Ringed-Button — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

202

lifetime

Volume

$969

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-28 22:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 50% +$13

Other

33% — —

Sports

15% 100% +$0

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$105	150	0	+150	open	—	04-11 00:50
Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	3	$91	100	0	+100	open	—	05-20 15:12
will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	11	$46	114	0	+114	open	—	03-18 00:03
will cameron young win the 2026 the players championship	2	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	03-15 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$42	48	10	+38	open	—	05-21 18:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$31	150	100	+50	open	—	01-21 08:54
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$28	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	02-12 21:08
Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-16 22:59
2026 the players championship winner ludvig aberg win	2	$26	44	0	+44	open	—	03-15 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$25	38	0	+38	open	—	05-21 18:05
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	20	$18	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	02-17 10:32
btc updown 15m 1770120900	5	$18	25	9	+16	open	—	02-03 12:25
btc updown 15m 1770119100	6	$16	110	10	+100	open	—	02-03 11:59
2026 winter olympics winter olympics 2026 xc mens skiathlon johannes klaebo nor	1	$13	17	0	+17	open	—	02-08 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$13	12	12	+0	Down	+$3	05-13 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 21:34
btc updown 5m 1774645800	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-27 21:15
spl hil ahl 2026 02 02 total 3pt5	3	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	02-02 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-21 08:00
btc updown 15m 1770120000	3	$11	17	6	+11	open	—	02-03 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-21 18:16
2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	3	$11	64	0	+64	open	—	04-17 17:46
btc updown 15m 1770118200	11	$10	110	106	+4	open	—	02-03 11:42
btc updown 15m 1770199200	6	$9	16	10	+6	open	—	02-04 10:14
bitcoin up or down february 18 2pm et	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-18 20:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 12:52
btc updown 15m 1770198300	5	$9	14	14	+0	open	—	02-04 09:59
btc updown 5m 1774644900	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	03-27 21:00
btc updown 5m 1774646100	3	$8	12	0	+12	open	—	03-27 21:19
btc updown 15m 1770200100	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	02-04 10:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 22:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b1bea…
05-28 07:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5ff984…
05-28 07:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x845110…
05-27 23:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x975ed9…
05-27 23:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe0d32c…
05-27 22:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x51bd2c…
05-27 22:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb1194b…
05-27 22:15:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x8954cc…
05-21 18:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x17375e…
05-21 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xc96abd…
05-21 18:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc12995…
05-21 18:12:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x4defbe…
05-21 18:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa97841…
05-21 18:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xa17bd8…
05-21 18:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x52299c…
05-21 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0xfa9ec1…
05-21 18:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa7e060…
05-21 08:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x03dd8f…
05-21 08:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x02e720…
05-21 08:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xab5375…
05-21 07:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x07ae29…
05-21 04:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x31042d…
05-21 04:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6a3bbc…
05-21 03:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x348443…
05-21 03:47:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x1284ef…
05-20 21:34:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	66¢	$7	0x9a011c…
05-20 21:30:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x022fe8…
05-20 21:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xde21eb…
05-20 21:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3a6732…
05-20 20:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x4d3f78…
05-20 20:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x11ab7b…
05-20 20:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4c017f…
05-20 20:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x88166b…
05-20 20:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xece4fa…
05-20 19:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xbcae49…
05-20 15:12:53	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$59	0xc51264…
05-20 13:40:47	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x59075f…
05-20 13:23:33	Will Southampton achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the English Premier League for the 2026-27 season?	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x27d1c8…
05-16 22:59:19	Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2a14d4…
05-14 19:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x50cf09…
05-14 19:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe7225b…
05-14 19:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x513a00…
05-14 19:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc7ee3f…
05-14 19:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xb18d73…
05-14 12:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0x352aa3…
05-14 12:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xc9120c…
05-14 11:16:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x430957…
05-14 11:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xba427d…
05-14 11:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xddfc42…
05-13 20:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf15717…
05-13 20:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xd71710…
05-13 20:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	66¢	$8	0x4b1f9e…
05-13 20:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x9511f8…
05-13 20:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xc5b9c2…
05-13 20:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x5b77fe…
05-13 20:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x3abfaa…
04-17 17:46:22	2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xf969dc…
04-17 17:45:20	2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xbeceb9…
04-17 17:42:04	2026 rbc heritage winner ludvig aberg win	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xc4432f…
04-16 00:56:06	btc updown 5m 1776300900	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc8064f…
04-16 00:48:44	btc updown 5m 1776300300	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xbc1a0e…
04-12 17:23:59	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	938	0¢	$1	0x6e1fbe…
04-12 17:23:53	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x03d9b9…
04-12 17:23:51	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x6c3f80…
04-11 00:50:15	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	47	70¢	$33	0x525cbf…
04-11 00:50:13	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	28	70¢	$19	0xf01dba…
04-11 00:49:37	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x2f2ba6…
04-11 00:48:59	will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	61	70¢	$43	0x8680b8…
04-10 17:08:31	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x33b824…
04-08 01:29:27	will jj spaun win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xfa9ce2…
03-27 21:23:35	btc updown 5m 1774646400	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfdd9d8…
03-27 21:19:21	btc updown 5m 1774646100	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x259a8a…
03-27 21:17:19	btc updown 5m 1774646100	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf4403d…
03-27 21:17:19	btc updown 5m 1774646100	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$1	0x60853b…
03-27 21:15:47	btc updown 5m 1774645800	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe5cf6e…
03-27 21:14:01	btc updown 5m 1774645800	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xa8da67…
03-27 21:10:01	btc updown 5m 1774645500	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x21a3e7…
03-27 21:01:15	btc updown 5m 1774645200	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf88991…
03-27 21:00:21	btc updown 5m 1774644900	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2da643…
03-27 20:56:07	btc updown 5m 1774644900	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x936892…
03-27 20:50:27	btc updown 5m 1774644300	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2d6c8d…
03-27 20:45:33	btc updown 5m 1774644300	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x7a4d97…
03-27 20:35:55	btc updown 5m 1774643700	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x1b2f28…
03-26 20:48:19	btc updown 5m 1774557900	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x27d7f2…
03-26 20:44:07	btc updown 5m 1774557600	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x756aa3…
03-26 20:36:23	btc updown 5m 1774557300	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x16cba1…
03-26 18:40:41	btc updown 5m 1774550400	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xeb9c74…
03-26 18:37:57	btc updown 5m 1774550100	Down	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0x51d37e…
03-26 18:32:15	btc updown 5m 1774549800	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xeb0f8b…
03-24 12:06:23	btc updown 5m 1774353900	Up	BUY	8	41¢	$3	0xd0a559…
03-18 00:03:33	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	0	43¢	$0	0x31e1b2…
03-17 23:59:29	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe4c6cf…
03-17 23:59:27	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x788cf2…
03-17 23:47:47	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd5fb4c…
03-17 23:47:23	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfc5f29…
03-17 22:40:07	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	42	43¢	$18	0x3f8623…
03-17 20:11:15	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x4b272e…
03-16 19:20:39	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x3d001b…
03-16 19:20:25	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe1ae49…
03-16 19:20:19	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xfe9565…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	56	$27.8K	964	05-28 22:59
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	55	$16.3K	4,540	05-28 22:58
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	55	$16.0K	2,812	05-28 22:58
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	55	$13.9K	4,361	05-28 22:58
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	55	$13.7K	2,133	05-28 22:58
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	54	$24.7K	1,954	05-28 22:57
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	54	$10.3K	698	05-28 22:57
Vengeful-Basil 0x7daf…8ca4	53	$12.9K	1,867	05-28 22:58