Simplistic-Linguistics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-09 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

86% 88% +$2

Other

11% — —

Politics

2% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (14) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$4	3	1	+2	Down	+$0	05-13 16:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	3	$3	3	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-16 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-03 12:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	Up	+$0	05-13 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-16 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-13 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	0	1	-1	Up	$-0	05-10 20:57
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$1	500	0	+500	open	—	03-03 19:22
will krzysztof ratajski win the pdc world darts championship	1	$1	111	0	+111	open	—	01-01 14:56
bun hof wol 2026 03 14 hof	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-13 11:40
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-09 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 15:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-15 19:31
ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-13 12:05
cs2 g2 m80 2026 03 03	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-03 19:24
bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 bay	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-14 14:17
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-10 15:43
ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 10:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-16 07:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:24:55	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9b5075…
05-16 20:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9c8985…
05-16 20:39:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xe5b9f8…
05-16 07:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xfd38ea…
05-16 07:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x0a7fba…
05-16 07:41:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x596cb4…
05-16 07:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5311b5…
05-16 07:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x072d8b…
05-16 07:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x66786e…
05-16 07:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xd6997f…
05-16 07:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xc15eaa…
05-15 20:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x975fea…
05-15 20:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x729c2f…
05-15 20:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x44b0fb…
05-15 19:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x8f97a3…
05-15 19:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1caebe…
05-14 18:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc47d30…
05-14 17:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x743cf8…
05-14 15:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4887fd…
05-14 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x4f983b…
05-14 14:17:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1f7ee8…
05-14 14:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x33cbec…
05-14 14:01:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x19401a…
05-14 13:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x9add30…
05-13 19:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x7da072…
05-13 19:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb7aad4…
05-13 19:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6c7c33…
05-13 19:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb67a31…
05-13 16:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xb3d765…
05-13 16:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0a6eec…
05-13 16:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xb582bc…
05-13 16:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xc39df5…
05-13 16:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x198471…
05-13 16:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x500aba…
05-13 16:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbc132c…
05-13 16:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa1b265…
05-13 16:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc31dc1…
05-13 16:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0xe5a0db…
05-13 16:07:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x0d4c24…
05-13 15:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x4e0ef5…
05-13 12:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x7843ca…
05-13 11:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xf67d8e…
05-10 20:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5a2082…
05-10 20:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf23b66…
05-10 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd35fd0…
05-10 18:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xdd382f…
05-10 18:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7f1de7…
05-10 18:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xc34e38…
05-10 18:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7c8e05…
05-10 15:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xa81704…
05-10 15:08:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x975ff4…
05-10 15:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6794bb…
05-10 09:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xeea85e…
05-10 09:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x63b9e9…
05-03 12:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x718b90…
05-03 12:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x91e2f3…
03-10 10:13:15	bun hof wol 2026 03 14 hof	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xeb33f8…
03-10 10:12:57	bun b04 bay 2026 03 14 bay	Yes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x432d38…
03-10 10:12:03	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 ars	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x9774bd…
03-10 10:11:47	ucl ata1 bay1 2026 03 10 bay1	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x65ba91…
03-10 10:11:19	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xfa6fec…
03-03 19:24:25	cs2 g2 m80 2026 03 03	G2	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1ccbaf…
03-03 19:22:21	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x7c48ad…
01-01 14:56:13	will krzysztof ratajski win the pdc world darts championship	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xf43ee7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	40	$47.9K	1,649	06-10 03:06
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	39	$8.46K	1,527	05-16 20:42
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	39	$8.29K	2,528	05-16 20:42
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	39	$7.67K	2,233	05-16 20:43
Exalted-Mattress 0xa8cc…41a9	39	$7.64K	274	05-16 20:44
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	39	$7.31K	1,277	05-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	39	$6.41K	1,087	05-16 20:43
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	39	$5.53K	291	05-16 20:42