Admirable-Tailbud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

33.7%

Resolved

Trades

966

lifetime

Volume

$14.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-27 05:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 33% $-27

Other

13% — —

Politics

8% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes		-500	$-28	4¢	$-22	+$6	06-27 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	6	$546	1,594	1,594	+0	open	—	03-29 11:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	13	$486	769	769	+0	open	—	02-28 19:30
btc updown 5m 1772295000	5	$463	266	250	+16	open	—	02-28 16:15
btc updown 5m 1772481900	5	$414	246	223	+22	open	—	03-02 20:08
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	4	$389	294	294	+0	open	—	03-06 19:02
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	27	$377	5,694	0	+5,694	open	—	02-22 22:34
btc updown 5m 1772571000	8	$373	579	575	+4	open	—	03-03 20:54
btc updown 5m 1775067600	11	$344	445	421	+24	open	—	04-01 18:24
btc updown 5m 1775199000	20	$334	348	321	+27	open	—	04-03 06:54
btc updown 5m 1772485800	6	$332	386	243	+143	open	—	03-02 21:14
btc updown 5m 1772572200	12	$329	318	308	+10	open	—	03-03 21:14
btc updown 5m 1775143500	8	$308	357	310	+46	open	—	04-02 15:29
btc updown 5m 1772301300	2	$286	191	188	+3	open	—	02-28 17:59
btc updown 5m 1772363100	4	$276	208	205	+3	open	—	03-01 11:08
btc updown 5m 1772571900	15	$273	297	297	+0	open	—	03-03 21:09
btc updown 5m 1775067300	19	$268	420	308	+111	open	—	04-01 18:19
btc updown 5m 1772362500	2	$260	239	235	+4	open	—	03-01 10:58
btc updown 5m 1772570700	9	$258	295	260	+35	open	—	03-03 20:49
btc updown 5m 1772296800	4	$247	165	162	+2	open	—	02-28 16:43
btc updown 5m 1772355000	3	$224	140	124	+16	open	—	03-01 08:51
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	12	$209	3,333	0	+3,333	open	—	03-29 07:45
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	8	$197	1,710	1,385	+325	open	—	03-25 19:36
btc updown 5m 1775203500	7	$189	554	74	+480	open	—	04-03 08:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$183	160	160	+0	open	—	02-28 07:31
btc updown 5m 1775719500	14	$174	184	179	+5	open	—	04-09 07:30
btc updown 5m 1774638900	7	$174	477	268	+209	open	—	03-27 19:18
will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	25	$162	3,330	3,330	+0	open	—	02-28 07:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$161	140	140	+0	open	—	02-28 19:30
btc updown 5m 1772485200	6	$161	174	171	+3	open	—	03-02 21:04
will bitcoin dip to 65k in february 2026 372 697	2	$154	100	100	+0	open	—	02-05 20:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 05:40:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	6¢	$28	0x137586…
05-08 18:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	301	1¢	$3	0x774935…
05-08 18:38:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd9a947…
05-08 18:38:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xcc9045…
05-08 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xed64f2…
05-08 18:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x10e681…
05-08 18:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6c0e3a…
05-08 18:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1abf4d…
05-08 18:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0037d9…
05-08 18:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x133199…
05-08 18:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x58eb42…
05-08 18:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x338622…
05-08 18:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xede18b…
05-08 18:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd16935…
05-08 18:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc86238…
05-08 18:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf1c083…
05-08 18:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd29dd3…
05-08 18:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9d6005…
05-08 18:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x8eaede…
05-08 18:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x2db00e…
05-08 18:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x83447f…
05-08 18:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x155efb…
05-08 18:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x58f30c…
05-08 18:36:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x373438…
05-08 18:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0xbb2d73…
05-08 18:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xda88e5…
05-06 18:24:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	19	73¢	$14	0x37eb62…
05-06 18:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe0b03f…
05-06 18:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5e444d…
05-06 18:21:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x476c5d…
05-06 18:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	59¢	$7	0xf4cbf8…
05-06 18:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x199308…
04-25 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x05c5f0…
04-25 06:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xad7e34…
04-25 06:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9c24e7…
04-25 06:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x1ac907…
04-25 06:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x0970d9…
04-25 06:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x210883…
04-25 06:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x4adba0…
04-25 06:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x951309…
04-25 06:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x73a6cb…
04-25 06:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x167863…
04-25 06:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x3f3b87…
04-25 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0x232139…
04-25 06:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb8b199…
04-25 06:23:56	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x5c43d5…
04-25 06:23:44	Will the Senate pass the SAVE America Act (H.R. 7296)?	Yes	BUY	345	1¢	$5	0x9e3a20…
04-25 06:22:42	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	103	12¢	$12	0x9a3457…
04-25 06:19:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	323	1¢	$3	0x7c4f90…
04-25 06:19:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	912	2¢	$17	0xc5e729…
04-25 06:19:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	336	6¢	$19	0x4769e4…
04-19 04:24:44	btc updown 5m 1776572400	Down	SELL	26	90¢	$24	0x816485…
04-19 04:22:34	btc updown 5m 1776572400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xadedd6…
04-19 04:22:04	btc updown 5m 1776572400	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa73b12…
04-19 04:21:56	btc updown 5m 1776572400	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x10911f…
04-19 04:21:40	btc updown 5m 1776572400	Up	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0x5e0c51…
04-19 04:20:30	btc updown 5m 1776572400	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x62101c…
04-19 04:19:44	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xaaa4fa…
04-19 04:19:24	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	SELL	52	9¢	$5	0x49a7bf…
04-19 04:18:46	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcc31f9…
04-19 04:17:52	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6fc1ca…
04-19 04:17:44	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xa69141…
04-19 04:17:34	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2620cd…
04-19 04:17:20	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9b2942…
04-19 04:16:54	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x3019bb…
04-19 04:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0x531b91…
04-19 04:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0x43b482…
04-19 04:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x2203b7…
04-19 04:16:36	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0e374a…
04-19 04:15:56	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd9e9b4…
04-19 04:15:44	btc updown 5m 1776572100	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xece157…
04-18 17:44:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	288	4¢	$11	0x747048…
04-18 17:44:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	SELL	118	9¢	$11	0x0c9ce6…
04-18 17:44:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	Yes	SELL	969	2¢	$17	0x397ab0…
04-15 20:07:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x4a2bd4…
04-13 09:48:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	48	0¢	$0	0xf82f36…
04-12 18:33:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	48	5¢	$2	0xf75580…
04-12 18:32:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x8aa088…
04-12 17:29:31	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	SELL	49	2¢	$1	0x4b54a0…
04-12 17:28:33	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x5a53ac…
04-12 17:28:27	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1fa65b…
04-12 17:28:19	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd66278…
04-12 17:27:55	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xccc966…
04-12 17:26:55	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0ec60c…
04-12 17:26:37	btc updown 5m 1776014700	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x91e900…
04-12 14:19:51	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Down	SELL	162	1¢	$2	0xed9efe…
04-12 14:18:15	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3166c1…
04-12 14:16:01	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa0a080…
04-12 14:15:53	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xa33256…
04-12 14:15:47	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1f6c44…
04-12 14:15:25	btc updown 5m 1776003300	Down	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0xeebe0f…
04-12 14:14:39	btc updown 5m 1776003000	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbf171b…
04-12 14:14:19	btc updown 5m 1776003000	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xcc3780…
04-12 14:13:53	btc updown 5m 1776003000	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x15ac34…
04-12 14:13:15	btc updown 5m 1776003000	Down	SELL	19	56¢	$11	0xd8023d…
04-12 14:12:13	btc updown 5m 1776003000	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x95cbc4…
04-12 08:04:37	btc updown 5m 1775980800	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x92468c…
04-12 08:04:03	btc updown 5m 1775980800	Down	SELL	24	77¢	$18	0x85640f…
04-12 08:04:01	btc updown 5m 1775980800	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xf4fd0a…
04-12 08:03:15	btc updown 5m 1775980800	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xee4914…