Which-Shock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$76

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$540

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 06-07 18:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 47% $-76

Tech

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$60	81	0	+81	open	—	05-15 18:52
will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	3	$50	333	0	+333	open	—	06-04 19:13
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$49	60	0	+60	open	—	05-15 18:49
will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	1	$49	73	0	+73	open	—	06-07 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$45	110	0	+110	Up	+$5	05-07 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$37	51	0	+51	open	—	05-14 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	9	$30	35	10	+25	Down	$-18	05-05 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$28	36	0	+36	open	—	05-14 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	5	$12	40	0	+40	Up	+$8	05-07 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-05 21:11
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	$-8	05-11 16:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$9	13	0	+13	Down	$-9	05-11 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$9	30	0	+30	Up	$-9	05-07 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	3	$9	30	0	+30	Down	$-9	05-07 15:18
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	4	$9	12	0	+12	Down	$-9	05-11 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	3	$9	11	0	+11	Down	$-9	05-11 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	Up	+$2	05-11 17:25
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	2	$8	13	0	+13	Down	+$5	05-11 18:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$6	20	0	+20	Up	$-6	05-07 11:00
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 16:35
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 20:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-11 16:35
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 20:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 18:05
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 17:20
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-11 17:20
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	$-4	05-11 17:35
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	$-4	05-11 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 18:22:36	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	73	68¢	$49	0xabb86e…
06-04 19:13:24	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	Yes	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0x41de6b…
06-04 19:12:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	Yes	BUY	309	15¢	$46	0x991523…
06-04 19:12:25	will bitcoin dip to 62k on june 4	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x543ee2…
05-15 18:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xcb03be…
05-15 18:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	76	75¢	$57	0xba1af0…
05-15 18:49:29	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xf33f2a…
05-15 18:49:29	Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0xeb8ee6…
05-14 13:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x821895…
05-14 13:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0xd7ccc6…
05-14 13:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0xf2017f…
05-14 13:08:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5a4289…
05-14 13:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	79¢	$28	0xbc79da…
05-11 18:56:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x502c19…
05-11 18:50:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xd8be7f…
05-11 18:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4ff7f9…
05-11 18:50:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcf0b9f…
05-11 18:10:24	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xe6bc33…
05-11 18:10:08	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0x9f219e…
05-11 18:10:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x9a309e…
05-11 18:10:04	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x045fec…
05-11 18:07:48	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb77300…
05-11 18:05:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa6befe…
05-11 18:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x140b95…
05-11 18:05:09	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x6ca6f4…
05-11 17:50:44	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x6cbe1e…
05-11 17:50:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xa68823…
05-11 17:50:06	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0xb46e7e…
05-11 17:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x4e7b3f…
05-11 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xf111a8…
05-11 17:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa107d2…
05-11 17:35:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0xb2d502…
05-11 17:35:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xf0bd66…
05-11 17:35:06	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x603395…
05-11 17:35:04	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x4918f4…
05-11 17:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xb4f0ee…
05-11 17:20:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xa753ae…
05-11 17:20:28	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdc5a22…
05-11 17:20:07	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xe1eefd…
05-11 17:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x8406bc…
05-11 16:43:25	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x891def…
05-11 16:40:11	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x5061d0…
05-11 16:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0x793c87…
05-11 16:35:36	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xb64b67…
05-11 16:35:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0xc71360…
05-11 16:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xcb990e…
05-11 16:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xbd67ea…
05-11 16:35:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x88c503…
05-11 16:35:22	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$4	0x6d44cd…
05-11 16:35:19	XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x025d63…
05-11 16:35:12	Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xad70c2…
05-09 20:43:10	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x7073db…
05-09 20:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0xf6936f…
05-09 20:40:27	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	52¢	$3	0xa03e99…
05-09 20:39:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xd18017…
05-09 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1817f8…
05-09 20:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xcd83e0…
05-09 20:31:46	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xfa2990…
05-09 20:31:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x204b45…
05-09 20:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa6be59…
05-09 20:30:41	XRP Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x168a12…
05-07 15:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdda3bb…
05-07 15:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x5ae144…
05-07 15:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x580fb4…
05-07 15:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x41726f…
05-07 15:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2eb431…
05-07 15:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x545de6…
05-07 12:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xec2129…
05-07 12:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0xae0d12…
05-07 12:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x8b4942…
05-07 12:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x651610…
05-07 12:36:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x027d4b…
05-07 11:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xafb014…
05-07 11:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0xb500f7…
05-07 09:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x21faed…
05-07 09:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	30¢	$5	0xbca8fe…
05-07 09:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	30¢	$3	0xa11166…
05-07 09:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x8482c9…
05-07 09:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x5a32ce…
05-07 09:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc0674b…
05-05 21:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xb3c039…
05-05 21:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x36aff9…
05-05 21:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x34bba5…
05-05 21:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8fa320…
05-05 21:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x79bb39…
05-05 21:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0x2babc3…
05-05 21:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x79aa5b…
05-05 21:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0c87c0…
05-05 21:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x3cca5b…
05-05 21:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xdac51c…