Itchy-Pence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$120.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.31K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-15 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% — —

Other

0% 86% +$4

Politics

0% 0% $-7

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	6	$120.0K	120,000	120,000	+0	open	—	01-04 19:22
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 20:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	$-7	05-07 22:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	05-09 22:08
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	4	$4	6	0	+6	Natus Vincere	+$2	05-11 13:00
will bitcoin reach 104k january 12 18	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-18 11:38
nfl ten jax 2026 01 04	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-04 19:22
will andrew van ginkel lead the nfl in sacks this season	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-04 12:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-18 11:39
si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-04 19:12
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	01-04 19:21
nba nop sas 2026 01 25	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	01-25 23:12
epl mac che 2026 01 04 mac	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	01-04 19:10
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	01-04 19:23
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 12:05
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:11
Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:07
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-13 00:31
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:07
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:08
nba bkn lac 2026 01 25	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	01-25 23:11
nba min was 2026 01 04	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:21
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-09 01:45
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:16
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:16
will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:03
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 12:05
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-09 01:45
will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-29 18:56
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 19:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 20:50:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$4	0xf88916…
05-15 20:45:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xcd828a…
05-15 20:45:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x676ab0…
05-12 16:20:03	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x30812d…
05-11 13:00:14	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf34c26…
05-11 13:00:07	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xde8ff1…
05-11 13:00:07	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x2ab6bd…
05-11 13:00:04	Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Passion UA (+1.5)	Natus Vincere	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb1ae39…
05-11 11:04:02	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BC.Game Esports (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0x69425e…
05-10 09:09:03	Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0xe4e512…
05-09 22:08:13	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2f4698…
05-09 21:36:55	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Spirit (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7d1bd2…
05-09 09:39:11	Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)	Team Falcons	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7ef408…
05-09 00:44:21	Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)	TheMongolz	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x50e908…
05-07 22:13:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x435d34…
05-04 20:01:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x910385…
05-02 02:43:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x484d20…
01-29 18:56:02	will tariffs generate 250b in 2025	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc06387…
01-25 23:12:06	nba nop sas 2026 01 25	Spurs	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xe23551…
01-25 23:11:56	nba bkn lac 2026 01 25	Clippers	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xffed37…
01-18 11:39:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xd0c28d…
01-18 11:38:36	will bitcoin reach 104k january 12 18	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xaaa07a…
01-13 00:31:55	will bitcoin reach 104k january 12 18	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3f1e58…
01-13 00:31:47	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x52cc9e…
01-09 01:45:32	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3641fd…
01-09 01:45:26	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa76cbb…
01-04 19:23:53	microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2eec0c…
01-04 19:22:39	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Up	SELL	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0xde60af…
01-04 19:22:29	nfl ten jax 2026 01 04	Jaguars	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd8ee8a…
01-04 19:21:31	nba okc phx 2026 01 04	Thunder	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x26a439…
01-04 19:21:27	nba min was 2026 01 04	Timberwolves	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x8cee08…
01-04 19:18:13	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Up	BUY	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0xba8877…
01-04 19:16:55	Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5d2d2a…
01-04 19:16:53	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x051aa6…
01-04 19:13:05	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Up	SELL	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0x76aead…
01-04 19:12:01	si hit 25 low jan 2026 271 644 727	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x3ada6d…
01-04 19:11:55	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc8cc05…
01-04 19:11:51	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7fbd43…
01-04 19:11:09	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Up	BUY	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0xed89a0…
01-04 19:10:55	epl mac che 2026 01 04 mac	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x5b5a9f…
01-04 19:10:41	nfl ten jax 2026 01 04	Jaguars	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xd8cc8c…
01-04 19:09:09	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Up	SELL	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0x2fd8fd…
01-04 19:08:49	us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x47a8e4…
01-04 19:07:59	Will Mallorca win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x74571e…
01-04 19:07:57	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x14cc96…
01-04 19:06:43	bitcoin up or down january 4 4pm et	Up	BUY	40,000	50¢	$20,000	0x7cca98…
01-04 19:03:09	will trump deport 750000 1000000 people	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc1db0f…
01-04 12:05:33	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc0493f…
01-04 12:05:29	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xaa83fc…
01-04 12:05:19	will andrew van ginkel lead the nfl in sacks this season	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9c6d0c…
01-02 17:40:49	will drake maye lead the nfl in passing yards this season	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x27aa73…
01-02 17:40:45	will andrew van ginkel lead the nfl in sacks this season	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4cab22…