Flustered-Appreciation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.0%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$687

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-15 04:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 29% $-4

Sports

15% 50% +$4

Tech

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776612000	2	$89	45	45	+0	open	—	04-19 15:24
btc updown 5m 1775991300	2	$42	28	28	+1	open	—	04-12 10:57
btc updown 5m 1776585300	4	$22	15	15	+0	open	—	04-19 07:59
btc updown 5m 1776611400	4	$21	13	13	+0	open	—	04-19 15:14
btc updown 5m 1776682800	2	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-20 11:02
btc updown 5m 1776275400	3	$17	19	3	+16	open	—	04-15 17:52
btc updown 5m 1776275100	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	3	$13	17	4	+13	open	—	04-26 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-01 07:35
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	3	$12	7	7	+0	Alexander Volkov	+$2	05-10 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 09:29
btc updown 5m 1776585600	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-19 08:00
btc updown 5m 1776580800	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-19 06:44
btc updown 5m 1776581700	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-19 06:59
btc updown 5m 1776582000	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	04-19 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-01 16:56
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	4	$9	27	20	+7	Sean Strickland	+$5	05-10 04:29
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 09:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-02 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	4	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-01 06:54
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	06-15 04:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	Down	+$4	05-10 00:39
btc updown 5m 1776778500	3	$7	11	4	+7	open	—	04-21 13:38
btc updown 5m 1776343800	3	$7	10	3	+8	open	—	04-16 12:52
btc updown 5m 1776690600	3	$6	9	2	+6	open	—	04-20 13:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-27 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 08:09
ufc kyl1 ter1 2026 03 28	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-29 01:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 04:47:07	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x1d9c2b…
06-15 04:02:57	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x10d5d3…
06-15 01:00:36	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf9b733…
06-09 12:42:45	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0f49bc…
06-09 12:42:39	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe145ac…
06-09 09:01:00	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Ilia Topuria	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x25dca9…
05-30 13:43:58	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x235d75…
05-30 13:38:27	UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)	Song Yadong	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd338e7…
05-30 10:28:38	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jose Henrique	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x364b4f…
05-30 10:26:43	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	SELL	2	38¢	$1	0x55ba61…
05-30 10:17:30	UFC Fight Night: Ding Meng vs. Jose Henrique (Welterweight, Prelims)	Ding Meng	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x119d43…
05-30 08:47:38	UFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Jingnan Xiong	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xbbb7d0…
05-10 04:31:30	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xba27a4…
05-10 04:29:53	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc59781…
05-10 02:55:20	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0aef2d…
05-10 02:52:16	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0ef35b…
05-10 02:46:28	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc1735a…
05-10 02:10:00	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	SELL	2	12¢	$0	0x23efc7…
05-10 01:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x455876…
05-10 01:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6ae079…
05-10 00:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5f65e4…
05-10 00:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9b7642…
05-10 00:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x238652…
05-10 00:12:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0x1a99b8…
05-10 00:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xddc567…
05-10 00:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x893482…
05-10 00:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x12751e…
05-09 23:58:10	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x76669a…
05-09 16:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x42ccbd…
05-09 16:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9304bf…
05-08 11:44:50	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x46ed40…
05-08 11:44:17	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Joel Álvarez	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x94781c…
05-08 11:38:27	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x8c4800…
05-06 22:09:00	UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)	Joaquin Buckley	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7a90b6…
05-06 22:07:55	UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)	Mateusz Rebecki	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4dbcd1…
05-05 12:18:46	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xfce7b6…
05-02 13:50:18	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0x42b3fd…
05-02 09:46:40	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x6e95f6…
05-02 09:03:10	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3a6585…
05-02 08:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe32795…
05-02 08:17:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x500c6a…
05-02 07:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x628c08…
05-02 07:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x53c09c…
05-02 07:11:48	UFC Fight Night: Robert Bryczek vs. Cam Rowston (Middleweight, Main Card)	Cam Rowston	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xad073b…
05-02 07:00:14	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x92f9bb…
05-01 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x9110be…
05-01 17:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x9ae0e0…
05-01 17:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xf62014…
05-01 17:32:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x300e97…
05-01 17:29:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0x9aa3be…
05-01 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5b0ff8…
05-01 17:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x8cccd5…
05-01 17:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x64a17c…
05-01 16:59:32	UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)	Brando Pericic	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc75b11…
05-01 16:59:10	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Vince Morales	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x9f1e3c…
05-01 16:56:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xdefff4…
05-01 16:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0xd5a464…
05-01 16:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x3e5b68…
05-01 16:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x019922…
05-01 16:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x021608…
05-01 16:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7868f7…
05-01 16:23:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x754810…
05-01 16:22:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3fd781…
05-01 16:20:04	Pistons vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf18c37…
05-01 09:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xb8828b…
05-01 09:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x820216…
05-01 09:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x3241cb…
05-01 09:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xd825d5…
05-01 09:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a5e3b…
05-01 09:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd5f1a8…
05-01 08:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xa00d8c…
05-01 08:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfec7e1…
05-01 08:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbbf2f7…
05-01 08:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xffaa2f…
05-01 08:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$3	0xa5208a…
05-01 08:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xec9dbe…
05-01 07:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x4c8d51…
05-01 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x58d8cc…
05-01 07:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x867b99…
05-01 07:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa3eb44…
05-01 07:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x997af2…
05-01 07:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa9b793…
05-01 07:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x53f989…
05-01 07:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xaf2259…
05-01 07:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x5cd874…
05-01 07:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	29¢	$1	0xe9fe8b…
05-01 07:32:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x87afd1…
05-01 07:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xeeb143…
05-01 07:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xafeab7…
05-01 07:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x41691e…
05-01 07:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xa455a0…
05-01 06:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x5bd1fc…
05-01 06:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe44ed5…
05-01 06:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0xf1cc2c…
05-01 06:53:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x03835c…
05-01 06:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x21d058…
05-01 06:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x60aeed…
05-01 06:45:52	UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)	Jonathan Micallef	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xb27d2e…
05-01 06:43:06	UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)	Steve Erceg	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x06a0d5…
05-01 06:42:22	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7239dc…