Intent-Elm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-23

last 05-26 15:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% —

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Sports

5% 100% +$0

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$382	191	191	+0	open	—	04-24 09:14
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$221	223	0	+223	open	—	03-24 19:32
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$107	82	82	+0	open	—	05-26 15:46
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	04-24 09:14
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$81	350	350	+0	No	+$0	04-27 08:29
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	2	$76	15,600	14,822	+778	open	—	04-04 18:26
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	4	$75	18,659	18,659	+0	open	—	03-24 19:26
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	4	$58	9,665	9,665	+0	open	—	03-24 19:26
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	04-25 04:00
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	4	$47	11,756	11,756	+0	No	+$0	04-24 08:34
Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	2	$34	8,409	8,409	+0	open	—	04-16 11:40
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 11:32
Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	3	$30	7,560	7,560	+0	open	—	04-16 11:42
Over $50M committed to the Fluent public sale?	1	$26	27	0	+27	open	—	04-08 10:27
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 19:22
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	2	$17	1,707	1,622	+85	open	—	04-17 08:17
Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 10:27
Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	03-23 19:22
Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 19:22
Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-23 19:21
Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	03-23 19:21
Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 19:19
Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 19:14
Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-17 08:18
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 19:22
Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-23 19:15
Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	03-23 19:12
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	2	$5	1,331	1,264	+66	open	—	04-17 08:17
Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 19:12
will spark launch a token by march 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	03-23 19:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:46:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	82	68¢	$56	0x10f9c4…
05-25 12:50:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	82	62¢	$51	0xa66257…
04-27 08:29:54	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	220	12¢	$26	0xc9958c…
04-27 08:28:00	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	130	12¢	$15	0xb57aed…
04-25 04:00:34	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xd55d5d…
04-24 11:21:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	350	12¢	$40	0xe71b5b…
04-24 09:14:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	191	100¢	$191	0xe83516…
04-24 09:14:18	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb067f8…
04-24 08:34:18	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,883	0¢	$12	0xb40ccc…
04-24 08:30:56	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,883	0¢	$12	0x9e2fbc…
04-23 14:28:00	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5,873	0¢	$12	0xf78ccf…
04-23 14:22:46	Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5,873	0¢	$12	0x0a8da5…
04-23 11:32:14	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	95¢	$16	0x629c64…
04-17 08:18:02	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf46cb5…
04-17 08:17:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	SELL	1,264	0¢	$3	0xa7b9c6…
04-17 08:17:10	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	SELL	402	0¢	$2	0x9b6ed9…
04-17 08:17:02	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	SELL	1,622	1¢	$8	0xf76faa…
04-17 07:58:38	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 560 579	Yes	BUY	1,331	0¢	$3	0x7a45d2…
04-17 07:58:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 520 539	Yes	BUY	423	0¢	$2	0x59c4fb…
04-17 07:58:22	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 500 519	Yes	BUY	1,707	0¢	$9	0x036a75…
04-16 11:42:42	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,420	0¢	$9	0x1ca4be…
04-16 11:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,140	0¢	$6	0xf7d028…
04-16 11:40:56	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	8,409	0¢	$17	0x0ec9fb…
04-16 11:38:42	Will Elon Musk post 740-759 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	7,560	0¢	$15	0x70a8aa…
04-16 11:38:26	Will Elon Musk post 720-739 tweets in April 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,409	0¢	$17	0x3f24a3…
04-10 20:11:51	Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x6620bd…
04-08 10:47:09	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	191	100¢	$191	0x5b8b0f…
04-08 10:27:39	Will USD.AI launch a token on April 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x58f1db…
04-08 10:27:25	Over $50M committed to the Fluent public sale?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xf65c20…
04-08 10:27:11	Fluent FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa4f951…
04-08 10:26:55	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x9da24d…
04-08 10:26:37	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x2de1d0…
04-04 18:26:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	SELL	14,822	0¢	$30	0xf86244…
04-04 18:22:21	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 520 539	Yes	BUY	15,600	0¢	$47	0x480e81…
04-04 10:21:05	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x15d341…
03-24 19:32:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x31fda9…
03-24 19:26:35	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	10,770	0¢	$22	0x1769e2…
03-24 19:26:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	6,733	0¢	$20	0xaa43e4…
03-24 19:21:29	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	10,770	0¢	$22	0x83f174…
03-24 19:21:13	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	6,733	0¢	$20	0xe58fb9…
03-24 17:32:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	SELL	2,932	0¢	$9	0x3d4259…
03-24 17:32:17	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	SELL	7,889	0¢	$16	0xc6034f…
03-24 17:26:39	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 480 499	Yes	BUY	7,889	0¢	$16	0x0fe70c…
03-24 17:26:31	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 460 479	Yes	BUY	2,932	0¢	$9	0x8b90cd…
03-23 19:22:51	Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xee59b3…
03-23 19:22:41	Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x7bdc6d…
03-23 19:22:19	Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x735436…
03-23 19:22:07	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x60616f…
03-23 19:21:33	Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x75042b…
03-23 19:21:17	Will Titan launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xd46c0e…
03-23 19:19:05	Will Ventuals launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x791db7…
03-23 19:18:25	will spark launch a token by march 31	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x921b3a…
03-23 19:15:25	Will Arc launch a token by March 31 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x663089…
03-23 19:14:51	Will Tread launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x20f6c3…
03-23 19:12:41	Will Perena launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe733db…
03-23 19:12:21	Will Hylo launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x35f4ea…