Spectacular-Hail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

42.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$225

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-22 14:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 26% $-21

Other

8% — —

Politics

5% 100% +$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	2	$19	23	23	+0	open	—	05-13 09:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	open	—	04-26 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	3	$13	18	7	+12	Up	$-7	05-12 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$13	13	13	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 12:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$11	12	5	+6	open	—	04-26 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$9	27	0	+27	Up	$-9	05-12 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-26 15:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$8	22	0	+22	Up	+$14	05-12 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$7	25	2	+23	Up	$-3	05-12 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 13:38
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$5	50	0	+50	open	—	05-13 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 15:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	62	0	+62	Yes	+$58	04-26 12:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-26 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-26 12:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	Down	$-5	05-12 13:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$5	19	0	+19	Up	$-5	05-13 09:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$4	15	0	+15	Up	$-4	05-13 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$4	22	0	+22	Down	$-4	05-13 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-3	05-13 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Down	$-3	05-12 13:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	+$6	05-13 09:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$3	33	0	+33	Down	$-3	05-12 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Down	$-3	05-13 11:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	Up	+$8	05-12 13:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$3	8	0	+8	Up	$-3	05-13 09:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-22 14:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x07bc84…
05-15 11:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xff073b…
05-15 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x012412…
05-14 14:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6c6c84…
05-14 14:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfb992f…
05-14 13:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5c43d9…
05-14 13:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x00a36e…
05-13 12:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x376475…
05-13 12:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa74c66…
05-13 12:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x89f99b…
05-13 12:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xed8391…
05-13 12:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd227b1…
05-13 12:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd8cb91…
05-13 12:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x3c1a58…
05-13 12:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x0be997…
05-13 12:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x55896a…
05-13 12:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x279bbd…
05-13 12:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x750b78…
05-13 12:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbe4308…
05-13 12:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0xc05818…
05-13 12:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x123d40…
05-13 12:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9ce79e…
05-13 12:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb3f6ba…
05-13 12:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfbe728…
05-13 12:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa5c3c3…
05-13 11:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xa679e0…
05-13 10:13:19	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xca65d0…
05-13 10:09:49	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x50a5ef…
05-13 10:06:28	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xb8d3b2…
05-13 09:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0eda6c…
05-13 09:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcd5671…
05-13 09:52:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x4f386e…
05-13 09:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x3382d0…
05-13 09:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb73c85…
05-13 09:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x689b32…
05-13 09:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4ec4b8…
05-13 09:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xa3a48e…
05-13 09:30:13	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	23	60¢	$14	0xd8e1f0…
05-12 14:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x5b64f4…
05-12 14:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x735594…
05-12 14:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x4e8ef9…
05-12 14:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x0b36f1…
05-12 14:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$2	0x011a6e…
05-12 14:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x8ff483…
05-12 14:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5562d7…
05-12 14:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x3228a6…
05-12 14:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1deaf0…
05-12 13:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x54e852…
05-12 13:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2da33a…
05-12 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xd88d0e…
05-12 13:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x397c99…
05-12 13:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x30ddd5…
05-12 13:38:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	8	46¢	$3	0x56d836…
05-12 13:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xde69b0…
05-12 13:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$3	0x20af3e…
05-12 13:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x56241b…
05-12 13:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x510606…
05-12 13:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xff7ec2…
05-11 09:59:19	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x315170…
04-26 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc42e80…
04-26 15:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xdcae01…
04-26 15:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xff05ad…
04-26 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xc631a7…
04-26 15:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x122ac0…
04-26 15:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x901964…
04-26 15:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x644d1e…
04-26 15:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5eee67…
04-26 15:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c5b2b…
04-26 15:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xcb7fd0…
04-26 15:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x650341…
04-26 12:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x992c78…
04-26 12:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x156b42…
04-26 12:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x34761b…
04-26 12:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xa8d6d2…
04-26 12:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x8e5afa…
04-26 12:03:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x925d01…