Moral-Historian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.2%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$486

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-08 01:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 36% $-19

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	18	$49	46	46	+0	Up	$-2	05-08 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	13	$40	140	25	+115	Down	$-1	05-08 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	12	$36	30	30	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	8	$32	20	20	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	13	$31	35	30	+5	Down	+$1	05-08 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	6	$22	15	15	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 00:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	20	$20	106	106	+0	Up	$-3	05-08 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	14	$19	339	196	+143	Down	$-4	05-08 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	4	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	3	$11	60	5	+55	Down	$-1	05-08 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$-2	05-07 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	Up	+$2	05-07 20:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 20:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 21:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$7	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	7	$6	29	9	+19	Down	$-2	05-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	4	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 22:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 01:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0362cb…
05-08 01:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xdc803d…
05-08 01:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x45ff65…
05-08 01:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xd30e77…
05-08 01:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x384a00…
05-08 01:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xceaa24…
05-08 01:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	37	4¢	$1	0x803d3d…
05-08 01:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x0c0a8f…
05-08 01:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x29ec85…
05-08 01:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x7030d1…
05-08 01:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x4377cf…
05-08 01:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0x5d115f…
05-08 01:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x538e6f…
05-08 01:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	55	1¢	$1	0xad1184…
05-08 01:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xfd8a77…
05-08 01:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x1740c4…
05-08 01:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2630bb…
05-08 01:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	22	4¢	$1	0xac0d9d…
05-08 01:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0x4ea975…
05-08 01:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x1ec90a…
05-08 01:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xee6912…
05-08 01:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0xff679c…
05-08 01:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xff188d…
05-08 01:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x21e142…
05-08 01:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0xf6a371…
05-08 01:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x02adf8…
05-08 01:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe1634e…
05-08 01:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0xc974b4…
05-08 01:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x531638…
05-08 01:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	7¢	$1	0xbe12c1…
05-08 01:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xde1812…
05-08 01:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0xdf761b…
05-08 01:01:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x21e1e4…
05-08 01:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x93d1c8…
05-08 01:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe2e1c1…
05-08 01:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x342255…
05-08 01:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf7c1d7…
05-08 00:59:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xc832ba…
05-08 00:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	99	1¢	$1	0x84f3f1…
05-08 00:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0x6594a9…
05-08 00:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x41936e…
05-08 00:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0x5c446b…
05-08 00:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x23ff4e…
05-08 00:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xd5d0b7…
05-08 00:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xf88270…
05-08 00:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x89169e…
05-08 00:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe875d1…
05-08 00:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	42¢	$2	0xa9291e…
05-08 00:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x8b6938…
05-08 00:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x08195f…
05-08 00:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x49baf4…
05-08 00:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xd54fd5…
05-08 00:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xd00bd8…
05-08 00:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xc88735…
05-08 00:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x141a32…
05-08 00:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xa60695…
05-08 00:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x410ff7…
05-08 00:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	110	1¢	$1	0xd2bbe9…
05-08 00:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xba4529…
05-08 00:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xa92e3a…
05-08 00:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x82571c…
05-08 00:37:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xa77d27…
05-08 00:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xe6464a…
05-08 00:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x443d0b…
05-08 00:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0xa96cbe…
05-08 00:36:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xd6849c…
05-08 00:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x5c13a5…
05-08 00:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc4bd60…
05-08 00:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x317477…
05-08 00:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x9dd816…
05-08 00:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xb5dad2…
05-08 00:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1025a0…
05-08 00:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xc02953…
05-08 00:22:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x41cdca…
05-08 00:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x0c1b96…
05-08 00:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe08577…
05-08 00:22:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x3afaa4…
05-08 00:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x839f24…
05-08 00:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x91b7f2…
05-08 00:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xac64f0…
05-08 00:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xec3402…
05-08 00:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xfade9e…
05-08 00:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	33¢	$2	0x63fa82…
05-08 00:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x516df5…
05-08 00:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x489a42…
05-08 00:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xa29acd…
05-08 00:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$4	0x1aa5dc…
05-08 00:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x7b149e…
05-08 00:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x559235…
05-08 00:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x54f304…
05-08 00:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x71a833…
05-08 00:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x5e65e8…
05-08 00:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xb2ca42…
05-08 00:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x034aae…
05-08 00:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x3dc388…
05-08 00:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa3d828…
05-08 00:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x559aeb…
05-08 00:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xff9888…
05-08 00:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc0474a…
05-08 00:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4e1169…