Tricky-Senior — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

Trades

117

lifetime

Volume

$120

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 05-12 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 24% $-9

Other

15% — —

Politics

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$11	2,940	0	+2,940	open	—	04-08 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	4	$8	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-10 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	4	$5	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-10 22:59
btc updown 5m 1775676600	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 19:35
dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09 game2	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	04-09 20:00
btc updown 5m 1775676300	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:13
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 19:01
btc updown 5m 1775781900	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 00:48
btc updown 5m 1775677800	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-08 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 22:19
dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-09 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 15:53
btc updown 5m 1775676000	2	$2	2	1	+0	open	—	04-08 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$2	5	5	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 21:49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	62	62	+0	open	—	04-10 01:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	2	$2	8	0	+8	Yes	$-2	05-12 16:16
will mrbeasts latest video get between 67 and 68 million views on day 4	2	$2	1,100	0	+1,100	open	—	04-08 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-10 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Up	$-2	05-10 22:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	143	143	+0	open	—	04-09 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$2	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 21:14
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 22:13
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-10 23:45
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	04-10 00:45
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	05-07 19:33
btc updown 15m 1775789100	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-10 02:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:47:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x8a9ad2…
05-12 16:16:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xf06448…
05-12 15:41:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 12?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8d41a8…
05-11 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xf534a3…
05-11 22:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x281869…
05-11 22:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb75852…
05-11 22:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa998bf…
05-11 22:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x803811…
05-11 22:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4224aa…
05-11 22:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3a7152…
05-11 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x71f242…
05-11 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x666143…
05-11 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3bc5c8…
05-11 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x0d8579…
05-11 22:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x02ee37…
05-11 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xc53787…
05-11 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x602df3…
05-11 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x5eda63…
05-11 22:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0x0cc185…
05-11 21:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xea96fb…
05-11 21:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x22871d…
05-11 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe4f2f2…
05-11 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x5cb466…
05-11 21:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x0647e0…
05-11 21:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa97eb6…
05-11 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2fe3d1…
05-11 21:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xac32c3…
05-11 21:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xe84f29…
05-11 21:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xc73a23…
05-11 20:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xc6635c…
05-11 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x620cc6…
05-11 20:37:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x227ec0…
05-11 20:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x14a12d…
05-11 19:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xea1c55…
05-11 17:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa125fa…
05-11 17:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xe0aae8…
05-11 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xe66f1c…
05-11 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xc3b8cb…
05-11 15:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x649b69…
05-11 14:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7c4999…
05-11 13:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xe05dfd…
05-11 13:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xa272ff…
05-11 13:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0xf6db77…
05-11 13:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf98645…
05-11 00:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe3435d…
05-10 23:45:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xaa4c72…
05-10 23:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x4f073c…
05-10 23:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbae7d3…
05-10 23:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x8b9ecd…
05-10 22:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$3	0xaff03e…
05-10 22:55:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc10f4f…
05-10 22:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x509ac2…
05-10 22:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x2b563b…
05-10 22:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0470d0…
05-10 21:50:25	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xa4c7fc…
05-10 21:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x820a9c…
05-10 21:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x791859…
05-10 21:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x6dba6c…
05-10 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa506a5…
05-10 20:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x2c74ab…
05-10 18:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef4d02…
05-10 17:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xbd4d53…
05-10 17:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x50e4d5…
05-10 16:32:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x01a598…
05-10 16:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x51cb86…
05-10 16:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xb58c6b…
05-10 16:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0xc179f0…
05-10 16:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcd88f7…
05-10 16:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x4c9e17…
05-10 16:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1e2965…
05-10 15:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$1	0x0a629a…
05-10 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9a956f…
05-07 19:33:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x7dc67c…
05-06 16:16:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb10696…
04-10 02:46:21	btc updown 15m 1775789100	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe513a0…
04-10 01:15:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xbbec17…
04-10 01:11:37	btc updown 5m 1775783400	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf23a24…
04-10 00:51:05	btc updown 5m 1775782200	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x62cf8f…
04-10 00:48:49	btc updown 5m 1775781900	Up	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x3d23ef…
04-10 00:46:05	btc updown 5m 1775781900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbbcf6c…
04-10 00:45:49	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	SELL	3	20¢	$1	0x2949b5…
04-10 00:43:23	btc updown 5m 1775781600	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x28e292…
04-09 20:00:09	dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09 game2	L1ga Team	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x8b3396…
04-09 19:51:09	dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09 game2	L1ga Team	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5e529a…
04-09 19:38:49	dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09 game2	L1ga Team	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xef62d1…
04-09 18:44:47	dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09	L1ga Team	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x76e617…
04-09 17:38:27	dota2 l1ga mouz 2026 04 09	L1ga Team	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x472a29…
04-09 16:12:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x5a3315…
04-08 22:13:53	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x5cc1b0…
04-08 22:13:37	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x0e9f01…
04-08 20:20:27	btc updown 5m 1775679600	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x225342…
04-08 20:15:53	btc updown 5m 1775679300	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x6aa87b…
04-08 20:10:49	btc updown 5m 1775679000	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa224e3…
04-08 20:00:39	btc updown 5m 1775678400	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8eeebf…
04-08 19:55:03	btc updown 5m 1775677800	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9ff3c2…
04-08 19:49:57	btc updown 5m 1775677800	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfe3b45…
04-08 19:45:33	btc updown 5m 1775677500	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3fae1b…
04-08 19:35:21	btc updown 5m 1775676600	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x5bc7b6…
04-08 19:30:25	btc updown 5m 1775676600	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9e5b9a…
04-08 19:28:39	btc updown 5m 1775676300	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$2	0x276c36…