Lone-Tender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$100

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 45% +$6

Other

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	7	$14	22	22	+0	open	—	05-15 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$12	14	0	+14	open	—	05-15 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	05-15 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-15 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$6	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-11 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	3	$5	17	0	+17	Down	+$10	05-11 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-12 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	Up	$-0	05-12 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 19:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$2	12	0	+12	Up	$-2	05-11 19:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	Down	+$0	05-12 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	$-2	05-11 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Up	+$1	05-12 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 08:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-15 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-12 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	8	0	+8	Down	$-1	05-12 09:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 20:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x690917…
05-15 20:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6ebb11…
05-15 20:27:12	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	11	5¢	$1	0x753989…
05-15 20:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xe2983c…
05-15 20:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x0c1919…
05-15 20:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xd1c82a…
05-15 20:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x5c73a1…
05-15 19:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbc7a7b…
05-15 19:45:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x263175…
05-15 08:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xe10d3c…
05-15 08:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x5c385e…
05-12 19:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x8c18b7…
05-12 19:23:14	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf3c693…
05-12 17:52:07	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x970b76…
05-12 17:51:45	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0xcbcff2…
05-12 17:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x2342c7…
05-12 17:36:50	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xa83a04…
05-12 17:36:29	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x0c8f1c…
05-12 17:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xbf4b0a…
05-12 09:13:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x84a432…
05-12 08:45:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x0dc3b6…
05-12 08:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xabe5c6…
05-12 08:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xd8e8eb…
05-12 08:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc64220…
05-12 08:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xd38e79…
05-12 07:30:28	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x01fe1b…
05-11 19:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x78a67e…
05-11 19:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x534b10…
05-11 19:06:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x45792a…
05-11 19:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xcec986…
05-11 19:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xf3c74c…
05-11 18:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb05ef0…
05-11 18:56:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x57acd2…
05-11 18:51:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xebcc07…