closes its airspace by june 8	2	$1.9K	1,509	1,509	+0	Yes	-$69	06-07 19:27
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	7	$1.9K	2,588	1,788	+800	No	+$476	04-15 21:27
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	38	$1.6K	1,933	1,998	-64	Yes	-$144	04-16 15:11
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	19	$1.6K	1,943	1,943	+0	No	+$90	06-12 14:33
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	15	$1.6K	2,007	100	+1,907	No	-$1,414	05-15 15:46
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	24	$1.3K	3,507	0	+3,507	No	-$1,347	05-18 20:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	17	$1.3K	6,281	1,445	+4,836	Yes	-$625	06-12 15:23
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	3	$1.2K	220	3,324	-3,104	open	—	05-04 06:16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	12	$1.1K	761	761	+0	No	+$69	06-03 22:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	4	$1.1K	952	952	+0	No	+$240	06-12 13:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$1.1K	700	700	+0	No	+$107	05-29 15:16
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?	8	$932	2,428	2,276	+152	No	-$533	04-09 21:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$929	1,000	110	+890	No	+$119	05-29 15:23
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	12	$893	17,197	800	+16,397	Yes	+$195	04-30 08:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	8	$874	505	505	+0	No	+$56	05-25 04:54
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?	9	$807	526	526	+0	Yes	+$181	05-25 12:59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	3	$796	613	613	+0	Yes	+$13	05-03 19:59
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	43	$792	2,619	350	+2,269	Yes	-$603	04-10 10:32
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 30, 2026?	14	$777	730	730	+0	Yes	+$255	04-16 11:52
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	2	$776	2,219	2,219	+0	No	-$224	04-08 11:28
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	2	$750	500	500	+0	open	—	05-28 15:29
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	5	$744	1,029	1,029	+0	open	—	05-03 08:38
israel closes its airspace by june 8	2	$700	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$200	06-08 08:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 16:39:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	250	41¢	$102	0x24798f…
07-02 08:35:56	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	183	67¢	$123	0x11b265…
07-02 07:43:31	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xe4a73e…
07-02 07:43:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x215c86…
07-02 07:42:58	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	29	67¢	$19	0x2e2a9f…
06-23 15:02:32	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	203	52¢	$105	0x8c9d72…
06-23 15:00:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	83	52¢	$43	0x7f52a7…
06-23 14:59:11	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0x849ea6…
06-17 23:00:11	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	238	51¢	$121	0x77fc3b…
06-17 17:32:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0xe70e21…
06-17 04:39:28	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x84a059…
06-17 03:08:03	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	87	54¢	$47	0x6c8062…
06-16 09:27:10	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xd9e89d…
06-16 09:27:09	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdac024…
06-16 09:27:09	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb62cf5…
06-16 09:27:07	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2d262f…
06-16 09:27:06	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfaeef3…
06-16 09:27:04	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1d7f32…
06-16 08:57:18	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x009c40…
06-16 08:57:16	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa791f6…
06-16 08:17:00	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x9f2635…
06-16 07:22:19	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	22	54¢	$12	0x6a005f…
06-16 07:07:48	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x52741f…
06-16 07:07:46	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xca9d7d…
06-16 07:07:45	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xfa99a1…
06-16 07:07:45	israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xcb9ed7…
06-15 22:09:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	BUY	280	11¢	$31	0x98abd0…
06-12 16:48:09	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	No	SELL	230	15¢	$35	0x72bdf2…
06-12 16:03:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	3,500	1¢	$38	0x9ef1d2…
06-12 15:39:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	25,000	0¢	$25	0x77a60c…
06-12 15:23:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	366	11¢	$40	0x8340eb…
06-12 15:20:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0x6a3cea…
06-12 15:18:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	112	11¢	$12	0x4f63d5…
06-12 15:15:39	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x24aecb…
06-12 15:15:28	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x38b1cb…
06-12 15:13:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x75291c…
06-12 14:33:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	1,288	41¢	$528	0xa570a2…
06-12 13:54:33	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0x3bacbe…
06-12 13:52:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	393	49¢	$193	0x73753b…
06-12 13:51:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0xfaba07…
06-12 13:51:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	233	49¢	$114	0xfb445e…
06-12 13:50:57	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	SELL	24	49¢	$12	0xae2544…
06-12 13:49:51	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	533	67¢	$358	0x75f5c3…
06-12 11:24:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	BUY	533	45¢	$240	0x33ea88…
06-12 05:46:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	981	15¢	$147	0x7296e4…
06-11 21:42:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,497	0¢	$3	0xc9befd…
06-11 19:37:21	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	952	16¢	$152	0xd758f2…
06-11 19:19:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	29	18¢	$5	0x0a7cfd…
06-11 18:25:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x036fc7…
06-11 18:19:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x28be96…
06-11 17:58:40	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xdcccbe…
06-11 17:56:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	1,034	3¢	$34	0x013e78…
06-11 17:53:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?	No	BUY	102	3¢	$3	0x1e2c08…
06-11 12:56:13	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	952	4¢	$37	0x7cb622…
06-11 12:53:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	48	4¢	$2	0xa80b95…
06-11 12:53:09	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	102	1¢	$1	0x7733c3…
06-10 21:23:28	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	168	40¢	$67	0x7855c9…
06-10 21:22:15	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	55	40¢	$22	0x26d310…
06-10 21:02:45	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x943210…
06-10 21:02:45	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0x5ec543…
06-10 14:53:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	No	SELL	419	78¢	$327	0x3c5fa3…
06-10 13:06:12	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,160	28¢	$327	0xfc1256…
06-10 11:06:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xfbe0b3…
06-10 08:25:06	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,497	0¢	$10	0x50f396…
06-10 04:59:33	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	375	51¢	$191	0x7f21bc…
06-10 04:00:49	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc31ee9…
06-10 02:43:12	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x101823…
06-10 01:40:52	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xc5b764…
06-09 22:28:06	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa33eab…
06-09 21:00:57	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x058449…
06-09 20:36:48	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9efbc0…
06-09 20:34:52	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x595240…
06-09 20:34:31	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xb78113…
06-09 20:31:48	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf5f1c9…
06-09 20:23:45	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf855e0…
06-09 20:19:16	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	185	49¢	$91	0xb2de7e…
06-09 20:17:30	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?	Yes	BUY	185	50¢	$92	0x98d587…
06-09 16:37:06	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	5,100	1¢	$71	0x8b972f…
06-09 16:19:48	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0x91d2bd…
06-09 15:43:16	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?	No	BUY	5,103	7¢	$373	0x17b123…
06-08 08:59:21	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,000	25¢	$250	0x9d528c…
06-08 06:33:42	israel closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,000	45¢	$450	0x3fb73d…
06-07 19:52:34	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0x5cb324…
06-07 19:27:28	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,509	62¢	$931	0xfe2b59…
06-07 19:25:37	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,509	66¢	$1,000	0xeef535…
06-07 19:14:13	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	3,067	54¢	$1,645	0x1ed756…
06-07 19:04:55	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	58	60¢	$35	0xca58ab…
06-07 19:02:37	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	241	30¢	$72	0xd84737…
06-07 19:01:42	Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	Yes	SELL	600	30¢	$180	0x6f5801…
06-07 18:58:51	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x4b19f4…
06-07 18:57:33	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	2,708	44¢	$1,200	0x7048bd…
06-07 18:38:03	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	Yes	SELL	600	0¢	$3	0x895df3…
06-07 18:37:54	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	1,000	3¢	$28	0x79ea4d…
06-07 18:37:39	Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,048	0¢	$9	0x2cb47f…
06-07 09:24:09	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	284	1¢	$4	0x997aec…
06-07 09:15:54	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x76c4bc…
06-07 09:15:54	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x030162…
06-07 09:08:04	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xe1029e…
06-07 09:08:03	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xd66212…
06-07 09:07:52	Will SpaceX raise between $60B and $70B in its IPO?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc0617b…