Horrible-Degree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,333

lifetime

Volume

$354.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-16

last 06-05 04:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 27% $-1,089

Other

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 281 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	27	$22.1K	16,739	16,465	+274	open	—	04-29 18:09
Will Bitcoin reach $79,000 on May 2?	23	$13.7K	11,083	11,083	+0	open	—	05-02 21:37
will rory mcilroy win the 2026 masters tournament	22	$11.6K	9,380	9,380	+0	open	—	04-12 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 4?	9	$10.4K	20,175	20,175	+0	open	—	05-04 11:22
megaeth market cap fdv 1pt5b one day after launch 371 844 879 681	22	$9.4K	13,594	13,594	+0	open	—	05-01 04:31
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?	3	$8.4K	13,253	8,583	+4,670	open	—	04-16 11:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 18?	17	$7.9K	8,999	8,999	+0	open	—	05-18 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	6	$7.3K	8,219	8,219	+0	open	—	05-21 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 11?	13	$7.1K	10,477	10,477	+0	Down	+$1,228	05-11 05:32
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 9?	4	$6.7K	5,284	5,284	+0	Yes	+$3,852	05-09 19:00
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	9	$5.3K	5,050	5,050	+0	open	—	03-31 01:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,000 on April 25?	10	$4.9K	12,000	6,000	+6,000	open	—	04-26 01:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	7	$3.7K	3,568	7,711	-4,143	open	—	05-23 14:14
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 10?	14	$2.9K	9,265	9,265	+0	Yes	$-842	05-10 21:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 9?	38	$2.8K	18,203	18,203	+0	No	$-1,760	05-10 00:43
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	4	$2.8K	13,341	13,341	+0	open	—	04-12 19:37
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on May 19?	9	$2.2K	10,289	10,289	+0	open	—	05-20 00:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on May 11?	12	$2.1K	8,118	0	+8,118	No	$-2,086	05-11 13:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?	1	$2.0K	7,114	0	+7,114	open	—	05-01 19:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 3?	4	$2.0K	6,530	6,530	+0	open	—	05-03 08:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	4	$1.6K	13,715	0	+13,715	open	—	05-23 14:26
btc updown 5m 1775183400	4	$1.5K	1,374	1,293	+81	open	—	04-03 02:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 20?	15	$1.5K	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	05-20 14:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	7	$1.4K	10,872	10,872	+0	open	—	05-24 20:25
btc updown 5m 1775553300	2	$1.4K	1,268	1,192	+75	open	—	04-07 09:20
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	7	$1.4K	15,005	0	+15,005	open	—	04-30 04:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April?	8	$1.3K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	04-26 18:27
btc updown 5m 1775654100	4	$1.2K	1,124	1,056	+67	open	—	04-08 13:20
btc updown 5m 1774503000	3	$1.2K	1,031	1,025	+6	open	—	03-26 05:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 April 27-May 3?	19	$1.2K	20,000	0	+20,000	open	—	05-01 12:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 04:13:15	btc updown 5m 1780632600	Up	BUY	735	10¢	$74	0x80c4ed…
06-05 04:00:18	btc updown 5m 1780631700	Down	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xb739c6…
06-05 03:56:58	btc updown 5m 1780631700	Down	BUY	80	37¢	$30	0x0d9e1c…
06-02 01:53:34	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,041	0¢	$18	0x91ca2d…
05-25 07:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	63	22¢	$14	0xbb3b89…
05-24 20:25:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	10,872	4¢	$395	0x8a8f35…
05-23 15:56:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	126	7¢	$9	0x9026b0…
05-23 15:55:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	109	8¢	$8	0x1a3996…
05-23 15:51:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	6,400	10¢	$640	0xaa13d5…
05-23 15:51:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	600	10¢	$57	0x60c125…
05-23 15:46:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	843	8¢	$67	0xb79146…
05-23 15:44:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,794	8¢	$224	0xdc6f35…
05-23 14:26:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	639	9¢	$57	0x1076ec…
05-23 14:16:04	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6,428	12¢	$771	0x61b72f…
05-23 14:15:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	548	11¢	$60	0x1be200…
05-23 14:15:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	6,100	11¢	$671	0x6241c9…
05-23 14:14:59	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	7,711	36¢	$2,759	0xc58139…
05-23 07:23:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	1,223	3¢	$34	0x81c452…
05-23 03:59:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	3,500	28¢	$969	0x6ca7b8…
05-23 03:54:21	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xe4d706…
05-23 03:51:29	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xf68086…
05-23 03:33:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xf3072d…
05-23 03:33:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd58fa3…
05-23 03:33:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xa748eb…
05-23 03:33:03	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x10a879…
05-23 03:32:35	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd8e15f…
05-23 03:21:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	776	2¢	$16	0xf95659…
05-21 13:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc404ec…
05-21 13:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x424122…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	53¢	$18	0xb59b64…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa923db…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8d16f7…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6f0b24…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x45e061…
05-21 13:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1d1452…
05-21 12:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	7,927	60¢	$4,756	0xcb4aef…
05-21 12:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	SELL	292	62¢	$181	0x68708b…
05-21 03:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	157	15¢	$23	0x6999c7…
05-21 02:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	77	31¢	$24	0xf0d2de…
05-21 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	500	27¢	$135	0x0cf924…
05-21 01:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	5,000	29¢	$1,450	0x2734ba…
05-21 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xdbdbd1…
05-21 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x74f37b…
05-21 01:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	178	53¢	$94	0x007170…
05-21 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0xbd0250…
05-21 01:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb11e14…
05-21 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	54	51¢	$28	0xeffeca…
05-21 01:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xba96be…
05-21 00:57:51	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xf05f8c…
05-21 00:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	2,713	27¢	$733	0xf086d8…
05-21 00:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xc04660…
05-21 00:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	99	53¢	$52	0xbc16df…
05-21 00:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$1	0xde4224…
05-21 00:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xe719fb…
05-21 00:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0xca478b…
05-21 00:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x9fd686…
05-21 00:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x8bb778…
05-21 00:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	45	53¢	$24	0x79f360…
05-21 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe1a651…
05-21 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	44	53¢	$24	0xddec9a…
05-21 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5c5275…
05-21 00:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x489899…
05-21 00:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xf96f15…
05-21 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xf5a6e1…
05-21 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0x6beb6c…
05-21 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x5ae5cd…
05-21 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x5825e9…
05-21 00:09:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x2e0e39…
05-20 22:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0xffa7d6…
05-20 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0xda282e…
05-20 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5f6bd4…
05-20 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x431776…
05-20 22:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x21e83e…
05-20 22:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xf69ff9…
05-20 22:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb511cb…
05-20 22:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xb40127…
05-20 22:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xb31a7a…
05-20 22:20:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf88fc8…
05-20 22:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	51¢	$0	0x828b59…
05-20 22:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	85	51¢	$44	0x66122b…
05-20 22:18:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	51¢	$7	0x46368c…
05-20 22:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x7d0cba…
05-20 22:14:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xd63478…
05-20 22:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x8d086e…
05-20 22:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x11fbc8…
05-20 21:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x97cf03…
05-20 21:59:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0x2d55b9…
05-20 16:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0xded8a7…
05-20 16:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x5bef51…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xedf7a9…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xedc07a…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xec1e4c…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe0d437…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc7f785…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xbfa48b…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x92624c…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	21	53¢	$11	0x6fb402…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x5ad347…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x4c4e83…
05-20 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x351a3f…