True-Handful — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-14 10:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 33% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	05-14 10:39
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes		+1	$1	96¢	$1	$-0	05-09 12:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-14 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 12:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-10 18:21
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-09 12:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 10:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 10:39:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x4589a0…
05-14 10:39:07	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x70efdf…
05-10 18:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x7c672a…
05-09 13:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x6f6697…
05-09 12:21:44	Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb7803a…
05-09 12:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb5646e…
05-09 12:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc6c5ce…