Nippy-Ivory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$351

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-08

last 05-16 02:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% $-1

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1776311100	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-16 04:00
btc updown 15m 1776313800	2	$15	16	15	+1	open	—	04-16 04:34
btc updown 15m 1776315600	2	$14	9	9	+0	open	—	04-16 05:15
btc updown 15m 1776319200	2	$13	13	13	+1	open	—	04-16 06:04
btc updown 15m 1776317400	2	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	04-16 05:40
btc updown 15m 1776417300	10	$11	25	24	+1	open	—	04-17 09:25
btc updown 15m 1776320100	2	$11	8	7	+0	open	—	04-16 06:27
btc updown 15m 1776390300	5	$9	25	20	+5	open	—	04-17 01:56
btc updown 15m 1776419100	5	$8	12	11	+1	open	—	04-17 09:57
btc updown 15m 1776420000	5	$8	17	8	+9	open	—	04-17 10:10
btc updown 5m 1776293100	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-15 22:46
btc updown 15m 1776305700	6	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-16 02:26
btc updown 15m 1776306600	6	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-16 02:41
btc updown 5m 1776294300	2	$7	6	5	+0	open	—	04-15 23:08
btc updown 5m 1776293400	2	$7	14	13	+1	open	—	04-15 22:50
btc updown 5m 1776294600	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	04-15 23:11
btc updown 5m 1776294000	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-15 23:00
btc updown 5m 1776295200	2	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	04-15 23:20
btc updown 15m 1776312900	1	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	04-16 04:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	open	—	05-01 13:09
btc updown 15m 1776309300	5	$6	13	8	+5	open	—	04-16 03:23
btc updown 15m 1776332700	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 09:48
btc updown 15m 1776308400	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-16 03:07
btc updown 15m 1776321000	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	04-16 06:30
btc updown 5m 1776295500	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	04-15 23:25
btc updown 15m 1776318300	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 05:45
btc updown 5m 1776302400	4	$4	9	8	+1	open	—	04-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$4	14	4	+10	open	—	04-30 23:44
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	3	$4	6	4	+2	open	—	04-30 01:04
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$4	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-08 06:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 02:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x4bf778…
05-14 07:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x65dc21…
05-12 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb84d9b…
05-06 22:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x3aecc4…
05-06 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa92dd8…
05-06 21:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xfa43c2…
05-06 20:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe66432…
05-05 22:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf2ee21…
05-05 22:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x30a0bd…
05-02 07:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x62e1ff…
05-02 07:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdce3eb…
05-02 07:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfc5f9b…
05-02 07:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf65157…
05-02 07:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x3fbb97…
05-02 07:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xd98251…
05-02 07:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x237118…
05-02 06:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9d3e9a…
05-02 06:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa85bfc…
05-02 06:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1a6eaf…
05-02 06:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x403e13…
05-02 06:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf9b07c…
05-02 06:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8de55e…
05-02 06:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xfa58fa…
05-02 06:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcaeece…
05-02 06:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf22247…
05-02 05:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x47492f…
05-02 05:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb0ed7e…
05-02 05:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x0b0c33…
05-02 05:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xc981a2…
05-02 04:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xf11fff…
05-02 04:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x627984…
05-02 04:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x48a6c8…
05-02 04:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf14ada…
05-02 03:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x4a9fb5…
05-02 03:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xea9358…
05-02 01:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4e6fb6…
05-01 13:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb7778…
05-01 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6f971d…
05-01 13:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xcc2b59…
05-01 13:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe57e0d…
05-01 13:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x73f5d0…
05-01 13:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x05363d…
05-01 12:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0x6c8e14…
05-01 12:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x7ea738…
04-30 23:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf82313…
04-30 23:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x126aee…
04-30 23:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0x1caca6…
04-30 23:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x357389…
04-30 01:05:52	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbce8db…
04-30 01:04:10	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdadd61…
04-30 01:02:52	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x48ffe0…
04-30 01:02:02	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x4df206…
04-30 00:56:50	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$2	0xa791fe…
04-30 00:56:12	XRP Up or Down - April 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3120d0…
04-22 02:48:38	btc updown 5m 1776825900	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xf98d51…
04-17 10:10:24	btc updown 15m 1776420000	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x86edd7…
04-17 10:09:12	btc updown 15m 1776420000	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x34831d…
04-17 10:08:54	btc updown 15m 1776420000	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xbdf15d…
04-17 10:07:58	btc updown 15m 1776420000	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xdd8823…
04-17 10:04:28	btc updown 15m 1776420000	Down	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x694b51…
04-17 09:57:08	btc updown 15m 1776419100	Down	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0x94936b…
04-17 09:54:14	btc updown 15m 1776419100	Down	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xe0a0a5…
04-17 09:47:10	btc updown 15m 1776419100	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc6390e…
04-17 09:46:14	btc updown 15m 1776419100	Down	SELL	4	62¢	$2	0x0378cc…
04-17 09:45:34	btc updown 15m 1776419100	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x687d37…
04-17 09:43:12	btc updown 15m 1776418200	Up	SELL	189	0¢	$0	0x5657c9…
04-17 09:37:40	btc updown 15m 1776418200	Up	BUY	169	1¢	$1	0xce390d…
04-17 09:33:00	btc updown 15m 1776418200	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x75c7e6…
04-17 09:31:58	btc updown 15m 1776418200	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd26eea…
04-17 09:25:30	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x949ba2…
04-17 09:24:06	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc08832…
04-17 09:22:42	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0xfcd4a9…
04-17 09:22:30	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc35192…
04-17 09:21:38	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xc9032f…
04-17 09:19:58	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x777378…
04-17 09:19:02	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x583d34…
04-17 09:18:06	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf5df5d…
04-17 09:17:20	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$1	0xe7b75d…
04-17 09:16:14	btc updown 15m 1776417300	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x414109…
04-17 09:12:14	btc updown 15m 1776416400	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x339553…
04-17 09:00:44	btc updown 15m 1776416400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x15d614…
04-17 08:52:54	btc updown 15m 1776415500	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4905ac…
04-17 08:52:06	btc updown 15m 1776415500	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x044d19…
04-17 01:56:30	btc updown 15m 1776390300	Down	BUY	4	39¢	$1	0x0f0504…
04-17 01:53:40	btc updown 15m 1776390300	Up	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0xbb27d2…
04-17 01:50:04	btc updown 15m 1776390300	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9c0e3a…
04-17 01:48:26	btc updown 15m 1776390300	Down	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x338e10…
04-17 01:45:52	btc updown 15m 1776390300	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xf7e3c3…
04-17 01:36:32	btc updown 15m 1776389400	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0x2a94a6…
04-17 01:31:02	btc updown 15m 1776389400	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x396d8b…
04-17 01:22:04	btc updown 15m 1776388500	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x830446…
04-17 01:16:36	btc updown 15m 1776388500	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd45b03…
04-17 01:10:16	btc updown 15m 1776387600	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xccebc2…
04-16 09:48:14	btc updown 15m 1776332700	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe55e4b…
04-16 06:45:30	btc updown 15m 1776321900	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xac6e7f…
04-16 06:30:42	btc updown 15m 1776321000	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xadc72c…
04-16 06:27:36	btc updown 15m 1776320100	Up	SELL	7	81¢	$6	0xae512e…
04-16 06:26:20	btc updown 15m 1776320100	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf80e67…
04-16 06:04:28	btc updown 15m 1776319200	Down	SELL	13	56¢	$7	0x618c0d…
04-16 06:01:14	btc updown 15m 1776319200	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0x824b43…