Mean-Pupil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$16.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$170

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-28 22:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

53% 0% $-2

Sports

34% 0% $-0

Crypto

7% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$924	462	462	+0	open	—	03-19 03:08
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$924	463	463	+0	open	—	03-30 10:59
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$918	459	459	+0	open	—	03-15 23:01
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$914	458	458	+0	No	$-0	04-06 11:37
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	4	$830	417	417	+0	open	—	04-02 00:35
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$828	415	415	+0	No	$-0	04-06 17:11
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	4	$758	379	379	+0	open	—	03-29 18:16
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$488	244	244	+0	open	—	03-25 20:06
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$460	230	230	+0	open	—	02-11 17:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$456	228	228	+0	open	—	04-05 03:30
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$446	223	223	+0	No	$-0	04-04 13:30
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$442	221	221	+0	open	—	02-14 11:59
Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$440	220	220	+0	open	—	02-22 16:12
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$435	218	218	+0	open	—	02-18 01:11
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$416	208	208	+0	open	—	02-16 00:10
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$414	208	208	+0	No	$-0	03-24 05:18
will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	03-27 11:06
will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	03-17 12:07
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$400	200	200	+0	open	—	04-08 22:23
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	2	$388	194	194	+0	open	—	03-22 01:59
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$388	194	194	+0	open	—	04-18 09:53
will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	2	$386	193	193	+0	open	—	03-13 14:20
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$384	192	192	+0	No	$-0	03-16 06:41
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$370	185	185	+0	open	—	04-02 09:27
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$363	182	182	+0	No	$-1	03-23 03:39
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$358	179	179	+0	open	—	03-03 06:38
will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$346	174	174	+0	open	—	04-06 21:01
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$342	171	171	+0	open	—	03-31 07:47
will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$334	168	168	+0	open	—	03-25 00:36
Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$322	161	161	+0	open	—	02-28 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 22:33:50	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x2697bb…
04-18 09:53:20	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xd015cb…
04-18 02:08:28	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x59a85f…
04-08 22:23:57	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x03c846…
04-08 19:24:47	Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd242d7…
04-06 21:01:53	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0xf14a33…
04-06 17:11:35	will wyndham clark win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0x091bf9…
04-06 17:11:07	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$212	0xb77af2…
04-06 15:33:19	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$212	0xf1e1a2…
04-06 11:37:35	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0x1706a2…
04-06 05:29:35	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0xf8f606…
04-05 09:15:53	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	100¢	$202	0x4a3a03…
04-05 03:30:37	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x0f8707…
04-05 03:30:15	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	228	100¢	$228	0x8ef71b…
04-05 02:15:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	228	100¢	$228	0xdab008…
04-04 13:30:31	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$223	0xefd906…
04-04 08:03:31	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$223	0x9b0357…
04-02 09:27:13	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0xbab86d…
04-02 02:05:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xa2bf8a…
04-02 00:35:53	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	242	100¢	$241	0x8bd2b1…
04-01 19:16:59	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	242	100¢	$241	0xd27327…
03-31 12:19:53	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa36ee5…
03-31 07:47:47	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x971212…
03-31 07:47:17	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xf162ff…
03-31 04:50:19	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	171	100¢	$171	0x153d1e…
03-30 10:59:02	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$248	0xf1a767…
03-30 06:50:50	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0x9ea814…
03-29 18:16:48	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x63b219…
03-29 13:59:56	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xdf533d…
03-29 05:36:24	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	175	100¢	$174	0x3e8d81…
03-29 00:34:32	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	175	100¢	$174	0xbc490e…
03-28 07:51:47	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	207	100¢	$206	0xf8094a…
03-28 01:22:21	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	207	100¢	$206	0xba8b15…
03-27 17:31:57	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0xace9d2…
03-27 11:06:23	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0x21d9da…
03-27 11:06:07	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x6fc657…
03-27 04:40:09	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xc4014f…
03-25 20:06:39	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	244	100¢	$244	0x4c9274…
03-25 07:02:27	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	244	100¢	$244	0xfa78c5…
03-25 00:36:09	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	168	100¢	$167	0x6d4507…
03-24 18:20:13	will charl schwartzel win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	168	100¢	$167	0x4aa314…
03-24 11:48:17	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x521892…
03-24 05:19:05	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0xfc3bd1…
03-24 05:18:51	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$207	0x40b0ed…
03-23 22:57:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$207	0x6e951d…
03-23 03:39:09	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	182	99¢	$181	0x741bbb…
03-22 21:07:21	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x1422c1…
03-22 01:59:29	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	SELL	194	100¢	$194	0x220728…
03-21 16:44:03	will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 924	No	BUY	194	100¢	$194	0xf08db7…
03-19 03:08:21	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$240	0x56af7e…
03-18 19:15:31	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$240	0x10f6be…
03-17 12:07:07	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x124a0d…
03-16 22:07:59	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x05b94b…
03-16 06:41:33	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	192	100¢	$192	0xf951be…
03-15 23:01:49	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x4cf073…
03-15 23:01:35	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0x592a06…
03-15 15:17:07	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0xf9198f…
03-13 14:20:21	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	SELL	193	100¢	$193	0xfb2488…
03-12 18:09:07	will meituan have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 469	No	BUY	193	100¢	$193	0x76ce1f…
03-12 02:57:17	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0x025ab0…
03-11 17:58:47	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0xf3105f…
03-10 21:50:57	nba ind sac 2026 03 10	Kings	BUY	45	59¢	$27	0xe716ed…
03-08 19:49:31	will ethereum dip to 1500 march 2 8	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xa57024…
03-06 01:56:19	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$160	0x3e9d6f…
03-05 00:42:41	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0xe0d0df…
03-03 23:07:41	nba sas phi 2026 03 03	76ers	BUY	47	27¢	$13	0x058783…
03-03 15:22:05	nba phx sac 2026 03 03	Kings	BUY	40	23¢	$9	0xa8fcac…
03-03 15:21:33	nba nop lal 2026 03 03	Pelicans	BUY	32	24¢	$8	0xd4de89…
03-03 15:21:13	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	222	100¢	$222	0x5e52d3…
03-03 06:38:45	Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	222	100¢	$222	0xb5aeac…
03-03 06:38:27	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	179	100¢	$179	0xcc950b…
03-02 23:52:15	Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	179	100¢	$179	0xf5949c…
03-01 00:21:19	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x7a386e…
02-28 13:38:33	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x6fd1a4…
02-28 08:04:03	Fabric FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xb87b07…
02-28 08:03:17	ethereum above 2000 on february 28	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x3019d0…
02-28 08:03:03	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	161	100¢	$161	0xa69828…
02-27 23:12:23	Will Espanyol win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	161	100¢	$161	0x9f53a8…
02-26 12:54:00	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x69d4bf…
02-26 12:53:36	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x218124…
02-22 16:13:34	Opinion FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x45a87a…
02-22 16:13:12	Backpack FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaee557…
02-22 16:12:50	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xff9b33…
02-22 16:12:34	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$220	0x1097ed…
02-21 21:14:10	Will Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$220	0xc2e2d0…
02-20 23:26:34	nba cle cha 2026 02 20	Cavaliers	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0x730d11…
02-18 01:11:51	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x152e11…
02-16 06:22:27	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	218	100¢	$218	0xe19922…
02-16 00:10:29	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	208	100¢	$208	0xe6e5ff…
02-15 04:17:35	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	208	100¢	$208	0x8dde40…
02-14 11:59:57	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	221	100¢	$221	0xb1a8c7…
02-13 11:14:29	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	221	100¢	$221	0xfc9a54…
02-11 17:42:25	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	230	100¢	$230	0xfe3790…
02-11 08:40:39	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	230	100¢	$230	0xd70c65…
02-08 06:07:55	nba ind tor 2026 02 08	Raptors	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0xe02caa…