Well-Off-Minnow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$223

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

90.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$60

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-29

last 05-12 10:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

85% — —

Other

10% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$228

Crypto

1% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	4	$924	663	663	+0	open	—	04-15 20:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	4	$380	907	907	+0	open	—	03-04 18:58
will uae strike iran by march 31	3	$307	252	252	+0	open	—	03-08 11:47
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	4	$297	241	241	+0	open	—	03-03 19:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$297	197	197	+0	open	—	03-03 21:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$286	238	238	+0	open	—	04-08 00:05
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	2	$240	166	166	+0	open	—	03-08 21:14
us strikes iraq by february 28	2	$202	160	160	+0	open	—	03-01 10:34
will iran strike israel on march 6	2	$193	400	400	+0	open	—	03-08 21:15
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	2	$166	96	96	+0	open	—	03-04 05:46
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$156	147	147	+0	open	—	03-29 22:01
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	3	$150	227	227	+0	open	—	04-08 07:40
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	3	$130	254	254	+0	open	—	03-27 21:53
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	2	$116	177	177	+0	open	—	03-08 13:03
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	1	$100	714	0	+714	open	—	01-29 20:13
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	2	$90	167	167	+0	open	—	03-27 21:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$88	179	179	+0	open	—	03-29 22:02
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$86	319	0	+319	open	—	02-27 13:20
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$86	119	119	+0	open	—	03-29 22:02
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$73	130	130	+0	open	—	04-15 11:09
houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	4	$72	624	624	+0	open	—	03-07 20:46
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$70	125	125	+0	open	—	03-27 21:53
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$60	229	229	+0	open	—	03-07 20:47
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	3	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	04-10 20:38
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$50	278	0	+278	Sean Strickland	+$228	05-07 11:28
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$50	263	0	+263	open	—	02-27 13:20
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$38	58	58	+0	open	—	03-01 21:11
will france strike iran by march 31	2	$36	135	135	+0	open	—	03-27 21:53
ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	1	$35	100	0	+100	open	—	02-28 10:28
ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	1	$35	60	0	+60	open	—	03-27 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	222	2¢	$5	0xf1bd70…
05-07 11:28:59	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	278	18¢	$50	0xf2eb0a…
04-15 20:52:08	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	481	72¢	$347	0x293ffc…
04-15 20:10:36	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	481	83¢	$397	0x09b656…
04-15 13:23:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	182	39¢	$71	0x0b4ac7…
04-15 13:20:28	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	182	60¢	$109	0x423a75…
04-15 11:14:16	btc updown 5m 1776251400	Down	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0xfac804…
04-15 11:13:56	btc updown 5m 1776251400	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x86ad9e…
04-15 11:09:22	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	SELL	130	18¢	$23	0x7937ef…
04-10 20:38:01	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x1dbe5b…
04-10 20:37:09	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	130	38¢	$50	0xa36bce…
04-08 07:40:49	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	227	22¢	$50	0x5420dc…
04-08 07:37:45	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	113	44¢	$50	0xa20a4b…
04-08 07:37:25	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0x75511c…
04-08 00:05:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	238	99¢	$236	0x8b68a8…
04-07 17:22:53	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Jirí Procházka	BUY	67	52¢	$35	0x418b6c…
04-07 17:21:55	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc0f7e7…
04-07 17:21:41	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x12ce28…
04-07 17:19:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x7c4c20…
03-29 22:02:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	179	21¢	$38	0xdff187…
03-29 22:02:42	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	119	30¢	$36	0xb551e8…
03-29 22:01:58	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	147	72¢	$106	0xc9f8bf…
03-28 09:52:43	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x6cc63b…
03-27 21:57:19	ufc isr joe8 2026 03 28	Israel Adesanya	BUY	60	58¢	$35	0xc3ac81…
03-27 21:56:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	119	42¢	$50	0x9829fb…
03-27 21:54:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xdb6768…
03-27 21:53:53	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	254	6¢	$15	0xff2898…
03-27 21:53:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	125	16¢	$20	0x236c9c…
03-27 21:53:45	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	167	9¢	$15	0x444c3c…
03-27 21:53:29	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	114	1¢	$2	0x194242…
03-27 21:53:25	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	135	0¢	$1	0xe098f8…
03-08 21:22:03	iranhezbollah strike on cyprus by march 15	Yes	BUY	125	20¢	$25	0xdb3958…
03-08 21:15:49	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	SELL	400	23¢	$93	0xe41760…
03-08 21:15:37	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xe507e7…
03-08 21:14:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	SELL	166	94¢	$155	0x0737e5…
03-08 13:03:21	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	SELL	177	20¢	$36	0x99b2da…
03-08 11:56:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x922dd0…
03-08 11:47:19	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	252	54¢	$137	0x08f936…
03-08 11:34:47	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	163	83¢	$135	0x186063…
03-07 20:47:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	229	15¢	$34	0x5c00b0…
03-07 20:46:13	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	506	0¢	$1	0x972da8…
03-07 16:46:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 9 795	Yes	BUY	166	51¢	$85	0x9e8772…
03-07 16:45:39	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	Yes	BUY	177	45¢	$80	0x7b6242…
03-06 15:01:03	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	Yes	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xa7fda4…
03-06 15:00:45	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	506	6¢	$30	0x2fae08…
03-04 18:58:55	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	SELL	907	14¢	$130	0x5b6f84…
03-04 06:03:43	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	118	19¢	$22	0xbb9f3b…
03-04 05:52:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	223	22¢	$50	0x397273…
03-04 05:49:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	464	22¢	$100	0x7504f0…
03-04 05:46:57	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0xed78de…
03-03 21:16:33	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 3 345	No	BUY	96	73¢	$70	0x29e5c8…
03-03 21:14:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	197	100¢	$197	0xddb616…
03-03 20:46:27	houthi strike on israel by march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0xff14af…
03-03 20:37:03	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x9c77fc…
03-03 19:21:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	158	75¢	$119	0x12dbc1…
03-03 07:49:45	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	229	11¢	$25	0x008a81…
03-02 15:51:37	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	158	57¢	$90	0xf1389e…
03-02 13:27:43	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	SELL	83	46¢	$38	0x55c78a…
03-02 06:05:51	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0x479b73…
03-01 23:30:07	will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	Yes	SELL	150	11¢	$17	0xabf343…
03-01 22:07:05	will israel strike lebanon on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	69	50¢	$35	0x3cdc27…
03-01 21:53:31	will israel strike lebanon on march 1 2026	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x4a853f…
03-01 21:11:55	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0xcfa9d7…
03-01 18:51:13	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0xb11b16…
03-01 12:19:01	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xfd0b94…
03-01 12:18:51	will uae strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x41143b…
03-01 11:24:13	will uk strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0x1aab0e…
03-01 10:34:25	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	SELL	160	79¢	$127	0x5b03e2…
03-01 10:06:27	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	167	45¢	$75	0x893316…
03-01 05:40:03	btc updown 5m 1772343300	Up	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0x481972…
03-01 05:38:27	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x7d55ff…
03-01 05:38:19	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	Yes	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0x2b1e2a…
02-28 16:36:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x03053e…
02-28 15:50:59	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on february 28	Yes	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0x7cae8d…
02-28 15:49:39	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	161	3¢	$5	0xdcb320…
02-28 15:20:17	will the price of xrp be between 1pt20 1pt30 on february 28	Yes	BUY	307	7¢	$20	0x230a4f…
02-28 12:07:47	will the price of xrp be less than 1pt00 on february 28	Yes	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x44ed9d…
02-28 12:05:11	us strikes iraq by february 28	No	BUY	160	47¢	$75	0xfe1208…
02-28 10:28:35	ufc cha1 max1 2026 03 07	Charles Oliveira	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x00ed84…
02-27 13:20:45	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	319	27¢	$86	0x1a2ddb…
02-27 13:20:29	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x4b8c58…
02-27 13:20:21	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	181	8¢	$15	0x298623…
01-30 16:02:04	ufc ale14 die4 2026 01 31	Lopes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1b5fa0…
01-30 16:01:52	ufc dan6 ben8 2026 01 31	Hooker	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x59868a…
01-29 20:16:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on january 29	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x31d147…
01-29 20:13:40	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	Yes	BUY	714	14¢	$100	0x8d6dbc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	35	$258.9K	19,911	04-24 19:45
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	34	$10.9M	15,222	04-26 16:32
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	34	$267.9K	17,806	05-04 13:43
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	33	$114.2K	13,567	04-08 17:04
(anonymous) 0x5449…992b	32	$20.9K	5,244	05-10 04:45
Warlike-Shoemaker 0x4eb6…5e8a	32	$1.46K	516	04-28 10:48
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	31	$4.81M	9,534	05-10 04:45
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	31	$545.4K	4,271	04-24 13:59