Functional-Sitar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$697

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-17 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

49% 70% $-19

Other

26% 100% +$0

Politics

14% — —

Sports

10% 67% +$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	05-17 08:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	05-17 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	18	$86	97	87	+11	Down	$-4	05-11 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	7	$44	698	164	+533	Down	$-6	05-11 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	6	$38	25	25	+0	Up	+$8	05-11 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	5	$27	24	17	+8	Down	$-3	05-12 00:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	5	$26	18	13	+5	Down	+$1	05-12 23:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-17 08:08
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-17 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$15	99	5	+94	Down	$-5	05-12 00:14
Thunder vs. Lakers	3	$14	17	0	+17	Thunder	+$3	05-12 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 00:19
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	1	$11	11	0	+11	New York Yankees	+$0	05-13 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 23:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-12 00:12
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	1	$10	18	0	+18	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$8	05-12 00:37
Thunder vs. Lakers	1	$10	42	0	+42	Thunder	$-10	05-09 07:53
Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-09 08:32
Knicks vs. 76ers	1	$10	19	0	+19	Knicks	+$9	05-09 07:54
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	1	$10	20	0	+20	Spurs	+$10	05-12 03:01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-12 00:55
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-11 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	2	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-12 23:24
Cerebras IPO before 2027?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-09 08:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	Up	$-5	05-11 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-12 23:13
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	1	$5	9	0	+9	Lakers	$-5	05-12 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-12 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-12 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-12 22:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 08:08:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0x4641e8…
05-17 08:07:56	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x701a04…
05-17 08:07:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0x9ef81b…
05-17 08:07:16	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0xcb2fcf…
05-13 00:08:42	Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds	Washington Nationals	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x29a0c1…
05-13 00:07:58	New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles	New York Yankees	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x3badc7…
05-13 00:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd8adb9…
05-12 23:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x11f272…
05-12 23:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf1e236…
05-12 23:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9faefa…
05-12 23:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x18a5de…
05-12 23:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6605ae…
05-12 23:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$6	0xdbd12e…
05-12 23:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x735aba…
05-12 23:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcf59de…
05-12 23:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x01eeb3…
05-12 23:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd5b0ad…
05-12 23:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xab87e2…
05-12 23:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9e1e6c…
05-12 23:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9c7c91…
05-12 23:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x9d2eeb…
05-12 23:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1776cc…
05-12 23:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x21d778…
05-12 23:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd35cbf…
05-12 23:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaf17d7…
05-12 22:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xab09c1…
05-12 22:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae5aa8…
05-12 03:48:16	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0xcad6bd…
05-12 03:44:08	T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Japan vs Indonesia	Japan	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x91101e…
05-12 03:43:35	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x709ac7…
05-12 03:43:07	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x0b238e…
05-12 03:01:59	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Spurs	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x69a98b…
05-12 00:55:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x778cff…
05-12 00:53:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa5e042…
05-12 00:40:14	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Thunder	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x57290a…
05-12 00:37:52	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcebf5a…
05-12 00:37:21	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x3e6c68…
05-12 00:21:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	69¢	$6	0x4e8b71…
05-12 00:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x62838f…
05-12 00:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3268c1…
05-12 00:20:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xa159cd…
05-12 00:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x58e645…
05-12 00:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	94¢	$6	0xa9a4eb…
05-12 00:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x03407c…
05-12 00:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	94	5¢	$5	0x9e94f5…
05-12 00:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x289f97…
05-12 00:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x62f106…
05-12 00:12:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x312535…
05-12 00:11:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x1ede3f…
05-11 23:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	74¢	$4	0x2d4491…
05-11 23:54:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc752c8…
05-11 23:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x7511fd…
05-11 23:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x74a0b3…
05-11 23:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd5b257…
05-11 23:52:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	40¢	$2	0xabb2f5…
05-11 23:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x1d5265…
05-11 23:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x76dc7b…
05-11 23:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	81	10¢	$8	0x92e85e…
05-11 23:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb729a6…
05-11 23:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xa124b7…
05-11 23:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	83	13¢	$11	0x951e0a…
05-11 23:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x7d107b…
05-11 23:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	35¢	$5	0x2e319e…
05-11 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x3c57d7…
05-11 23:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x9026f0…
05-11 23:47:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x01bf02…
05-11 23:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xe6b4df…
05-11 23:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x7adbc6…
05-11 23:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x37c858…
05-11 23:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x5260ce…
05-11 23:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	50¢	$5	0xe919c1…
05-11 23:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xff5e4d…
05-11 23:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	52¢	$6	0xbdde98…
05-11 23:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x38e4f6…
05-11 23:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x2fe810…
05-11 23:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xcafccb…
05-11 23:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x2a5298…
05-11 23:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb6d843…
05-11 23:42:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	15	89¢	$13	0xbe8275…
05-11 23:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xcc7aa7…
05-11 23:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfae1cd…
05-11 04:54:24	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xab47fb…
05-09 08:33:46	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x67e818…
05-09 08:32:36	Will Finland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xacedda…
05-09 07:54:39	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd35c34…
05-09 07:53:27	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x5ac3f5…
05-09 07:44:23	Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x282b69…
05-09 07:36:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xacce60…
05-09 07:35:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xaadc8a…