Rotten-Improvement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.3%

Resolved

Trades

147

lifetime

Volume

$2.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 07-23 14:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

42% 0% $-20

Other

31% 100% +$1

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	13	$460	40,653	272	+40,381	open	—	04-03 20:04
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	7	$419	493	293	+200	open	—	07-20 08:45
btc updown 5m 1774992000	5	$256	146	146	+0	open	—	03-31 21:25
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	2	$210	200	200	+0	open	—	04-12 15:19
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	2	$171	162	158	+4	open	—	04-15 21:20
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	3	$150	200	0	+200	open	—	06-30 23:41
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	2	$141	705	0	+705	open	—	04-15 15:37
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	10	$123	328	0	+328	open	—	07-20 21:55
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	11	$81	1,250	212	+1,038	open	—	07-01 19:50
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$79	519	0	+519	open	—	02-20 00:47
Saint-Malo: Clara Burel vs Viktorija Golubic	2	$76	47	46	+1	open	—	04-27 16:37
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	9	$71	1,300	650	+650	open	—	07-01 17:47
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	1	$67	100	0	+100	open	—	06-25 07:48
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	2	$64	101	101	+0	open	—	07-18 21:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$61	231	231	+0	open	—	05-20 14:17
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$61	100	100	+0	open	—	06-02 07:11
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$50	76	0	+76	open	—	07-08 11:00
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$45	445	0	+445	open	—	04-12 18:44
will russia announce a christmas truce	5	$39	279	279	+0	open	—	01-03 19:29
will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	1	$31	100	0	+100	open	—	07-05 09:48
will donald trump say nuclear 3 times during israel president events on december 29	1	$27	27,003	0	+27,003	open	—	01-03 15:14
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	2	$22	3,288	0	+3,288	open	—	04-16 08:31
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	2	$21	115	115	+0	open	—	07-18 21:38
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	1	$20	104	0	+104	open	—	07-07 16:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$20	15,000	0	+15,000	Yes	$-20	05-09 19:25
will wti reach 115 in july 2026	2	$18	255	255	+0	open	—	07-23 14:45
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	5	$17	419	0	+419	open	—	07-05 17:14
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	3	$16	100	0	+100	open	—	04-07 18:24
will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 59 and 60	2	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	03-30 15:44
btc updown 5m 1771548900	2	$10	5,048	0	+5,048	open	—	02-20 01:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 14:45:43	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	255	6¢	$15	0xacb964…
07-20 21:55:43	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	83	20¢	$17	0x41eb37…
07-20 21:32:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xc0fae9…
07-20 21:31:19	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x383686…
07-20 21:30:51	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x86eedd…
07-20 21:30:51	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6101e2…
07-20 08:45:07	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x542285…
07-19 22:57:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	SELL	293	84¢	$247	0xa2c5d2…
07-19 22:34:21	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	40	52¢	$21	0xc056df…
07-19 22:30:18	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x44e8c2…
07-19 22:29:43	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xdb0b44…
07-19 22:28:45	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x3fdd61…
07-19 22:25:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1d995b…
07-18 21:38:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	SELL	115	14¢	$16	0xcaba12…
07-18 21:29:36	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	101	54¢	$54	0xed7ad7…
07-18 21:17:22	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0db174…
07-08 11:16:13	will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	Yes	BUY	115	4¢	$5	0x402bc5…
07-08 11:15:50	will wti reach 115 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	255	1¢	$3	0x955a2b…
07-08 11:15:32	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0x2e7da6…
07-08 11:00:44	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Max Holloway	BUY	76	66¢	$50	0xabdf20…
07-08 08:09:07	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	86	35¢	$30	0xe590cc…
07-07 20:41:47	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x84d15d…
07-07 16:04:56	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x668cd8…
07-07 16:04:44	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x755e85…
07-07 16:04:11	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	104	19¢	$20	0x84d9ff…
07-05 17:14:52	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	16	3¢	$1	0xfc0b47…
07-05 17:11:55	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	184	3¢	$6	0x72ab88…
07-05 17:11:16	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x080b4b…
07-05 09:48:02	will russia capture lyman by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x03803b…
07-05 09:46:56	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	6¢	$6	0xe591a4…
07-05 09:46:16	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xdb9ee1…
07-05 09:14:14	will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xbcd1f6…
07-01 19:50:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	400	0¢	$1	0xb684a1…
07-01 17:47:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	SELL	650	4¢	$23	0xf33561…
07-01 12:53:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	212	10¢	$21	0x84ab91…
07-01 09:03:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xcf2bfb…
07-01 09:03:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xb25b41…
07-01 09:03:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x5e5e21…
07-01 08:21:46	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 6	No	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0x0d7696…
07-01 07:36:28	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x512e78…
07-01 07:25:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 6	No	BUY	21	0¢	$0	0xd365ef…
07-01 07:24:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 6	No	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x86d55e…
07-01 03:52:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 6	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$3	0xb7475c…
07-01 01:36:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0x0ce4b2…
07-01 01:09:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3a09cc…
07-01 00:44:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 6	No	BUY	400	1¢	$3	0x2be252…
07-01 00:44:25	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x03d04e…
07-01 00:42:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xef4798…
07-01 00:41:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 6	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x26692d…
07-01 00:34:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0x3cab2e…
07-01 00:34:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x1302ca…
07-01 00:33:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xaba416…
07-01 00:33:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x665b79…
07-01 00:31:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0xe19a75…
07-01 00:31:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd26c67…
06-30 23:41:31	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x1a8a95…
06-30 23:00:43	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	99	81¢	$81	0xb64cde…
06-30 22:56:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x5a4bf5…
06-30 22:56:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xef9080…
06-30 22:56:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 2	No	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x93d8c9…
06-30 22:56:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0x3b33b2…
06-25 07:48:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xcfa4c9…
06-23 19:03:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x7aadcf…
06-02 07:11:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x0969f0…
06-01 12:28:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x03de4d…
06-01 12:27:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0xbc2458…
05-30 20:32:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xb69245…
05-30 20:27:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x90f2a4…
05-30 20:26:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xfac033…
05-29 15:12:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x4dbf07…
05-20 14:17:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	14¢	$16	0xf1304a…
05-20 14:14:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	13¢	$15	0x521264…
05-14 20:46:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	231	13¢	$30	0xb8faa8…
05-12 15:28:32	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc14b03…
05-09 19:25:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x0e5f1c…
05-09 19:09:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x56316d…
05-08 18:46:06	Set 1 Winner: Navarro vs Cocciaretto	Cocciaretto	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x546828…
04-30 10:19:16	Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	No	BUY	210	2¢	$5	0xc706ea…
04-30 09:43:38	Madrid Open: Hailey Baptiste vs Mirra Andreeva	Hailey Baptiste	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe7c97c…
04-27 16:37:36	Saint-Malo: Clara Burel vs Viktorija Golubic	Viktorija Golubic	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0xafb236…
04-27 11:08:04	Saint-Malo: Clara Burel vs Viktorija Golubic	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xc65d8a…
04-16 08:31:44	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc15855…
04-15 23:50:42	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	2,288	1¢	$21	0x9ea728…
04-15 21:20:34	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	SELL	158	100¢	$158	0x2d6240…
04-15 20:40:06	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 bay1	Yes	BUY	162	8¢	$13	0xed894f…
04-15 15:37:14	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x94a188…
04-15 14:52:54	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	205	20¢	$41	0xa1af9c…
04-12 18:44:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0x823c89…
04-12 15:19:09	will turnout in the 2025 honduran general election be between 60 and 65	Yes	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0xab2a2d…
04-07 18:24:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	61	16¢	$10	0xf9b2fc…
04-07 18:15:45	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0xcaecc5…
04-07 18:14:47	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x7a2e18…
04-07 12:25:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	No	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0x45d0d6…
04-03 20:04:19	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x782335…
04-02 01:03:25	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0xb77565…
04-02 01:01:55	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0xc445e1…
04-01 21:11:15	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xc316db…
04-01 17:39:05	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	8,400	0¢	$25	0x2efb81…
04-01 15:42:01	will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xd7d339…
03-31 21:45:27	btc updown 5m 1774993200	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5325ad…