Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$140

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

250

lifetime

Volume

$41.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-01 16:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 100% +$74

Crypto

23% — —

Other

12% 100% +$66

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	74	$8.1K	12,436	0	+12,436	open	—	04-16 12:29
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	13	$4.5K	6,200	5,200	+1,000	open	—	04-12 11:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	12	$3.1K	3,064	1,957	+1,107	open	—	05-29 02:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	7	$2.0K	2,530	0	+2,530	open	—	04-28 07:09
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	open	—	02-22 16:18
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	23	$1.9K	2,170	0	+2,170	open	—	04-26 06:14
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	2	$1.9K	2,136	0	+2,136	open	—	04-27 04:56
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	4	$1.9K	2,001	0	+2,001	open	—	04-25 06:51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	5	$1.5K	2,110	0	+2,110	open	—	04-13 13:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	8	$1.5K	1,807	0	+1,807	open	—	04-14 22:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$1.1K	1,151	0	+1,151	No	+$33	05-08 18:11
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.0K	0	2,400	-2,400	open	—	06-01 16:12
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$942	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-18 18:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	4	$934	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-29 09:27
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$872	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	02-18 19:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$870	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-26 04:51
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	3	$776	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-21 15:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	4	$744	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-28 05:36
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	6	$670	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-17 17:27
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$643	700	0	+700	open	—	04-27 17:47
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$588	600	0	+600	No	+$12	05-07 05:01
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	4	$426	582	0	+582	open	—	04-15 22:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$378	600	0	+600	open	—	05-15 06:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	3	$348	203	600	-397	open	—	04-23 13:39
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	2	$334	400	0	+400	No	+$66	04-14 05:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	4	$288	300	0	+300	No	+$12	05-05 19:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$262	306	0	+306	open	—	05-05 03:32
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	4	$246	400	0	+400	open	—	04-25 15:17
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$202	313	0	+313	open	—	05-13 19:48
btc updown 15m 1768402800	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	01-14 15:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 16:12:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	241	43¢	$104	0x3d4e10…
06-01 16:12:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xef1fc6…
06-01 16:12:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x443d00…
06-01 16:12:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x64261c…
06-01 16:12:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	43¢	$50	0xae951d…
06-01 16:12:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x17c9ec…
06-01 16:04:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	43¢	$855	0x1eb302…
05-29 09:27:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$373	0xa6badb…
05-29 09:20:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	400	94¢	$374	0x554d44…
05-29 09:20:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	174	94¢	$162	0x497200…
05-29 09:20:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	26	94¢	$25	0xe5b2d0…
05-29 02:52:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	57	45¢	$25	0xe46ecb…
05-21 15:44:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	400	83¢	$332	0x17f9bf…
05-20 15:46:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	200	38¢	$76	0x5d606d…
05-20 10:17:56	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0x59f25f…
05-17 17:27:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	76¢	$36	0xe92d81…
05-17 12:56:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	457	35¢	$161	0x31e289…
05-17 12:55:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3	35¢	$1	0xffe172…
05-17 12:55:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	35¢	$14	0xfbc6ac…
05-16 20:07:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xefb217…
05-16 07:23:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x7e113e…
05-16 07:23:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x410da2…
05-16 06:59:23	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	325	76¢	$247	0x295c92…
05-15 06:47:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	322	63¢	$203	0x3058ef…
05-15 06:46:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	278	63¢	$175	0x9d16cf…
05-14 21:42:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	525	74¢	$389	0x5c44e6…
05-14 20:38:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	75	74¢	$55	0x094569…
05-13 19:48:27	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0x3b62c5…
05-13 19:41:01	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	65¢	$130	0xaad7bf…
05-13 19:25:07	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$8	0x0dc112…
05-13 19:23:57	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	66¢	$66	0x588ca3…
05-13 18:29:35	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	57	66¢	$38	0xb6aa01…
05-13 17:39:25	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	35	66¢	$23	0x5836af…
05-10 12:16:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	40¢	$118	0xc65bbe…
05-10 12:04:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0xf980e3…
05-10 12:02:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	76	37¢	$28	0x02720f…
05-10 11:52:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	224	37¢	$82	0x8d69c4…
05-10 11:29:41	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	300	32¢	$96	0x614604…
05-09 19:08:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	600	61¢	$366	0x41301e…
05-08 18:11:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$583	0x2b5cee…
05-08 13:07:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	400	97¢	$388	0xc82077…
05-08 09:17:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	151	97¢	$147	0x229612…
05-07 05:01:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	495	98¢	$485	0xbb76d6…
05-07 05:01:30	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0xabcc02…
05-06 13:02:56	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	400	76¢	$304	0xcadf31…
05-06 12:47:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2,664	77¢	$2,049	0x6e0ef1…
05-05 19:42:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x721b4d…
05-05 19:26:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0xd23918…
05-05 19:23:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	45	96¢	$43	0x72c2f2…
05-05 19:20:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x2ab97b…
05-05 19:18:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x341abc…
05-05 19:17:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0xb6b23b…
05-05 19:17:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x1a5e7f…
05-05 19:17:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x15437a…
05-05 19:11:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 6?	No	BUY	204	96¢	$196	0xea34e9…
05-05 03:32:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0x72139a…
05-04 22:07:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	106	85¢	$90	0xe36443…
04-28 07:09:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	1,600	81¢	$1,296	0x002f5d…
04-28 05:36:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	No	BUY	600	74¢	$444	0x37f1b1…
04-27 17:47:54	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	92¢	$458	0xe8c34a…
04-27 05:20:56	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	92¢	$184	0x46929a…
04-27 04:56:46	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	1,136	88¢	$1,000	0x68a204…
04-26 06:14:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	89¢	$356	0x44d645…
04-26 04:51:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1,000	87¢	$870	0x78ad30…
04-25 20:31:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	85¢	$110	0x404f5e…
04-25 20:30:58	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	86¢	$146	0x7673e6…
04-25 15:17:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	61¢	$116	0xdc4697…
04-25 15:17:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x19bd8f…
04-25 14:33:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	175	62¢	$109	0xc12c2e…
04-25 14:18:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	62¢	$15	0x31431c…
04-25 13:47:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x9499fb…
04-25 10:54:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xbf4d62…
04-25 10:43:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xe730e2…
04-25 10:42:20	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xaa7d82…
04-25 10:38:26	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x394c50…
04-25 10:33:28	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xa56bd2…
04-25 10:22:38	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$10	0x4bf028…
04-25 10:20:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0x790284…
04-25 10:16:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	88¢	$28	0x29c1cf…
04-25 10:14:08	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0x68fe9b…
04-25 10:10:34	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x6ff44f…
04-25 10:06:12	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	94	88¢	$82	0x8725c1…
04-25 09:19:04	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	88¢	$528	0xfc7993…
04-25 06:51:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	477	93¢	$444	0xd3895e…
04-25 06:22:48	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0xd99014…
04-25 05:48:34	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x3c5a35…
04-25 05:37:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x13e618…
04-25 02:35:32	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xd8b192…
04-25 02:17:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x057546…
04-25 02:17:40	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$3	0xaa74c4…
04-25 02:08:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0x8e39b0…
04-25 02:03:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	85¢	$63	0x6ec5bf…
04-25 01:42:22	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	85¢	$11	0x37e0ec…
04-25 01:26:56	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xb2b701…
04-25 00:54:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,401	93¢	$1,303	0xe0cd64…
04-23 13:39:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	41¢	$246	0x8aa4cb…
04-23 09:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xe48018…
04-23 03:30:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xaad2a2…
04-23 03:02:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	17	75¢	$13	0x8568a8…
04-23 00:17:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x9a8a1c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	32	$9.51M	17,096	06-03 23:05
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	30	$452.6K	7,207	06-01 06:21
Probable-Hero 0x66c6…b9f8	30	$10.2K	626	06-02 19:48
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	28	$19.6K	646	06-03 15:46
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	27	$35.4K	335	06-01 22:55
Considerate-Freight 0x413d…d704	26	$7.70K	1,628	06-02 18:29
Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b	25	$354.5K	1,083	06-04 00:34
Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4	25	$8.70K	695	06-01 17:00