Horrible-Stay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-12

last 05-26 16:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 85% +$8

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	4	$1.0K	444	623	-180	open	—	04-13 13:50
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	1	$500	510	0	+510	open	—	04-05 21:53
microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	5	$439	464	0	+464	open	—	04-14 04:37
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	1	$300	302	0	+302	open	—	03-23 10:18
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$210	223	0	+223	open	—	03-15 14:27
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	1	$192	200	0	+200	open	—	04-13 14:37
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	6	$167	188	0	+188	open	—	03-28 22:51
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	2	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	03-15 14:27
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	2	$61	34	34	+0	open	—	05-11 11:12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	05-26 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	5	$41	38	38	+0	Down	+$4	05-05 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$23	43	18	+25	Up	+$1	05-12 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$20	20	0	+20	Down	+$0	05-05 21:58
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	2	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-13 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	5	$15	15	2	+14	Down	+$1	05-12 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$15	15	0	+15	Down	+$0	05-07 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$11	13	0	+13	Down	+$0	05-11 20:58
btc updown 5m 1773383700	1	$11	19	0	+19	open	—	03-13 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	5	$10	60	55	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 12:04
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 17:10
btc updown 5m 1773384000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-13 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 20:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	4	$8	11	2	+9	Up	+$0	05-12 20:43
btc updown 5m 1773385200	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	03-13 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	$-5	05-12 20:24
btc updown 5m 1773385800	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	03-13 07:14
btc updown 5m 1773389100	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-13 08:09
btc updown 5m 1773389400	3	$3	3	2	+1	open	—	03-13 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 16:17:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	23	98¢	$23	0xe9471b…
05-26 13:12:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x591c0d…
05-26 13:07:52	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 26-June 1?	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x0ec0c6…
05-26 13:07:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa81706…
05-12 21:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x29fc5d…
05-12 20:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x3fe9f5…
05-12 20:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xa455f8…
05-12 20:43:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6ea738…
05-12 20:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xda78d9…
05-12 20:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf15d1a…
05-12 20:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf33e6c…
05-12 20:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xfb95a6…
05-12 20:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xba8ae4…
05-12 20:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xc7db94…
05-12 20:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x710565…
05-12 20:34:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x240fd0…
05-12 20:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdd280b…
05-12 20:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x5d08a4…
05-12 20:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfff687…
05-12 20:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xe9c9fc…
05-12 20:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	13	52¢	$7	0xb72aa1…
05-12 20:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x38f029…
05-12 20:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xb27f43…
05-11 20:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xd013f8…
05-11 20:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x69a48c…
05-11 11:12:31	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	SELL	34	95¢	$32	0x8a38e6…
05-11 07:55:23	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x196488…
05-10 18:39:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x042169…
05-10 18:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xde166e…
05-10 18:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x589bd9…
05-10 10:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xb26c50…
05-10 10:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	96¢	$15	0x84c19f…
05-08 12:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xe1dea6…
05-08 12:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd0be31…
05-08 12:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x3c3597…
05-08 12:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x184438…
05-08 12:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xab2a63…
05-08 12:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x4da251…
05-08 12:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7e8daa…
05-08 12:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0xec348c…
05-08 12:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7257b…
05-07 21:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xdaf645…
05-07 21:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x95dfae…
05-07 21:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf7e573…
05-07 21:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf3c186…
05-07 20:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xeeed62…
05-07 20:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf46ccc…
05-06 18:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x39dcce…
05-05 21:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x050b38…
05-05 20:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0x79fed3…
05-05 20:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0xde8a3f…
05-05 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	59¢	$5	0xa59de9…
05-05 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x90b208…
05-05 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x2bf3c6…
05-05 20:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	59¢	$8	0x184170…
05-05 20:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0xb4e067…
05-01 17:10:20	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 28-May 4?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xd96c23…
04-14 04:37:07	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x33a596…
04-13 19:44:25	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x9f8fda…
04-13 15:48:51	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe771c5…
04-13 14:37:59	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x2042e8…
04-13 14:27:21	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x4c4dca…
04-13 14:00:03	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0xfa8c20…
04-13 13:51:07	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 14 20	Yes	BUY	116	95¢	$110	0x23f149…
04-13 13:50:09	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	Yes	SELL	623	100¢	$623	0xc0afb0…
04-10 06:24:49	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	19	94¢	$18	0x3c4456…
04-09 17:44:51	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	300	96¢	$287	0xc1c5af…
04-09 15:27:59	btc updown 5m 1775748300	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf955ea…
04-09 15:26:51	btc updown 5m 1775748300	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x736d2a…
04-09 15:22:59	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase april 7 13	Yes	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0xef5c43…
04-05 21:53:17	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 31 april 6	Yes	BUY	510	98¢	$500	0x8204ca…
03-28 22:51:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	65	76¢	$50	0xcd2d6f…
03-27 13:48:33	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x2949ea…
03-27 10:09:43	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	54	95¢	$51	0x7a303e…
03-27 09:49:41	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x0f1643…
03-26 16:29:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x8bc806…
03-26 15:05:17	Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0xa0909d…
03-26 08:22:47	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 24 30	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0xc68392…
03-23 10:18:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 17 23	Yes	BUY	302	99¢	$300	0xdd455d…
03-15 14:27:51	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x120f02…
03-15 14:27:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	Yes	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x52b8bd…
03-13 09:00:53	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	9	95¢	$9	0x7c3e6f…
03-13 08:29:53	btc updown 5m 1773390300	Down	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x1f55f6…
03-13 08:29:19	btc updown 5m 1773390300	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb75c16…
03-13 08:14:55	btc updown 5m 1773389400	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x2b0c6b…
03-13 08:14:11	btc updown 5m 1773389400	Down	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xf16c0e…
03-13 08:13:23	btc updown 5m 1773389400	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6bbdff…
03-13 08:09:35	btc updown 5m 1773389100	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8a01ea…
03-13 07:14:53	btc updown 5m 1773385800	Down	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x88db0e…
03-13 07:03:39	btc updown 5m 1773385200	Up	SELL	8	54¢	$4	0xebacf2…
03-13 07:02:45	btc updown 5m 1773385200	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa57a62…
03-13 06:57:39	btc updown 5m 1773384900	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xaa4481…
03-13 06:56:03	btc updown 5m 1773384900	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc380e6…
03-13 06:44:55	btc updown 5m 1773384000	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6b1d57…
03-13 06:39:57	btc updown 5m 1773383700	Up	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x58c290…
03-12 19:46:21	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0xa77cdc…
03-12 17:15:01	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	57	92¢	$53	0x6001c0…
03-12 17:11:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase march 10 16	Yes	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x886a91…