Alienated-Chalet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$31.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$714

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-20 08:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$3

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,832	0	+1,832	No	+$4	05-12 22:29
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	1	$1.8K	1,828	0	+1,828	No	+$4	05-12 11:42
Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	1	$1.8K	1,825	0	+1,825	No	+$4	05-12 01:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$1.8K	1,821	0	+1,821	Yes	+$4	05-11 07:21
Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	1	$1.8K	1,818	0	+1,818	No	+$4	05-11 01:30
bitcoin above 72k on march 9	1	$1.1K	1,147	0	+1,147	open	—	03-09 02:20
ethereum above 1700 on march 8	1	$1.1K	1,144	0	+1,144	open	—	03-08 01:51
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$1.1K	1,142	0	+1,142	open	—	03-07 01:30
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	1	$1.1K	1,139	0	+1,139	open	—	03-06 02:07
xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	1	$1.1K	1,137	0	+1,137	open	—	03-05 01:18
bitcoin above 76k on march 4	1	$1.1K	1,135	0	+1,135	open	—	03-04 01:03
will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	1	$1.1K	1,133	0	+1,133	open	—	03-03 06:51
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	1	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	open	—	03-02 01:05
bitcoin above 58k on march 1	1	$1.1K	1,128	0	+1,128	open	—	03-01 01:10
ethereum above 2200 on february 28	1	$1.1K	1,124	0	+1,124	open	—	02-28 00:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	1	$1.1K	1,121	0	+1,121	open	—	02-27 00:30
will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	1	$1.1K	1,110	0	+1,110	open	—	02-24 03:26
will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	1	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	open	—	02-22 01:27
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	1	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	open	—	02-21 00:38
bitcoin above 60k on february 20	1	$1.1K	1,099	0	+1,099	open	—	02-20 00:49
bitcoin above 60k on february 19	1	$1.1K	1,096	0	+1,096	open	—	02-19 00:41
ethereum above 1700 on february 18	1	$1.1K	1,090	0	+1,090	open	—	02-18 01:49
will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 16	1	$1.1K	1,082	0	+1,082	open	—	02-16 02:03
will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	1	$1.1K	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	02-15 02:27
xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	02-14 13:52
bitcoin above 62k on march 31	1	$22	23	0	+23	open	—	03-30 07:52
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:42
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 08:52
will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	1	$7	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	02-06 02:31
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	1	$6	2,082	0	+2,082	open	—	05-03 06:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 08:52:19	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbca421…
05-14 01:55:14	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	1,848	0¢	$4	0xea8aaf…
05-12 22:29:23	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,832	100¢	$1,828	0x3d3f22…
05-12 11:42:58	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on May 12?	No	BUY	1,828	100¢	$1,824	0x4524ff…
05-12 01:51:10	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	1,825	100¢	$1,821	0x13673a…
05-11 07:21:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	1,821	100¢	$1,817	0x9d852a…
05-11 01:30:27	Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on May 10?	No	BUY	1,818	100¢	$1,814	0x33d850…
05-09 02:24:45	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,829	0¢	$4	0x529666…
05-07 02:35:22	Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	2,077	0¢	$4	0xdff8a8…
05-06 02:33:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	2,078	0¢	$4	0x4d5cd5…
05-03 06:13:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 3?	No	BUY	2,082	0¢	$6	0xfb59c8…
04-14 02:55:45	Will The Bride be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x540ed6…
03-30 07:52:48	bitcoin above 62k on march 31	Yes	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x2fab4d…
03-14 01:09:13	bitcoin above 76k on march 14	Yes	BUY	1,141	0¢	$3	0xf540d8…
03-09 02:20:15	bitcoin above 72k on march 9	No	BUY	1,147	100¢	$1,144	0x399d4c…
03-08 01:51:35	ethereum above 1700 on march 8	Yes	BUY	1,144	100¢	$1,141	0x2fc926…
03-07 01:30:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	1,142	100¢	$1,139	0x0ffcf6…
03-06 02:07:07	will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on march 6	No	BUY	1,139	100¢	$1,137	0x9e2028…
03-05 01:18:39	xrp above 1pt7 on march 5	No	BUY	1,137	100¢	$1,135	0x6c55a0…
03-04 01:03:07	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	1,135	100¢	$1,133	0x48dcbd…
03-03 06:51:15	will the price of bitcoin be between 58000 60000 on march 3	No	BUY	1,133	100¢	$1,130	0x45ebc0…
03-02 01:05:33	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 74000 on march 2	No	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,128	0xa80167…
03-01 01:10:05	bitcoin above 58k on march 1	Yes	BUY	1,128	100¢	$1,124	0x84aa6f…
02-28 00:44:45	ethereum above 2200 on february 28	No	BUY	1,124	100¢	$1,120	0x601157…
02-27 00:30:54	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on february 27	No	BUY	1,121	100¢	$1,117	0xd82567…
02-24 03:26:00	will the price of bitcoin be less than 58000 on february 24	No	BUY	1,110	100¢	$1,104	0x1fb371…
02-22 01:27:24	will the price of ethereum be between 1600 1700 on february 22	No	BUY	1,106	100¢	$1,102	0x0bfaee…
02-21 00:38:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 21	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,099	0x229ae3…
02-20 00:49:34	bitcoin above 60k on february 20	Yes	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,096	0x7b449c…
02-19 00:41:56	bitcoin above 60k on february 19	Yes	BUY	1,096	99¢	$1,090	0x813020…
02-18 01:49:07	ethereum above 1700 on february 18	Yes	BUY	1,090	100¢	$1,086	0x323349…
02-16 02:03:59	will the price of ethereum be between 2300 2400 on february 16	No	BUY	1,082	99¢	$1,075	0x7609c2…
02-15 02:27:17	will the price of xrp be greater than 1pt90 on february 15	No	BUY	1,075	99¢	$1,068	0x6a067e…
02-14 13:52:45	xrp above 1pt9 on february 14	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,066	0xade548…
02-06 02:31:41	will the price of xrp be between 1pt90 2pt00 on february 6	Yes	BUY	1,111	1¢	$7	0xf2e8bd…
02-02 11:59:26	will msft close below 390 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe32983…
02-02 01:08:20	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on february 2	Yes	BUY	1,075	0¢	$1	0x21aa09…
01-31 10:46:58	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x041406…
01-29 11:39:26	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3f5c46…
01-28 10:22:23	us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0a8f6…
01-27 09:42:21	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a2ef6…
01-27 02:01:19	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0xe1b333…
01-26 10:53:07	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa9213a…
01-24 19:47:06	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe92ef2…