Humiliating-Theory — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$178

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-07 09:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 56% +$18

Other

19% 33% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$18	30	10	+20	Up	$-12	05-06 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$14	35	0	+35	Down	+$21	05-06 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 12:58
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	1	$10	17	0	+17	Mumbai Indians	+$7	05-04 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-06 12:30
Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	05-03 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$6	9	0	+9	Up	+$3	05-06 13:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-06 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-06 11:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 06:01
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-03 10:40
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman	2	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	Down	$-4	05-06 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-06 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-3	05-06 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 07:51
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	04-29 11:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-07 09:29
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	2	$2	733	0	+733	Yes	$-2	05-03 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-06 12:01
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	1	$2	4	0	+4	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$-2	05-06 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$2	13	0	+13	open	—	04-29 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-04 05:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-29 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-29 11:41
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-03 10:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 09:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x219dd0…
05-07 09:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7598d2…
05-07 09:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x143c8b…
05-07 09:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x077947…
05-07 09:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$4	0x5f56b5…
05-07 09:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x0131bb…
05-07 09:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf2ac42…
05-06 13:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x968a24…
05-06 13:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x9a72b9…
05-06 13:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99755c…
05-06 13:32:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x4c3f9e…
05-06 13:30:40	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x3f0f29…
05-06 13:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x060944…
05-06 13:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xc75ca2…
05-06 13:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x96d2cc…
05-06 13:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xae0a4d…
05-06 13:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0x7a84b9…
05-06 12:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0xb49e5a…
05-06 12:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa45cf1…
05-06 12:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x015bfc…
05-06 12:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7d55e2…
05-06 12:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x1c5285…
05-06 12:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	92¢	$9	0x4e4ad3…
05-06 12:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x561a9d…
05-06 12:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x296556…
05-06 12:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xd10d99…
05-06 11:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0b728b…
05-06 11:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8fff42…
05-04 06:07:12	Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants	Mumbai Indians	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x17c119…
05-04 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc14c52…
05-04 05:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x174df8…
05-03 10:42:40	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x424d06…
05-03 10:41:32	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xcdc873…
05-03 10:40:36	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0xefae13…
05-03 08:40:58	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8842f9…
05-03 08:39:24	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x2ed530…
05-03 08:39:08	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman	Oman	SELL	12	19¢	$2	0x75d59e…
05-03 08:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x58050c…
05-03 08:09:20	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman	Oman	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x8a14ee…
05-03 08:08:28	Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen	Peshawar Zalmi	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x4f59d0…
04-29 11:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb3ad5d…
04-29 11:37:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf0d513…
04-29 11:35:50	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x0747b0…
04-29 08:12:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xd36679…
04-29 08:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x662bcd…
04-29 08:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x62591e…
04-29 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5751d4…
04-29 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xc36acf…
04-29 07:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd438d0…
04-29 06:50:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2b5ca7…
04-29 06:21:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x2c8b7d…