Spicy-Casserole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$638

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 05-13 19:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

92% 43% $-17

Politics

8% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$84	65	65	+0	open	—	04-29 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	6	$75	353	153	+200	Up	+$35	05-13 19:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$65	461	0	+461	open	—	04-29 19:31
Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	3	$51	38	38	+0	open	—	04-29 19:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$47	36	36	+0	Down	+$23	05-13 19:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$40	139	0	+139	Up	$-40	05-13 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$39	95	45	+50	Down	+$17	05-08 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$33	140	38	+102	open	—	04-29 19:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	5	$27	102	0	+102	Up	$-27	05-13 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$23	17	17	+0	open	—	04-29 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	1	$19	118	0	+118	Down	$-19	05-08 13:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$19	28	28	+0	open	—	04-29 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$18	28	28	+0	open	—	04-29 16:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$18	120	0	+120	open	—	04-29 19:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$12	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$12	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	1	$10	143	0	+143	open	—	04-29 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	04-29 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	4	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	04-30 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$9	30	0	+30	open	—	04-29 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$6	220	0	+220	open	—	04-29 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$6	68	0	+68	Up	$-6	05-08 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	04-30 12:11
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	1	$2	82	0	+82	open	—	04-29 15:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-29 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-29 19:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 19:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x73cfe2…
05-13 19:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x71b1f6…
05-13 19:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xc15450…
05-13 19:51:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x597e0c…
05-13 19:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf0e60c…
05-13 19:47:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf70025…
05-13 19:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x4bfde6…
05-13 19:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x189b04…
05-13 19:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0x15760d…
05-13 19:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x56a4bb…
05-13 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb8a1ed…
05-13 19:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd1a80d…
05-13 19:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xc93b3e…
05-13 19:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	153	36¢	$55	0x873e07…
05-13 19:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	9¢	$4	0xbc345c…
05-13 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xfec9ba…
05-13 19:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x166e48…
05-08 13:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	118	16¢	$19	0x48f711…
05-08 13:03:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd09313…
05-08 13:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x4676ab…
05-08 13:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe6fa76…
05-08 13:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf3d11d…
05-08 12:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x26eb4b…
05-08 12:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	45	61¢	$28	0xf08479…
05-08 12:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x34d280…
04-30 12:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0x20cbfb…
04-30 12:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfcc5d6…
04-30 12:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x12661a…
04-30 12:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x927dea…
04-30 12:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcec748…
04-29 19:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	120	15¢	$18	0x4e6c82…
04-29 19:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa42703…
04-29 19:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0xdc6dda…
04-29 19:31:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x6af1c4…
04-29 19:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0xf21e99…
04-29 19:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0xff74c1…
04-29 19:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd7a15b…
04-29 19:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6c1012…
04-29 19:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	38	68¢	$26	0x3b2e1b…
04-29 19:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x30b857…
04-29 19:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	65	99¢	$64	0x1427f7…
04-29 19:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x66858d…
04-29 19:16:12	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xe202e7…
04-29 16:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	41	29¢	$12	0xe0b8ba…
04-29 16:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x10641a…
04-29 16:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfb0667…
04-29 16:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	120	4¢	$5	0xe1cadf…
04-29 16:23:24	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x7de6e1…
04-29 16:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	28	47¢	$13	0xee33e3…
04-29 16:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x1b2897…
04-29 16:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	28	49¢	$14	0xeeaea0…
04-29 16:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xea2dc5…
04-29 16:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xf5db5b…
04-29 16:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbfd310…
04-29 16:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	17	90¢	$15	0x9b5119…
04-29 16:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0x2c7074…
04-29 15:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x08d66c…
04-29 15:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0xdf3158…
04-29 15:17:08	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x6d9625…
04-29 15:14:20	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	No	BUY	82	3¢	$2	0x3ba0a0…