Confused-Strike — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

201

Trades

1,692

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-31 00:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% +$88

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 307 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	10	$207	230	230	+0	Down	$-73	05-06 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$140	317	0	+317	Down	$-140	05-06 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	8	$140	258	0	+258	Up	$-44	05-06 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$120	174	0	+174	Down	+$54	05-06 01:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	9	$116	228	0	+228	Down	+$70	05-06 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	9	$116	242	0	+242	Up	$-101	05-06 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	8	$115	108	108	+0	open	—	05-14 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$113	140	76	+65	open	—	05-16 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	4	$107	150	34	+115	Up	$-73	05-06 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	5	$103	191	161	+30	open	—	05-14 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	12	$103	177	0	+177	Down	$-2	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$100	168	0	+168	Down	$-100	05-06 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$100	196	0	+196	Down	+$96	05-06 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	6	$99	88	67	+20	open	—	05-14 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	6	$99	99	55	+44	open	—	05-14 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	7	$98	208	0	+208	Up	$-98	05-06 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$93	162	142	+20	Down	+$1	05-06 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$91	62	62	+0	Down	+$31	05-12 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	4	$90	160	0	+160	Up	+$70	05-06 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	10	$89	123	29	+94	open	—	05-16 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	5	$87	58	58	+0	open	—	05-14 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	12	$87	316	0	+316	open	—	05-14 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	6	$86	78	78	+0	open	—	05-14 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$85	153	0	+153	Down	$-13	05-06 15:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	4	$85	105	0	+105	Up	+$7	05-06 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	6	$84	135	76	+59	open	—	05-14 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	4	$82	179	0	+179	Down	+$47	05-06 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	5	$82	78	78	+0	Down	$-18	05-08 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	7	$81	123	112	+11	open	—	05-14 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	7	$80	243	0	+243	Up	$-80	05-06 19:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 00:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0x8da945…
05-31 00:31:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	21	50¢	$10	0x35d3c4…
05-31 00:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x114024…
05-31 00:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa1c614…
05-31 00:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	23	39¢	$9	0x5309ac…
05-31 00:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x49b57f…
05-31 00:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xde6f57…
05-31 00:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	31	14¢	$4	0x2c6dbc…
05-31 00:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	23¢	$7	0x629363…
05-31 00:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x9e2d04…
05-31 00:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	15	54¢	$8	0xf834d0…
05-31 00:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x2cb459…
05-31 00:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x8ad2ba…
05-30 23:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0x6cf998…
05-30 23:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x9f5124…
05-30 23:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	37	32¢	$12	0x01834b…
05-30 23:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xfc952f…
05-30 23:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x781907…
05-30 23:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xfc09a9…
05-30 23:34:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x67bbb8…
05-30 23:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x176cc4…
05-30 23:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb523aa…
05-30 22:58:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9098e7…
05-30 22:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x78322c…
05-30 22:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc8aae1…
05-30 22:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc7ce72…
05-30 22:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x8be38a…
05-30 22:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xadea04…
05-30 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4ca7d8…
05-30 22:34:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe2d021…
05-30 22:32:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7813b9…
05-30 22:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x0b998e…
05-30 22:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x85dd69…
05-30 22:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xb5c652…
05-30 22:18:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x49ad05…
05-30 22:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x892a18…
05-30 22:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0xdaf234…
05-30 22:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x83625c…
05-30 22:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x112b4d…
05-30 22:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x21ec74…
05-30 22:08:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xdb5506…
05-30 22:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xa87d52…
05-30 22:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x3fba3f…
05-30 22:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4515a9…
05-30 22:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xfd2d92…
05-30 22:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xc65111…
05-30 22:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1aebaa…
05-30 22:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0x962395…
05-30 22:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc71b0d…
05-30 21:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xe0c453…
05-30 21:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9d521c…
05-30 21:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x55dc46…
05-30 21:55:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x1bb6e0…
05-30 21:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xf03bb7…
05-30 21:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa92df7…
05-30 21:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x9849af…
05-30 21:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x8a2bbf…
05-30 21:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe8d597…
05-23 02:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x85f0c5…
05-23 02:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x216661…
05-23 02:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4aa78b…
05-23 02:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x4d5255…
05-23 02:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xc55584…
05-23 02:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x0b9fe5…
05-23 02:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	24	29¢	$7	0x956f8d…
05-23 02:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x1f4296…
05-23 02:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xaa13f2…
05-23 02:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x110e9b…
05-23 02:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x09301f…
05-23 02:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb09456…
05-23 02:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5da5ec…
05-23 02:07:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x02fea4…
05-23 02:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x468a3e…
05-23 01:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe20f0c…
05-23 01:51:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x209254…
05-23 01:50:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2d3438…
05-23 01:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xeea9a9…
05-23 01:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xf6712f…
05-23 01:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x69d4ab…
05-23 01:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xf932cb…
05-23 01:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xbc8f32…
05-23 01:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1ac628…
05-23 01:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xaf486b…
05-23 01:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x3501e0…
05-23 01:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd99d1b…
05-23 01:28:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x31db74…
05-23 01:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x078feb…
05-23 01:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd27e9e…
05-23 01:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc62b5d…
05-23 01:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0xe2fce1…
05-23 01:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	35¢	$1	0xa78ab2…
05-23 01:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5ebbcf…
05-23 01:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc8c9a0…
05-23 01:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x469e58…
05-23 00:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xbab40e…
05-23 00:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x159e5d…
05-23 00:52:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x35e75a…
05-23 00:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x601964…
05-23 00:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xefb22a…
05-23 00:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x32327c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	637	$461.2K	20,015	05-31 00:55
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	637	$167.3K	48,923	05-31 00:53
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	637	$155.9K	45,066	05-31 00:53
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	637	$114.2K	36,826	05-31 00:53
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	636	$155.9K	26,193	05-31 00:53
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	634	$211.2K	12,377	05-31 00:52
Altruistic-Grief 0xa280…3343	634	$134.5K	24,963	05-31 00:53
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	629	$154.7K	5,984	05-31 00:50