Neighboring-Validate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

47.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$424

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

$10

1 position

First seen

2026-05-01

last 05-30 09:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

75% — —

Politics

25% 50% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No		-10	$-10	96¢	$-10	$-0	05-30 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$204	105	105	+0	open	—	05-10 13:01
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 12:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$56	90	90	+0	No	$-13	05-05 04:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$50	52	0	+52	No	+$2	05-02 17:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	05-30 09:52
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	2	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 11:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 09:52:58	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x892065…
05-15 12:06:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,100 in May?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x2b5f02…
05-10 13:01:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	105	99¢	$104	0x5195a7…
05-05 04:15:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	90	24¢	$22	0x742cac…
05-04 17:22:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	90	38¢	$34	0x800343…
05-04 11:57:42	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xd2bb77…
05-03 19:03:56	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9a3818…
05-02 17:44:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x5765cf…
05-01 20:58:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xf3b333…