Outstanding-Outset — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.5%

Resolved

Trades

980

lifetime

Volume

$3.43K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-09 04:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	16	$48	56	40	+16	open	—	05-18 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	8	$31	32	16	+16	open	—	05-18 15:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	5	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 01:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$25	50	0	+50	open	—	05-20 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	25	$24	55	0	+55	open	—	06-03 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	5	$23	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 00:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$21	24	16	+8	open	—	05-18 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	21	$21	190	128	+62	Up	$-3	05-10 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	7	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 14:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	4	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	05-20 00:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	4	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	6	$18	21	8	+13	open	—	05-18 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$18	16	8	+8	open	—	05-18 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	6	$18	40	0	+40	open	—	05-19 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$18	16	8	+8	open	—	05-18 13:57
btc updown 5m 1780610700	2	$18	22	0	+22	open	—	06-04 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$17	13	13	+0	open	—	05-18 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	5	$17	24	8	+16	open	—	05-18 13:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$17	34	0	+34	open	—	05-20 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	6	$16	20	5	+15	open	—	05-18 06:10
btc updown 5m 1780978200	1	$16	24	0	+24	open	—	06-09 04:14
btc updown 5m 1780974000	1	$13	25	0	+25	open	—	06-09 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$13	30	0	+30	open	—	05-19 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$13	16	8	+8	open	—	05-18 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	4	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	05-21 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	4	$12	25	0	+25	open	—	05-20 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-18 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	3	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-23 17:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 04:14:37	btc updown 5m 1780978200	Down	BUY	24	67¢	$16	0x9471fd…
06-09 03:04:36	btc updown 5m 1780974000	Up	BUY	25	54¢	$13	0x027ee7…
06-06 17:05:00	btc updown 5m 1780765200	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xf57c88…
06-06 10:49:58	btc updown 5m 1780742700	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xaa142f…
06-05 23:50:01	btc updown 5m 1780703100	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfd1c19…
06-04 22:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Down	BUY	11	80¢	$9	0x7a6624…
06-04 22:10:00	btc updown 5m 1780610700	Down	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x3b04f3…
06-03 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x69fcb1…
06-03 18:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xab31d4…
06-03 18:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x721fbe…
06-03 18:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x632986…
06-03 18:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x28754f…
06-03 18:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xfe30e2…
06-03 18:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xb26c9c…
06-03 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb896da…
06-03 18:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x2d30dd…
06-03 18:54:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8aa647…
06-03 18:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc673a7…
06-03 18:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x0bfa7a…
06-03 18:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x70717d…
06-03 18:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x080a52…
06-03 18:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x6e55aa…
06-03 18:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x214e48…
06-03 18:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xad9620…
06-03 18:53:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x8ec47d…
06-03 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf1939a…
06-03 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xbe5722…
06-03 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x99a285…
06-03 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x6dbc72…
06-03 18:53:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x110459…
06-03 18:53:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbb9451…
06-03 18:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7ef319…
06-03 18:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x86fd9a…
06-03 18:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4d9450…
06-03 18:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xac6e22…
06-03 18:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x8f46e6…
06-03 18:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xdefc2a…
06-03 18:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xbca6e0…
06-03 00:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1c2f72…
06-02 23:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0xd3f7e9…
06-02 23:24:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x4a77dc…
06-02 18:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x97efbd…
06-02 18:34:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x47d0eb…
06-02 15:49:21	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4af8bb…
06-02 15:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf76682…
06-02 13:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0xe1ddc9…
06-02 09:44:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa34760…
06-02 02:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	70¢	$7	0x8d587b…
06-01 21:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x081165…
06-01 21:04:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x0e5700…
06-01 18:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xccb77f…
06-01 18:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x25c490…
06-01 16:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	77¢	$6	0xdbb4e5…
06-01 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xd0aa9e…
06-01 16:24:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8c40a2…
06-01 15:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0x7bfc5e…
06-01 13:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0x18848e…
06-01 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x26a8cc…
06-01 13:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x00cfa0…
06-01 13:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x358b9a…
06-01 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xdd3d9c…
06-01 12:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x0a0f8d…
06-01 12:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x51df5b…
06-01 12:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x07a8bd…
06-01 10:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x436467…
06-01 10:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x61a049…
06-01 08:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xf01801…
06-01 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x31482a…
06-01 05:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xc9bdb0…
06-01 02:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xec615c…
06-01 01:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe66d03…
05-31 22:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xa6a588…
05-31 22:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xd74ef1…
05-31 21:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x24dd9c…
05-31 20:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xa117d1…
05-31 18:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0xf651c6…
05-31 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xa49e7e…
05-31 18:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x35dbec…
05-31 18:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xd608e1…
05-31 18:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xc3fd1e…
05-31 12:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x8df9be…
05-31 11:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x626b08…
05-31 10:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x1f482f…
05-31 07:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x9e65b4…
05-31 05:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x9dfa9a…
05-31 03:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0x0e24dc…
05-31 01:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x75bead…
05-30 23:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x358bd6…
05-30 23:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xd8b7fd…
05-30 21:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xfe5f5e…
05-30 19:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x8a4137…
05-30 17:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xdbb222…
05-30 16:49:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xb0cc56…
05-30 14:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x320802…
05-30 14:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x85a599…
05-30 13:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x627ea3…
05-30 12:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x0c6b20…
05-30 12:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x33b9f8…
05-30 10:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x4f5467…
05-30 10:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xeb2ce4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	503	$185.5K	31,088	06-09 04:14
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	503	$163.8K	46,977	06-09 04:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	503	$162.2K	47,452	06-09 04:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	503	$152.7K	24,505	06-09 04:14
Agile-Analogy 0x1015…bac8	502	$99.4K	17,575	06-09 04:11
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	501	$460.2K	20,537	06-09 04:15
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	498	$1.14M	64,282	06-09 04:15
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	498	$163.9K	33,307	06-09 04:14