Sophisticated-Processing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

7.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$35

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-30 16:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 11% $-21

Other

18% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes		-17	$-1	5¢	$-1	+$1	05-30 16:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	05-09 16:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Up	$-5	05-09 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	5	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-10 05:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	4	$4	11	0	+11	Up	$-4	05-10 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	4	$4	57	9	+48	Down	$-2	05-10 14:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	3	$2	34	0	+34	Up	$-2	05-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-10 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$2	10	0	+10	Down	$-2	05-10 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	2	$2	101	0	+101	Up	$-1	05-10 13:44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	1	$1	0	17	-17	open	—	05-30 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-09 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-29 15:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-30 11:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 16:29:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xed9990…
05-30 11:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x1187ff…
05-29 15:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x9bd66f…
05-10 14:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfd4041…
05-10 14:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x6ed38a…
05-10 14:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xc6196a…
05-10 14:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xbf2061…
05-10 13:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8143e…
05-10 13:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x038a28…
05-10 10:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe24c92…
05-10 10:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd7192e…
05-10 05:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbf5ac6…
05-10 05:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5f2194…
05-10 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc35660…
05-10 05:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x1f0819…
05-10 05:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7b888f…
05-10 05:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb116a1…
05-10 05:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc7e2fb…
05-10 04:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb15eb7…
05-10 04:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x42d8de…
05-10 04:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x843b1d…
05-10 04:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x26232f…
05-09 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe61b6b…
05-09 16:22:21	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x1f33e4…
05-09 16:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x2e46fc…
05-09 16:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xddb0e4…
05-09 16:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb23acc…
05-09 16:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x314f4f…