Distorted-Halibut — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$429

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 08:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$12

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?	1	$2.1K	2,089	0	+2,089	No	+$4	05-11 02:02
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?	1	$2.1K	2,081	0	+2,081	No	+$4	05-10 01:43
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,074	0	+2,074	Yes	+$4	05-08 08:18
Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	1	$2.1K	2,073	0	+2,073	No	+$4	05-09 01:57
ethereum above 2900 on january 19	1	$1.1K	1,074	0	+1,074	open	—	01-19 03:00
will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 18	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-18 02:47
ethereum above 3500 on january 17	1	$1.1K	1,071	0	+1,071	open	—	01-17 03:27
ethereum above 3000 on january 16	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-16 02:35
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	1	$1.1K	1,068	0	+1,068	open	—	01-15 03:25
will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	1	$1.1K	1,065	0	+1,065	open	—	01-14 03:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	1	$1.1K	1,063	0	+1,063	open	—	01-13 03:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	1	$1.1K	1,060	0	+1,060	open	—	01-11 02:39
will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	1	$1.1K	1,059	0	+1,059	open	—	01-10 09:58
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	05-20 08:47
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	06-09 08:33
bitcoin above 76k on february 7	1	$14	14	0	+14	open	—	02-06 07:45
bill clinton in jail by december 31	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-27 09:56
nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	2	$11	6	5	+1	open	—	01-21 14:10
bitcoin above 64k on march 27	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-26 05:50
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-12 02:32
will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-07 13:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$8	9	0	+9	open	—	04-17 03:25
ethereum above 2900 on january 3	5	$5	5,350	0	+5,350	open	—	01-03 07:31
will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-25 02:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	1	$4	2,098	0	+2,098	open	—	05-02 01:17
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	1	$4	2,087	0	+2,087	No	$-4	05-05 02:29
will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	1	$4	2,068	0	+2,068	open	—	04-21 09:04
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	1	$4	2,063	0	+2,063	open	—	04-26 08:44
trump out as president by march 31	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	02-11 03:34
will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	1	$2	1,078	0	+1,078	open	—	01-31 02:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 08:33:36	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x33fd10…
05-20 08:47:29	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $375 Week of May 18 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xab6f2a…
05-11 02:02:00	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 10?	No	BUY	2,089	100¢	$2,084	0xa53072…
05-10 01:43:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	2,081	100¢	$2,076	0x915486…
05-09 01:57:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	2,073	100¢	$2,069	0xd9347d…
05-08 08:18:13	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	2,074	100¢	$2,070	0xc39e7b…
05-05 02:29:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,087	0¢	$4	0xc08617…
05-02 01:17:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on May 1?	Yes	BUY	2,098	0¢	$4	0xbf21c3…
04-26 08:44:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	2,063	0¢	$4	0xfcf131…
04-21 09:04:04	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on april 21	Yes	BUY	2,068	0¢	$4	0xfa89c4…
04-17 03:25:20	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x469c8a…
04-10 14:07:25	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x26b9c1…
03-26 05:50:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 27	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x529095…
03-12 02:32:25	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x01d52f…
03-07 13:53:27	will bitcoin dip to 62k march 2 8	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x71b752…
02-25 02:16:44	will iranian officials visit the white house by february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcf29c3…
02-11 03:34:55	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	3	97¢	$2	0x8066ad…
02-06 07:45:37	bitcoin above 76k on february 7	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xce9818…
02-02 13:08:22	will msft close above 480 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa92e4f…
01-31 08:27:52	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xea1701…
01-31 02:14:58	will the price of ethereum be between 3000 3100 on january 31	Yes	BUY	1,078	0¢	$2	0x4de3f6…
01-30 09:38:48	will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x34e926…
01-27 09:56:31	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x575b43…
01-27 02:00:31	will the price of ethereum be between 3200 3300 on january 27	Yes	BUY	1,076	0¢	$1	0x490d4e…
01-26 12:41:01	bill clinton in jail by december 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6d4ba7…
01-23 03:54:40	will the price of ethereum be between 3600 3700 on january 23	Yes	BUY	1,070	0¢	$1	0xf50092…
01-21 14:10:48	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2502c9…
01-20 09:22:28	nicols maduro released from custody by january 31 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xea7674…
01-19 03:00:44	ethereum above 2900 on january 19	Yes	BUY	1,074	100¢	$1,072	0xe3b765…
01-18 02:47:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 86000 88000 on january 18	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,070	0x320641…
01-17 03:27:04	ethereum above 3500 on january 17	No	BUY	1,071	100¢	$1,069	0x38f685…
01-16 02:35:26	ethereum above 3000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,067	0x59c0b5…
01-15 03:25:16	will the price of ethereum be greater than 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	1,068	100¢	$1,065	0xb25fa7…
01-14 03:05:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 88000 90000 on january 14	No	BUY	1,065	100¢	$1,063	0xfe5917…
01-13 03:07:31	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 13	No	BUY	1,063	100¢	$1,062	0x7ffcd5…
01-11 02:39:20	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 11	No	BUY	1,060	100¢	$1,059	0x55c50e…
01-10 09:58:34	will the price of ethereum be between 3300 3400 on january 10	No	BUY	1,059	100¢	$1,058	0x5ef7e9…
01-03 07:31:35	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,078	0¢	$1	0x93345c…
01-03 07:30:23	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,068	0¢	$1	0x310bdd…
01-03 07:29:05	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,076	0¢	$1	0xf5cd35…
01-03 07:27:49	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,066	0¢	$1	0xd1dad8…
01-03 07:23:55	ethereum above 2900 on january 3	No	BUY	1,062	0¢	$1	0x94baae…