Concerned-Surprise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$136

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.3%

Resolved

Trades

155

lifetime

Volume

$600

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-07 06:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 40% $-136

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	4	$80	129	129	+0	Up	+$30	05-07 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$40	790	0	+790	Down	$-40	05-07 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$30	693	0	+693	Down	$-30	05-07 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	5	$30	498	0	+498	Down	$-30	05-07 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$29	24	24	+0	Down	+$19	05-07 02:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$25	425	0	+425	Up	$-25	05-07 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$23	30	30	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$22	17	17	+0	Down	+$12	05-06 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$20	108	0	+108	Down	$-20	05-07 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$19	22	22	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	4	$17	16	16	+0	Up	+$11	05-07 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$17	22	22	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$16	14	14	+0	Up	+$11	05-06 17:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	13	$15	73	0	+73	Down	$-15	05-07 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$14	15	45	-29	Down	+$10	05-07 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$13	19	19	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$11	68	0	+68	Up	$-11	05-07 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$11	23	23	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	5	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$10	38	0	+38	Up	$-10	05-06 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	4	$9	195	0	+195	Up	$-9	05-07 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$9	38	38	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$8	270	0	+270	Up	$-8	05-07 13:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$7	18	7	+11	Down	+$0	05-07 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$6	66	0	+66	Up	$-6	05-07 07:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	Down	$-5	05-06 16:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$5	21	0	+21	Down	$-5	05-07 02:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Up	$-5	05-06 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	24	0	+24	Down	$-5	05-07 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$5	44	0	+44	Up	$-5	05-07 06:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 06:03:00	btc updown 5m 1780812000	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xadcad8…
05-07 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x45239b…
05-07 14:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x40e06d…
05-07 14:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xba2ce7…
05-07 14:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xe3039c…
05-07 14:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6daf98…
05-07 14:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xfd8247…
05-07 14:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	23	20¢	$5	0x668ed1…
05-07 14:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x5f6ac0…
05-07 14:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xea5f83…
05-07 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0xeeba9c…
05-07 14:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x877395…
05-07 14:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x961593…
05-07 14:16:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2522de…
05-07 14:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x4a094b…
05-07 14:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x3c3bcb…
05-07 14:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x5670f4…
05-07 14:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xd48d4e…
05-07 14:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	44¢	$13	0x411c10…
05-07 14:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x9385a9…
05-07 13:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	129	43¢	$55	0xcea2eb…
05-07 13:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x46d340…
05-07 13:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xfef575…
05-07 13:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x4cd941…
05-07 13:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x85f2cd…
05-07 13:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xe5d14d…
05-07 13:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x628163…
05-07 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xd209ff…
05-07 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xbc3e96…
05-07 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa536ed…
05-07 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0x7e9830…
05-07 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x77f582…
05-07 13:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x50c55e…
05-07 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xfe5a14…
05-07 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x93e4b7…
05-07 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x505016…
05-07 13:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x18d307…
05-07 13:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe5cc1e…
05-07 13:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9f9db2…
05-07 13:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x753ad2…
05-07 13:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x09c2c3…
05-07 13:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf32ff6…
05-07 13:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xf1e098…
05-07 13:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x1c055c…
05-07 13:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc67def…
05-07 13:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa90e88…
05-07 13:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xb6f0b2…
05-07 13:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa20d89…
05-07 13:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x483436…
05-07 13:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xd0a868…
05-07 07:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb71eff…
05-07 07:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe47bef…
05-07 07:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xdbd995…
05-07 07:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x2f27bf…
05-07 07:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3f5b1c…
05-07 07:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x80d7c0…
05-07 07:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xd6eeb6…
05-07 07:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x83ee44…
05-07 07:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x055cc7…
05-07 07:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x7c4bf9…
05-07 07:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe0823e…
05-07 07:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	91¢	$3	0x08b9a4…
05-07 07:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8d3b5e…
05-07 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5fb424…
05-07 07:12:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	75	4¢	$3	0x6cec7b…
05-07 07:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc99556…
05-07 07:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x03fdc4…
05-07 07:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x2d4314…
05-07 07:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x9f994b…
05-07 06:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xc8f3ed…
05-07 06:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x769050…
05-07 06:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x67453a…
05-07 06:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x8cfd01…
05-07 06:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xbcbadd…
05-07 05:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xda2ce8…
05-07 05:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0xdd02cd…
05-07 05:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xefb9c4…
05-07 05:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x266f18…
05-07 05:24:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	28¢	$5	0xa36d37…
05-07 05:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	26	25¢	$6	0x474de7…
05-07 05:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x8978bd…
05-07 05:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf5684d…
05-07 05:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0xd78bea…
05-07 05:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x9e6118…
05-07 05:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x36c542…
05-07 04:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x47f836…
05-07 03:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	56¢	$12	0xe621e9…
05-07 03:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xdf9d4b…
05-07 03:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6c4a37…
05-07 03:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0x9da34c…
05-07 03:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x006f45…
05-07 02:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x9ab071…
05-07 02:18:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa0d5ef…
05-07 02:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xdfddfa…
05-07 02:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xc656f1…
05-07 01:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd4cc8c…
05-07 01:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x64c803…
05-07 01:36:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f4fae…
05-06 23:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	22	65¢	$14	0x2a4971…
05-06 23:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x56e113…