Stormy-Caviar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.6%

Resolved

Trades

284

lifetime

Volume

$338

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-26 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 52% $-4

Politics

2% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 69 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	7	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 18:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 07:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$5	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 07:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$5	5	3	+2	Down	+$1	05-12 14:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 05:01
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-13 04:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$5	5	3	+3	Down	+$1	05-13 05:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-13 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	3	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	05-03 03:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$4	5	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 03:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	Up	+$0	05-13 06:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 14:15
hype updown 5m 1779724800	3	$4	5	2	+2	open	—	05-25 16:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+2	Down	+$0	05-13 05:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	3	$4	5	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 18:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+2	Up	+$0	05-12 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 12:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 18:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 11:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$4	3	2	+1	open	—	05-03 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 20:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$3	4	4	+0	Up	$-1	05-12 16:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$3	4	4	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 15:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 07:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf5a16a…
05-25 17:21:17	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xd9f3b7…
05-25 17:14:57	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x590c3e…
05-25 17:00:50	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x94a061…
05-25 16:59:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xece6be…
05-25 16:28:40	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x736345…
05-25 16:20:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcd8a3a…
05-25 16:19:56	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x143a13…
05-25 16:12:42	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7c90e4…
05-25 16:06:14	hype updown 5m 1779725100	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8b0f06…
05-25 16:05:14	hype updown 5m 1779724800	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaf1137…
05-25 16:04:57	hype updown 5m 1779724800	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x352568…
05-25 16:00:50	hype updown 5m 1779724800	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1b677e…
05-24 15:18:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xdd8998…
05-24 14:58:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x389dec…
05-24 13:40:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xea817e…
05-16 23:02:12	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8f72c9…
05-16 23:01:53	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd6e623…
05-15 11:05:49	Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xd54851…
05-15 11:04:38	Will Israel be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5db19c…
05-13 07:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0x7cef9f…
05-13 07:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xc5eee8…
05-13 07:01:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x70f4b8…
05-13 07:01:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0x483f64…
05-13 07:01:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5dd41f…
05-13 07:00:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x8ff7a3…
05-13 06:55:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa519f0…
05-13 06:50:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbfb41d…
05-13 06:20:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xce9919…
05-13 06:19:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x9ee7dc…
05-13 06:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x4b7d1c…
05-13 06:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ece90…
05-13 06:15:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x52058d…
05-13 06:15:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x63bb2e…
05-13 06:12:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8c5e02…
05-13 06:11:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x838ae4…
05-13 06:05:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x730d2a…
05-13 06:01:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x69d8a9…
05-13 06:00:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x57bf8b…
05-13 05:58:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x929268…
05-13 05:56:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x135492…
05-13 05:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x45b64e…
05-13 05:10:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa46780…
05-13 05:10:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7e01ed…
05-13 05:10:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x4029fa…
05-13 05:05:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf690d9…
05-13 05:05:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x6b3fd2…
05-13 05:01:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x6750d8…
05-13 05:01:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x847b7d…
05-13 05:00:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0d2665…
05-13 05:00:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2ac7f3…
05-13 04:56:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	67¢	$2	0x0c4b3b…
05-13 04:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xb7d40f…
05-13 04:56:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8c761d…
05-13 04:55:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3ef621…
05-13 04:53:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	66¢	$2	0xebc14f…
05-13 04:53:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x2a98aa…
05-13 04:50:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x690cc3…
05-13 04:50:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xef5719…
05-13 04:47:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x342fdf…
05-13 04:46:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x357f2c…
05-13 04:46:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3a9d4e…
05-13 04:45:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x889339…
05-12 18:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x2b35de…
05-12 18:50:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd1c8d2…
05-12 18:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf089a5…
05-12 18:45:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x293c86…
05-12 18:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb09f96…
05-12 18:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x2d9544…
05-12 17:05:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd43847…
05-12 17:00:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xe22f66…
05-12 16:55:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc4cf34…
05-12 16:50:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x12cf1a…
05-12 16:50:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x83b8c2…
05-12 16:40:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc5fb2f…
05-12 16:40:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb16f2b…
05-12 16:38:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0xd4fae2…
05-12 16:36:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xb165c6…
05-12 16:36:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x30c126…
05-12 16:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x616306…
05-12 15:58:59	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	No	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0x0c82d7…
05-12 15:58:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0x227876…
05-12 15:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xe90bb9…
05-12 15:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x8274f1…
05-12 15:55:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7b5f69…
05-12 15:50:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd40a65…
05-12 14:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xe564f1…
05-12 14:26:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdcf143…
05-12 14:25:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x6d073b…
05-12 14:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6fe6ab…
05-12 14:12:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf03ba9…
05-12 14:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa39e85…
05-12 13:05:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4bf5bb…
05-12 13:00:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc1cb5b…
05-12 13:00:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x447d64…
05-12 11:44:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x63638b…
05-12 11:42:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x35fe9d…
05-12 11:42:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x163ef8…
05-12 11:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ed293…
05-12 11:34:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd228d6…