Roasted-Sensitivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$75

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-05 16:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-04 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 10:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 17:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 10:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-04 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$1	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-03 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 13:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-05 10:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Down	$-1	05-05 12:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 11:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 15:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0x9da982…
05-05 16:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x79ec04…
05-05 12:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x85b647…
05-05 12:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd71407…
05-05 12:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0x20bd03…
05-05 12:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x672e44…
05-05 12:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbf1331…
05-05 11:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2048e2…
05-05 10:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xd94df1…
05-05 10:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x49a5b1…
05-05 10:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6597c5…
05-05 10:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x4c7a95…
05-05 10:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe88a9c…
05-04 23:12:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0x0e838e…
05-04 23:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xe2a13e…
05-04 17:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x406d1b…
05-04 17:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0f12aa…
05-04 17:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8a847e…
05-04 17:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x625813…
05-04 17:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xfa6af3…
05-04 17:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe8a857…
05-04 17:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x20e230…
05-04 17:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc2331a…
05-04 17:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x527c84…
05-04 17:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd91b3e…
05-04 15:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	22¢	$0	0xeaf4b8…
05-04 15:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1b9a76…
05-04 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x1a665b…
05-04 15:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5d14c0…
05-04 15:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xaf66b0…
05-04 15:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xda7169…
05-04 15:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x97063c…
05-04 15:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x92b221…
05-04 13:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa6f2d1…
05-04 13:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcb6ace…
05-04 13:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2b96a8…
05-04 12:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0xaf75a9…
05-04 12:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x406ece…
05-04 12:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2f9868…
05-04 10:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5886a4…
05-04 10:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7e7797…
05-04 07:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	93¢	$1	0x17f127…
05-04 07:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xa54a30…
05-04 07:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x0a89c5…
05-04 07:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xd96b52…
05-04 07:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xa41e12…
05-04 07:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa60e5f…
05-03 16:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x8fb2f1…
05-03 16:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7ab77b…
05-03 16:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd6e268…
05-03 16:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb0fe52…
05-03 16:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x381fea…
05-03 15:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x5d504c…
05-03 15:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xcc9fa9…
05-03 15:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$1	0x85de51…
05-03 15:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x9efe40…
05-03 12:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xea1239…
05-03 12:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x9d6cac…
05-03 11:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	49¢	$1	0xcfc820…
05-03 11:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf29e68…