Harmless-Split — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$39.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$861

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-08 02:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 100% +$102

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$18.1K	9,040	9,040	+0	open	—	05-07 01:34
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$18.0K	9,040	9,040	+0	open	—	05-06 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	19	$2.0K	2,015	0	+2,015	Down	+$49	05-08 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	6	$765	800	0	+800	Up	+$35	05-07 01:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	4	$697	700	0	+700	Up	+$3	05-07 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	1	$85	100	0	+100	Down	+$15	05-08 01:37
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	02-21 05:08
will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-14 05:33
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-11 01:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-04 05:35
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-14 05:34
will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	02-21 05:08
will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-11 01:53
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-04 05:35
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-21 05:08
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	01-14 05:34
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-11 01:53
highest temperature in toronto on april 5 2026 2corbelow	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-04 05:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x7fa150…
05-08 02:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x66630f…
05-08 02:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	85	100¢	$84	0xe5e0c4…
05-08 02:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0xdabc73…
05-08 02:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$14	0xed8347…
05-08 02:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xd8f431…
05-08 02:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xc732a3…
05-08 02:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfa9424…
05-08 02:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xafd14b…
05-08 02:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	178	98¢	$175	0xc4ddad…
05-08 02:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	98¢	$196	0x9d254c…
05-08 02:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x8005ae…
05-08 02:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xe93a5e…
05-08 02:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xcaf3e2…
05-08 02:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x67ffcc…
05-08 02:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xf88652…
05-08 02:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xe479f5…
05-08 02:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xccb8c7…
05-08 02:32:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x161d30…
05-08 01:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xebc30d…
05-07 23:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x3ac720…
05-07 23:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9bf13c…
05-07 23:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x35671b…
05-07 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x8065bd…
05-07 01:58:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xdfecde…
05-07 01:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x9ec6d0…
05-07 01:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xb49f84…
05-07 01:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0x60c3ae…
05-07 01:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xb37758…
05-07 01:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x41c67f…
05-07 01:34:21	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	SELL	9,040	100¢	$9,022	0xa0fcac…
05-06 23:38:11	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	No	BUY	9,040	100¢	$9,031	0x6e9015…
05-06 14:48:05	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	9,040	100¢	$9,004	0x318c30…
05-06 13:05:58	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	9,040	100¢	$9,004	0x77dfc9…
04-04 05:36:17	highest temperature in toronto on april 5 2026 2corbelow	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b7a2d…
04-04 05:35:53	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the april meeting	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xceef97…
04-04 05:35:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0ec181…
03-11 01:53:17	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2409ab…
03-11 01:53:07	will the fed cutpausepause in the next three decisions decjanmar	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x4e8aca…
03-11 01:52:47	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x206df0…
02-21 05:08:40	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	Yes	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x8000f7…
02-21 05:08:20	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x5c7399…
02-21 05:08:04	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbb8257…
01-14 05:34:14	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x88d092…
01-14 05:34:06	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x973363…
01-14 05:33:56	will ethereum dip to 1200 in january 2026 477	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x297e0b…