Threadbare-Smog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.19K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-09 09:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

99% 100% +$1

Crypto

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No		+2	$2	92¢	$2	+$0	06-03 16:12
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No		+2	$2	86¢	$2	$-0	06-24 15:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	2	$1.1K	1,182	1,182	+0	open	—	03-17 15:20
john daghita arrested by march 31	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	02-12 14:41
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 14:41
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	03-24 11:13
han duck soo in jail by january 31	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	01-14 14:05
nothing ever happens microstrategy	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 14:41
will anyone say love or lover during love island e32 20260706144620690	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-09 09:41
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-06 15:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-24 15:14
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-30 11:20
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-03 16:12
amzn close above 235 on july 1 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	07-01 14:04
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-27 13:58
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	1	$2	2	0	+2	Vitality	+$0	05-13 15:34
will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-17 15:41
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	1	$2	2	0	+2	Team Nemesis	+$1	05-06 14:06
houthi military action against saudi arabia by march 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-24 11:13
Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group D	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-20 14:12
spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	06-11 09:43
lol sly me1 2026 04 14	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-14 15:26
cs2 cyb drip 2026 04 22	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-22 14:19
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-04 10:30
bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-30 14:38
will axiom be accused of insider trading	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-25 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 09:41:22	will anyone say love or lover during love island e32 20260706144620690	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3e4bb0…
07-01 14:04:13	amzn close above 235 on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xe02ea8…
06-24 15:14:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x6c6e9f…
06-17 15:41:52	will solana dip to 60 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x7df9b8…
06-11 09:43:19	spx opens up or down on june 11 2026	Up	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x884bc7…
06-03 16:12:52	Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x962a6f…
05-27 13:58:53	Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x762f39…
05-20 14:12:33	Rocket League: Gentle Mates vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - RLCS World Championship Group D	FURIA Esports	BUY	2	76¢	$2	0x9079a3…
05-13 15:34:46	Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x017e06…
05-06 14:06:08	Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	Team Nemesis	BUY	2	72¢	$2	0x3e8eef…
04-30 11:20:58	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Dplus KIA	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd3e07e…
04-22 14:19:52	cs2 cyb drip 2026 04 22	CYBERSHOKE Prospects	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x4eb0ea…
04-14 15:26:57	lol sly me1 2026 04 14	Misa Esports	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x75699f…
04-06 15:23:49	Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xed19b9…
03-30 14:38:11	bitcoin up or down on march 30 2026	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x6dce33…
03-24 11:13:43	houthi military action against saudi arabia by march 31	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xee9c1a…
03-24 11:13:07	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x308b04…
03-17 15:20:49	cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	Howard Bison	SELL	1,182	48¢	$571	0x628297…
03-17 15:20:25	cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	Howard Bison	BUY	1,182	48¢	$571	0x689e23…
03-11 11:19:49	USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x775864…
03-04 10:30:15	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	96¢	$1	0x59a07f…
02-25 10:47:30	will axiom be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0xd667bc…
02-12 14:41:37	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xecd591…
02-12 14:41:31	john daghita arrested by march 31	No	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x130009…
02-12 14:41:25	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xd3fb44…
02-10 14:09:51	john daghita arrested by march 31	No	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0x72647e…
01-24 15:30:56	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x82c319…
01-14 14:05:14	han duck soo in jail by january 31	Yes	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x4f0d19…
01-05 09:05:23	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x672aec…